渥村大选局势趋于明朗,大多地区白热化

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大多地区有好戏看:

这次大选,由于全国部分地区重新划分选区,增加了30个选区(众议院席位增加了30席),总共338个选区。

现在,安大略省共121个选区,新增15个选区。

全省121个选区,大多地区占52个,仅多伦多市区就有25个选区。所以,各个政党都睁大了眼睛盯着大多地区这块肥肉。:D

除了全省新增的15个选区,更加值得注意的是大多地区25个选区中的八个选区。上次大选中,这八个选区最后票数十分接近。

Toronto's 8 closest ridings: Where your vote matters most

Etobicoke Centre: Ted Opitz (CON) beats Borys Wrzesnewskyj (LIB) 21,644 — 21,618 (Margin: 26)

borys-wrzesnevskyj-20120423.jpg

Liberal Borys Wrzesnevskyj is running again in Etobicoke Centre, hoping to retake the seat he lost by 26 votes in 2011. (Aaron Vincent Elkaim/The Canadian Press)

Ted Opitz, of the Conservatives, came out on top in the closest riding in all of the Greater Toronto Area, narrowly defeating Liberal Borys Wrzesnewskyj, the longtime MP for the area.

Wrzesnewskyj, citing voting irregularities, challenged the results in court. He said this year he's already lined up a team of volunteer lawyers to keep an eye on how the vote unfolds.

The frontrunners will also be joined by the NDP's Tanya De Mello and the Green Party's Shawn Rizvi in the western Toronto riding.

Scarborough-Guildwood: John McKay (LIB) beats Chuck Konkel (CON) 13,778 — 13,178 (Margin: 600)

Scarborough saw a number of closely contested wins in the last federal election and with a number of challengers trying to topple incumbents, it could happen again.

Liberal John McKay has never lost in this riding, which has been around since 2004. But the Conservatives are running Chuck Konkel again, while Laura Casselman will represent the NDP.

Don Valley West: John Carmichael (CON) beats Rob Oliphant (LIB) 22,992 - 22,353 (Margin: 639)

While the Conservative John Carmichael enters as the incumbent, the Liberals controlled the riding from 1993-2011. Rob Oliphant is back to attempt to regain control for the Liberals.

Syeda Riaz is the NDP candidate.

Don Valley East: Joe Daniel (CON) beats Yasmin Ratansi (LIB) 14,421 – 13,552 (Margin: 869)

Yasmin Ratansi, who held the seat from 2004 to 2011 and became the first female Muslim MP, is back to challenge the Conservatives, who are represented by Maureen Harquail, a lawyer who has held several high profile positions during her 20-year career.

The NDP candidate, meanwhile, is Khalid Ahmed.

Mississauga East-Cooksville: Wladyslaw Lizon (CON) beats Peter Fonseca (LIB) 18,796 – 18,120 (Margin: 676)

Wladyslaw Lizon, a Conservative backbencher during his first tenure in Ottawa, returns to seek a second term as MP. Peter Fonseca is running again for the Liberals, in one of the only close races in Mississauga, while Ali Naqvi represents the NDP.

The Conservatives dominated every other riding in the 905 area code west of Toronto, enjoying comfortable victories.

Willowdale: Chungsen Leung (CON) beats Martha Hall Findlay (LIB) 22,206 - 21,245 (Margin: 961)

Chungsen Leung is running for re-election after four years that included several trade trips abroad with the prime minister. He'll face lawyer Ali Ehsassi, who is representing the Liberals this time and Pouyan Tabasinejad who is running for the NDP.

James Arruda, meanwhile, represents the Green Party.

Scarborough Southwest: Dan Harris (NDP) beats Gavan Paranchothy (CON) 14,113 – 12,828 (Margin: 1,285)

This riding will be one to watch on election night as former Toronto police chief Bill Blair runs for the Liberals against the NDP incumbent Dan Harris.

The Greens will be represented by Tommy Taylor, an activist who was among the many demonstrators who were kettled and arrested during the G20 protests, and who has been a fierce critic of Blair.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, are represented by Roshan Nallaratnam, a Tamil-speaking constable with the Toronto Police Service.

Scarborough Centre: Roxanne James (CON) beats John Cannis (LIB) 13,401 – 12,075 (Margin: 1,326)

After longtime MP John Cannis was defeated in the last election, Salma Zahid will try to recapture the riding for the Liberals. James, meanwhile, will run as an incumbent for the first time. Alex Wilson represents the NDP, while the Green and Libertarian parties are also fielding candidates.

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Riding redesign creates more tight races
University of Toronto political science professor Peter Loewen found more close ridings based the last election's results redistributed into their new ridings.

This year's redrawn electoral boundaries — you can find your riding here — mean some Torontonians will find themselves voting for a different slate of candidates this time. The following results are what could have happened in the new ridings.

  • Mississauga-Malton: Conservatives win by a margin of 237
  • Markham-Thornhill: Liberals win by a margin of 272
  • Scarborough-Guildwood: Liberals win by a margin of 383
 
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