我认为Ottawa地区只有两个选区有悬念: Kanata-Carleton 和 Nepean. 是自由党和保守党的争夺战!
NDP 在这两个选区都只有15%左右支持率, 已经不可能当选了.
NDP的支持者必须改为投票给自由党, 才能避免自己更不喜欢的保守党获胜.
### As of 2015-Sep-13 ###
************** Carleton ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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50.8% 30.9% 13.2% 4.7% CON (86%)
************** Kanata-Carleton ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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38.8% 39.9% 15.5% 5.3% LIB (53%)
************** Nepean ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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36.6% 40.5% 17.9% 4.6% LIB (58%)
************** Orleans ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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31.2% 54.1% 11.7% 2.8% LIB(89%)
************** Ottawa-Center ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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15.2% 27.4% 51.8% 5.3% NDP(90%)
************** Ottawa-South ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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23.0% 57.1% 16.4% 3.1% LIB(96%)
************** Ottawa-Vanier ******************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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19.2% 49.3% 25.8% 5.3% LIB(90%)
************** Ottawa-West-Nepean ***************
CON LIB NDP GRN Winner-Likelihood
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30.8% 45.2% 19.1% 4.4% LIB(80%)