有结果了吗: U.S. Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district special election, 2018

本帖由 ccc2018-03-14 发布。版面名称:渥太华华人论坛

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  2. 这可是共和党人Tim Murphy自2002年开始就盘踞的地盘啊。
     
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    'It's not over yet:' Nail-biter Pennsylvania special election heads into 2nd day
    By Eric Bradner, CNN
    Updated 1:59 AM ET, Wed March 14, 2018



    (CNN) Democrat Conor Lamb and Republican Rick Saccone are locked in a neck and neck battle to decide who will represent Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District.

    After a long night of drama, the race is still too close to call. Lamb holds a slight lead over Saccone with 100% of the Election Day vote tallied, but absentee and provisional ballots are still being counted. It would be an significant uphill climb for Saccone to overtake Lamb.

    Lamb claimed victory in a speech to his supporters Tuesday night.

    "It took a little longer than we thought, but we did it," he said. "You did it."

    Saccone, however, said he isn't giving up.

    "We are still fighting the fight. It's not over yet," Saccone told his supporters more than an hour earlier.

    It's a bad sign for Republicans that the 18th District race is razor-tight. President Donald Trump won there by 20 percentage points in 2016, and GOP groups pumped $10.7 million into a months-long effort to stave off an embarrassing loss there. Lamb's performance is ominous for the GOP as it heads into November's midterm elections.
     
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  12. 一二三

    一二三 知名会员 ID:96196

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    村长再次暴露了他的左派面孔
     
    已获得ishare的支持。
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  14. ombre

    ombre 新手上路 ID:92284

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    这个Conor lamb挺帅的,貌似比土豆还帅三分。
    共和党的那个简直是不堪入目啊
     
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    upload_2018-3-16_0-30-42.png


    (CNN)
    For someone who talks so much about winning, President Donald Trump is racking up quite the losing streak.

    The electoral earthquake in Pennsylvania set to send Democrat Conor Lamb to the House of Representatives from a district Trump won by 20 points in 2016 is sparking new questions about the President's personal political potency.

    That's because state Rep. Rick Saccone is not the first GOP candidate during Trump's term to win the President's blessing and promptly lose. Trump-backed candidates Luther Strange, Roy Moore and Ed Gillespie also tanked in Senate and gubernatorial races in Alabama and Virginia.

    Those busted endorsements suggest that for all his mystical connection with his base, Trump is not necessarily an asset for GOP candidates in special elections. They may also be a sign that the President will be more of a liability than an asset for Republicans come midterm elections in November.

    While some Republicans are in denial over the implications of Tuesday's special election in Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District, others are concluding that relying on the President in reelection races may not be a sure bet.

    "You better be ready and in the end you determine your own fate in these things," Rep. Tom Cole, an Oklahoma Republican, said Wednesday.

    Other Republicans heaped blame on Saccone, blasting him as a poor candidate, even though he faced a tough political environment contoured by the President's low approval rating.

    "You've got to control your own destiny, and he didn't," said Rep. John Shimkus, a Illinois Republican.

    The relative talents of Saccone and Lamb are among many factors -- local, national and demographic -- that help explain Tuesday's voting, which left the Democrat claiming victory with just a few votes left to be counted.

    But the unpopularity of the President and the fact that he had traveled to the district Saturday to offer his endorsement, albeit in a typically wild and rambling rally, inevitably mean he's getting his share of criticism.

    Trump may have both hurt and helped Saccone. His historically poor approval rating is clearly pulling down all Republican candidates. The chaos in governance that the President is fomenting and his alpha male brand of leadership may also help explain his plummet among white female voters, who can be crucial in suburban areas.

    But some Republicans think Saccone may have done even worse had it not been for Trump parachuting in on Saturday, lambasting "Lamb the sham" and inspiring some of his loyal voters to cast ballots.

    "It was probably a little bit too little too late," said Shimkus.

    Two sources close to the White House told CNN's Jim Acosta that the GOP doesn't see Saccone's loss as a referendum on Trump, describing their candidate in PA-18 as "weak."

    "Candidates either run hard or run scared. It was obvious that Saccone decided to run scared," one source said.

    GOP wake-up call
    Still, Republicans accepted Lamb's win as a wake-up call for November, when the GOP's congressional majorities will be on the line.

    It might also concern Trump and his political handlers that his twin message of tax cuts and tariffs -- tailored to the former industrial heartland of Pennsylvania -- couldn't drive Saccone to victory despite his own liabilities.

    And there is no escaping the fact that other Trump-backed candidates have also lost.

    Last year, Trump came up empty when he backed "Big" Sen. Luther Strange over rival Republican Judge Roy Moore in Alabama. Then, when Moore won the primary, the President took heat for backing him against Democrat Doug Jones despite the allegations of sexual assault the judge was facing. Moore still lost.

    In November, the President endorsed Virginia gubernatorial candidate Ed Gillespie, who belatedly ran a Trump-style scorched earth campaign that was rather out of character. He also lost.

