升利息能把汽油价格降下来吗?

[tim2005]

汽油的价格不降下来，别的物价能降下来吗?

 

[Volvofun]

不理解为什么你会有这想法？又一轮割韭菜已经开始一段时间了，十年后可能还会重复。通胀跟犯罪差不多，目的就是把老百姓兜里的钱掏出来为某些人的无能买单。这不是第一次，也不会是最后一次。而且有经济学家很好的理论来解释为什么这是合理的。

给你一个最简单的例子，一些年前，土豆10磅一块钱，现在看看多少钱，大家吃土豆多了吗？最近一个老外农民告诉我的，牛肉的收购价格并没有涨很多，但是你注意一下市场上的牛肉价格看涨了多少。人的贪婪是没有极限的。

 

[xiaoxiaosu]

不能，没有最高只有更高。

 

[春夏秋鼕]

设身处地如果你是产油或卖油的。。。

 

[klee19444]

升息只是影响需要大量贷款的资产价格，像房产，公司股票，石油是资源性产品，跟供求关系相关性大，跟加息没有太大关系。

 

[tim2005]

升息只是影响需要大量贷款的资产价格，像房产，公司股票，石油是资源性产品，跟供求关系相关性大，跟加息没有太大关系。

我也这么认为。但汽油价格不降，物价很难降下来。

 

[FlyingEagle]

我也这么认为。但汽油价格不降，物价很难降下来。

汽油价格只占物价的一部分。物价上涨和多种因数有关。

疫情前通胀率是1.7%，利率是1.75%。利率和通胀率持平。

现在通胀率是6.8%，利率是1.5%。利率是“负”利率，间接推高消费需求。

加拿大央行6月1日加息，暗示美国央行也会同步加息，所以6月2日美国银行马上和加拿大银行同步提高美国5年固定房贷利率。

有位美国华人网友说，6月2日搞定6月底close的房子,同时拿到30年期还款，5年固定房贷利率5%。
他说，A朋友去年12月close 5年固定房贷利率才2点几，B朋友2周前close 5年固定房贷利率4.5%。

这位美国华人网友还说，要是一年前，可能他就抢不到这个他心仪的房子。6月2日美国5年固定房贷利率上升，帮助他击退他的潜在竞争买家，让他顺利搞定心仪的房子。3月份5年固定房贷利率3点几，他没抢到心仪的房子。所以说，利率上升间接抑制一些消费需求（包括买房需求）。

随着利率上升，借贷成本上升，有些消费者就可能降低消费需求（包括改变开车习惯），慢慢将通胀率降到一定水平，央行可以不再加息。

 

[贾和平]

Get one person out of the office. Oil could down to $60-$80; gas price will be down to $1.30 -$1.50/L

Guess who he is?

 

[billwanhua]

WTI crude is trading around three month highs, settling up 0.77% to $119.41 a barrel on Tuesday. Brent crude closed at the $120.57 mark. The bullish move came as Shanghai reopened from a two month Covid-19 lockdown, opening the door for higher demand and more upside.

“We think the consumer can handle oil at $130, $135 because we had that back in 2010 to 2014. Inflation adjusted, that was basically the level. So, we think the consumer can handle that,” said Kolanovic, who has earned top honors from Institutional Investor for accurate forecasts multiple years in a row.

现在原油油价$120, 2010－2014 油价曾经$130, 当时好像很多东西都没怎么涨价，汽油也只有现在价格的一半多，都是吸血资本家在捣鬼，当然政府印钞也是一个原因

 

[eclipse]

WTI crude is trading around three month highs, settling up 0.77% to $119.41 a barrel on Tuesday. Brent crude closed at the $120.57 mark. The bullish move came as Shanghai reopened from a two month Covid-19 lockdown, opening the door for higher demand and more upside.

“We think the consumer can handle oil at $130, $135 because we had that back in 2010 to 2014. Inflation adjusted, that was basically the level. So, we think the consumer can handle that,” said Kolanovic, who has earned top honors from Institutional Investor for accurate forecasts multiple years in a row.

现在原油油价$120, 2010－2014 油价曾经$130, 当时好像很多东西都没怎么涨价，汽油也只有现在价格的一半多，都是吸血资本家在捣鬼，当然政府印钞也是一个原因浏览附件1047425

当年加币跟着石油升值，现在加币根本升不动。为啥？土豆天天鼓动电瓶车打击石油业，加拿大人还继续选土豆上台，资本没人看好加拿大。
钱是最真实的，人脑很多是犯轴的

 

[billwanhua]

当年加币跟着石油升值，现在加币根本升不动。为啥？土豆天天鼓动电瓶车打击石油业，加拿大人还继续选土豆上台，资本没人看好加拿大。
钱是最真实的，人脑很多是犯轴的

现在主要是美国政策收水，当时是美国次贷危机等放水。
加拿大7大经济体排最后，没有话语权，更没有货币定价权，都是看美国脸色

 

[MAP2012]

WTI crude is trading around three month highs, settling up 0.77% to $119.41 a barrel on Tuesday. Brent crude closed at the $120.57 mark. The bullish move came as Shanghai reopened from a two month Covid-19 lockdown, opening the door for higher demand and more upside.

“We think the consumer can handle oil at $130, $135 because we had that back in 2010 to 2014. Inflation adjusted, that was basically the level. So, we think the consumer can handle that,” said Kolanovic, who has earned top honors from Institutional Investor for accurate forecasts multiple years in a row.

现在原油油价$120, 2010－2014 油价曾经$130, 当时好像很多东西都没怎么涨价，汽油也只有现在价格的一半多，都是吸血资本家在捣鬼，当然政府印钞也是一个原因浏览附件1047425

原油只是问题的一个方面，汽油需要经过炼解。可能是炼油能力的问题

 

[贾和平]

Get one person out of the office. Oil could down to $60-$80; gas price will be down to $1.30 -$1.50/L

Guess who he is?

There are several reasons for the high gas prices. The prime reason right now is Russia's oil, the 3rd largest oil producer in the world has been embargoed by the west. If the embargo were lifted, the oil price could drop down to $80ish, then gas prices could follow the suit.

You can argue the other reasons for the high gas prices. In fact, except for the ESG initiative, oil drillers are unwilling to invest in oil rigs because who is willing to invest in the sunset business.

And if Putin were removed from the office, impossible at present, and Mr. Westfriendlyski became the president of Russia, Chevron, mobile, BP, Shell, and Total would return to Russia to continue their uncompleted investment in the oil field.

Then, the crude price will drop like a rock. We are all panicky to sell our oil shares. We should keep our eye on Putin but won't cross our figures for it.

Putin was not stupid to start the war. American global strategy needs this war as well, they benefit from the war, but at the same time, they shoot themselves in the foot.

 

[billwanhua]

Putin was not stupid to start the war. American global strategy needs this war as well, they benefit from the war, but at the same time, they shoot themselves in the foot.

You nailed it

 

[Volvofun]

Inflation is a hidden tax and literal theft by government through intentional devaluation of the currency and as a result, citizens' purchasing power.