看了辩论，哈勃就事论事实实在在，赞
- 主题发起人 ottawaday
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我的眼光向来很准。
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ModemOutlet
CMobile.ca $25 3GB流量手机计划
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拿您预测一下谁这次会上位？估计大胡子没戏，其他两位您觉得谁赢?
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自由党更没戏。土豆能否保住自己议员席位都悬。
没关注。只知道，哈伯，得之加拿大所幸， 失之，加拿大所命。他是真正爱加拿大的人。
尽我所能投我一票给他即可。
说真的， 为嘛我总是料事如神？我也不懂。总是习惯性压中事情的实质。
我感觉保守党的超长竞选策略开始奏效。很有可能后来居上，上演逆转好戏。这个策略是基于一个判断：两个反对党的竞选将以攻击，抹黑为主轴。达菲案件，全球经济动荡都是现成的靶子，反对党一定迫不及待的跳出来大肆攻击。但你不能唠唠叨叨说两个多月啊，到投票时，这些负面因素老百姓一定听烦了。三党的死忠者早就决定了意向，竞选对他们没有影响。对摇摆不定的中立选民来说，长时间等待负面攻击，会产生逆反心理。
第二，这次竞选的一个重要阵营是 Harper hater，主要是工会。他们投谁都好，只要不投 Harper 就行。竞选时间越长，Harper hater 在 LIB, NDP 间分配的就越均匀。
现在的走向似乎就是保守党预见的走向。开始LIB,NDP 差距较大，现在趋于平均。达菲案基本不是重点了。
第二，这次竞选的一个重要阵营是 Harper hater，主要是工会。他们投谁都好，只要不投 Harper 就行。竞选时间越长，Harper hater 在 LIB, NDP 间分配的就越均匀。
现在的走向似乎就是保守党预见的走向。开始LIB,NDP 差距较大，现在趋于平均。达菲案基本不是重点了。
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最终大批'NDP 回转投liberals的 还没到时候[emoji3]
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我起了一身的鸭皮疙瘩。 @uglyducking 
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No clear winners after 2015 federal election Leaders Debate
By Rick Bell, Calgary Sun
First posted: Thursday, September 17, 2015 08:44 PM MDT | Updated: Thursday, September 17, 2015 09:52 PM MDT
Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper speaks (right) during the debate with NDP leader Thomas Mulcair (middle) and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau at the first leaders' debate at the BMO Centre in downtown Calgary, Alta. on Thursday September 17, 2015. Stuart Dryden/Calgary Sun/Postmedia Network
It was no game changer. There was no magic moment when the earth moved.
Nobody screwed it up. Nobody won it going away.
Many thought this would be Harper’s game to play.
After all, Thursday’s verbal tug-of-war was about jobs and the economy, the bread and butter battle suiting the prime minister’s taste, all served up on the man’s home ground.
Harper decided to play it calm, cool and collected, most often talking in the measured tone of the guy selling you mutual funds at RRSP time.
Trudeau was pushy and passionate.
Mulcair tried to portray an image of someone not scary and therefore able to run the country.
Harper is fighting to keep power.
The two others are fighting each other to be the one to take it from him.
But there was nothing approaching the Notley knockout in the Alberta leaders’ debate where an election campaign suddenly and forever shifted gears and everyone remembers exactly when.
We just didn’t see it.
The polls are in a logjam with all three main parties tied. This event will likely not move the dial much.
There are still those on the fence to woo, the undecided.
And if the three parties in a dead heat for support continues it means there is no clear vehicle for those who want Harper out.
For many NDP voters, the Liberals are the second choice and for many Liberal voters the NDP are the second choice.
But there is no place to mark a second-choice X. This is not a preferential ballot.
One party has to emerge and get more seats than Harper.
Somebody has to take the ball and run with it.
The debate itself is not going to go in the history books as a gem.
If you were watching something else, you won’t be kicking yourself.
The first 15 minutes was like watching paint dry, the activists and tall foreheads kept awake by the constant ringing of an annoying bell.
The mind wandered stateside to the Republican debate Wednesday.
Memorable. Engaging. A long highlight reel and that was in a gabfest among people belonging to the same party.
Oh, there was lots of talking over each other.
At one point, the moderator looked like the junior high substitute teacher who had lost control of the classroom.
And yes, often Trudeau was Labrador retriever enthusiastic.
Often he was loud, pushing in to get more than his share of the oxygen.
Mulcair really was trying to not look like some guy serving up pie in the sky.
Harper did not pull all the stops. Far from it.
This obviously was his strategy, the solid captain with his hand on the wheel in rocky waters.
Will it be enough?
The night ends. Thank God. Those who watched won’t ever get that hour and a half back.
Harper takes no questions from reporters but the PM is actually having an event in Calgary bright and early Friday morning.
Harper is no dummy. Going forward, he knows what’s still at stake.
By Rick Bell, Calgary Sun
First posted: Thursday, September 17, 2015 08:44 PM MDT | Updated: Thursday, September 17, 2015 09:52 PM MDT
Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper speaks (right) during the debate with NDP leader Thomas Mulcair (middle) and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau at the first leaders' debate at the BMO Centre in downtown Calgary, Alta. on Thursday September 17, 2015. Stuart Dryden/Calgary Sun/Postmedia Network
It was no game changer. There was no magic moment when the earth moved.
Nobody screwed it up. Nobody won it going away.
Many thought this would be Harper’s game to play.
After all, Thursday’s verbal tug-of-war was about jobs and the economy, the bread and butter battle suiting the prime minister’s taste, all served up on the man’s home ground.
Harper decided to play it calm, cool and collected, most often talking in the measured tone of the guy selling you mutual funds at RRSP time.
Trudeau was pushy and passionate.
Mulcair tried to portray an image of someone not scary and therefore able to run the country.
Harper is fighting to keep power.
The two others are fighting each other to be the one to take it from him.
But there was nothing approaching the Notley knockout in the Alberta leaders’ debate where an election campaign suddenly and forever shifted gears and everyone remembers exactly when.
We just didn’t see it.
The polls are in a logjam with all three main parties tied. This event will likely not move the dial much.
There are still those on the fence to woo, the undecided.
And if the three parties in a dead heat for support continues it means there is no clear vehicle for those who want Harper out.
For many NDP voters, the Liberals are the second choice and for many Liberal voters the NDP are the second choice.
But there is no place to mark a second-choice X. This is not a preferential ballot.
One party has to emerge and get more seats than Harper.
Somebody has to take the ball and run with it.
The debate itself is not going to go in the history books as a gem.
If you were watching something else, you won’t be kicking yourself.
The first 15 minutes was like watching paint dry, the activists and tall foreheads kept awake by the constant ringing of an annoying bell.
The mind wandered stateside to the Republican debate Wednesday.
Memorable. Engaging. A long highlight reel and that was in a gabfest among people belonging to the same party.
Oh, there was lots of talking over each other.
At one point, the moderator looked like the junior high substitute teacher who had lost control of the classroom.
And yes, often Trudeau was Labrador retriever enthusiastic.
Often he was loud, pushing in to get more than his share of the oxygen.
Mulcair really was trying to not look like some guy serving up pie in the sky.
Harper did not pull all the stops. Far from it.
This obviously was his strategy, the solid captain with his hand on the wheel in rocky waters.
Will it be enough?
The night ends. Thank God. Those who watched won’t ever get that hour and a half back.
Harper takes no questions from reporters but the PM is actually having an event in Calgary bright and early Friday morning.
Harper is no dummy. Going forward, he knows what’s still at stake.
