玩美加关系,土豆得分,Poll却依然落后。

本帖由 zhangulei2018-08-10 发布。版面名称:渥太华华人论坛

  1. zhangulei

    zhangulei 张又雷 ID:171111

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  2. Trudeau Approval Rating Not Translating to Polls, Conservatives Continue to Lead


    Real Change Out of Range, As Most Canadians See No Progression on Campaign Promises

    Toronto, Ontario, July 3, 2018 — Scheer’s Conservatives continue to lead over the Trudeau Liberals and Singh’s NDP, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted behalf of Global News.

    If a federal election were to happen tomorrow the Conservative Party would be victorious over the Liberals, receiving 37% (up 1 point) of the decided popular vote, while the incumbent Liberals would receive 33%, up 1 point. The New Democratic Party would receive 21% (up 1 point) of the vote and the Bloc Québécois would receive 3% of the vote nationally (down 2 points) while other parties, including the Green party, would receive 5% (down 2 points) of the vote.

    The halo effect from the recent victory for the Progressive Conservative Party seems to have disappeared in Ontario, as the gap between the Federal Conservatives, Liberals and NDP has tightened in the province.

    • In Ontario, the Conservatives (35%) losing their 11-point lead from 2 weeks ago, are now neck and neck with the Liberals (33%), followed by the NDP (26%), and some other party (6%).
    • In Quebec, the Liberals lead (37%) ahead of the Conservatives (26%), with the NDP (16%) and Bloc (16%) tied. Only 6% would vote for some other party.
    • In BC, the Liberals (38%) lead with the Conservatives (36%) close behind, followed by the NDP (17%), and some other party (9%)
    • In Alberta, the Conservatives (62%) are while ahead of the NDP (21%), and Liberals (16%). Just 1% of Albertans would vote for some other parties.
    • In Saskatchewan and Manitoba, the Tories (50%) lead, followed by the Liberals (26%), NDP (22%), and some other party (3%).
    • In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals (51%) hold strong, ahead of the Tories (25%), NDP (17%), and others (7%).
    While the Conservatives lead in the popular vote, Trudeau’s approval rating continues to climb, up 5 points in just two weeks. A majority (55%) of Canadians approve (8% strongly/47% somewhat) of the performance of Justin Trudeau and the Liberal government, whereas less than half (45%) disapprove (22% strongly/22% somewhat) of his performance. The increase can possibly be attributed to recent events including following through with the highly anticipated campaign promise of legalizing marijuana and continuing to hold ground during a volatile NAFTA renegotiation.

    Despite High Approval, Trudeau Government Missing the Mark on Key Issues
    When elected in 2015, the Trudeau government promised to deliver real change to Canadians. However, the poll finds priorities impacting Canadians daily lives such as the work commute, taxation levels, and overall affordability are not getting any better. While the Trudeau government has tackled other hot topics, the issues that are impacting the average Canadian are perceived to be untouched.

    However, Canadians do feel the Trudeau government has been improving the relationship with Canada’s aboriginal communities and addressing policies to help reduce climate change. Although, these issues are not of top concerns to Canadians.

    The chart below displays the percentage of Canadians who have rated the government’s performance on key issues.


    大家反对美国的强硬,所以支持土豆。但是自由党并未得好处。因为这种支持是对美国的负面的反应。这张牌这么早就打出来,不像是成熟的政治玩家。留到大选前夕也许效果更好。
     
  3. 秋日传奇

    秋日传奇 初级会员 ID:86863

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    对土豆彻底失去信心,他已经没啥credit了,所以反对美国,真不意味支持土豆
     
    已获得地坛北里的支持。
  4. GuardianAngel

    GuardianAngel 本站元老 ID:19245 VIP

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    同感
     
  5. soysauce

    soysauce 初级会员 ID:125942

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    现八月份了,今早看到新民调土豆百分之四十多,比希尔高10个多点。评论还说百分之十几的差异,实际应比这高。长跑,悠着点,现在不要一下拉保党太远。
     
  6. 秋日传奇

    秋日传奇 初级会员 ID:86863

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    有机会接触本地人,他们对土豆给恐怖分子钱非常失望,说他把钱给criminal
     
  7. zhangulei

    zhangulei 张又雷 ID:171111

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    酱油子说的也对,poll本身就是个笑话,在美国总统大选,在安省大选都被证明完全离谱。而且每次离谱都是倾向左派。

    我现在就瞄着CBC,看他的新闻后的读者评论(如果敢开放的话)。

    基本上把CBC当人民日报看。read between the lines.

    CBC每每在最后关头会透露天机,至今100%正确,因为他们有数据。比Poll更加翔实N倍的数据。

    不是说CBC没有试图施加影响干预政党竞选的事,他们没少干这不合规矩的事儿。只不过当前的首脑是人精而已。最终CBC的目的无非是保住饭碗。
     
  8. 阿土仔

    阿土仔 本站元老 ID:73202 VIP

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    就那个不学无术的玩意儿?你自己HIGH吧!:D
     
  9. zhangulei

    zhangulei 张又雷 ID:171111

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    我的同事好几个投给自由党的,都后悔中。看来不是我一个人的观察。
     
  10. ccc

    ccc 难得糊涂 ID:6614 管理成员 VIP

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    明年联邦大选会是啥结果,谁高瞻远瞩一下。
     
  11. 他乡枫叶

    他乡枫叶 资深人士 ID:139602

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    很难想象一个公司要多么傻X,同事之间才会share谁投谁了。
    更难想象一个人的智商要多的low,才会说“我的同事都投了谁谁”,试图影响舆论和其他人的观点。
     
  12. zhangulei

    zhangulei 张又雷 ID:171111

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    :rolleyes:还是CFC有深度,有聪明的。
     
  13. zhangulei

    zhangulei 张又雷 ID:171111

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    安省保守党,前任党魁,瞻前顾后,没啥担当,被党内干掉。
    联邦自由党的大佬们,估计已经开始闭门会议,冥思苦想了。
     

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