    Trump supporters could point to caveats in each case.

    In Alabama, the President defied his own instincts by backing the choice of the GOP hierarchy, Strange, rather than Moore, the most anti-establishment, Trump-like candidate. Then, in his run against Jones, Moore's personal baggage might have doomed him no matter what Trump said.

    In Virginia, Gillespie was always running uphill, since Trump lost the state to Hillary Clinton in 2016 after it was won twice by President Barack Obama.

    Despite his losing streak, Trump may not be a millstone for all Republicans in November -- at least not in races in rural districts.
    GOP tacticians, however, will have to carefully target his appearances, as they seek to drive out the Trump base to vote in the knowledge that the polarizing President can also fire up Democratic turnout.

    "Some Republicans are going to have to run different races than other Republicans, particularly those in suburban districts where Trump is not popular," said Ford O'Connell, a Republican strategist.

    "In some of these other districts, Trump might be a huge asset for you. I don't think there is a one size fits all. I would look at this as more suburban versus not as suburban."

    Republicans can also console themselves with the fact that Democrats may struggle to re-create the Lamb prototype. The new congressman held some relatively conservative positions on guns and abortion, for instance, and ran against the establishment of his own party. He did not face a primary, meaning that he could not be tugged to the left in a way that might have alienated moderate conservatives and Trump-voting converts.

    Lamb also took pains not to alienate Trump voters.

    "I know people voted for the President and voted for me. I thank them for hearing me out," he said Tuesday on CNN's "New Day."

    Obama also had his own Virginia disappointment, backing Creigh Deeds for governor, who then lost to Republican Bob McDonnell.

    Obama, a magnetic campaigner and singular political personality, was never able to transfer his aura to other Democrats -- and he took a pummeling in midterm elections that cost his party the House and effectively stunted his legislative agenda.

    When he was back on the ballot himself, however, his political powers were restored and he won re-election by assembling a coalition similar to the one that had carried him to the White House in 2008.

    If Trump's latest reverse previews a rout of Republicans at the polls in November, the President will hope that his own political magnetism and quintessential appeal can help him pull off a similar trick in 2020.
     
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    美众议员补选 共和党将失“票仓”宾州?
    2018-03-16 06:45 来源: 新华网

      美国民主党人13日晚宣称在宾夕法尼亚州联邦众议员补缺选举中获胜。非官方统计结果显示,民主和共和两党候选人眼下胜负难分。

      宾州长期以来系共和党“票仓”。距国会中期选举8个月之际,“落败宾州”无疑将给总统唐纳德·特朗普及其所属共和党敲响警钟。

      【选票差距小】

      官方正统计最后一批投票,尚未公布选举结果。按一名宾州官员的说法,选举正式结果最早3月26日揭晓,但最终统计结果可能更晚才能出炉。

      截至14日的非官方统计结果显示,逾22.4万张选票中,民主党候选人康纳·兰姆获49.8%,共和党候选人里克·萨科内获49.6%,前者优势为627票。

      两名候选人“一老一少”。兰姆现年33年,曾在美国海军陆战队服役,后担任联邦检察官,首次竞选联邦众议员;萨科内现年60岁,曾在美国空军服役,后成为州议员,本次竞选获特朗普助威。

      兰姆13日晚宣称获胜:“(胜利)比我们预想的来得稍晚一点儿,但我们做到了。大家做到了。”萨科内未承认失败。两人14日没有公开露面。

      美联社报道,由于差距小,任何一方及其支持者都可以要求重新计票。共和党人正考虑要求重新计票,以诉讼方式追究他们所称选举中的违规行为。

      之所以举行补缺选举,是因为共和党人蒂姆·墨菲去年因私生活丑闻而辞任联邦众议员。

      【后续隐忧大】

      宾州长期以来是共和党地盘。2016年总统选举中,唐纳德·特朗普以近20%的选票优势拿下宾州。之前两次宾州联邦众议员选举,民主党甚至没有推出候选人。

      宾州联邦参议员补选结果可能为11月国会中期选举定下基调。共和党人希望在中期选举后仍主导国会。

      国会众议院议长、共和党人保罗·瑞安14日与共和党籍联邦众议员会面,把宾州选举情况称作“叫醒电话”。他告诉同僚,应筹集更多竞选资金,同时更加卖力宣传由共和党人力推、获特朗普签署的税制改革。

      路透社说,共和党人视税改为赢取选票的利器,而萨科内眼下的“糟糕表现”令他们担忧。

      去年12月亚拉巴马州联邦参议员补缺选举中,民主党候选人以大约1.5%的选票优势击败共和党候选人。“拿下宾州”无疑将更增民主党人在中期选举中翻盘、即所占席位数量反超共和党人的信心。

      参议院100个席位中,民主党现有47席、共和党51席,另外两席归属“独立人士”。
     

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