Conservatives in the lead for first time in federal campaign, new poll shows Although the results would likely translate into a Liberal minority gove

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For the first time in the 2025 election campaign, a poll has emerged showing the Conservatives in the lead.
A just-published survey by Innovative Research had the Tories at 38 per cent to the Liberals’ 37 per cent.

Although the results would likely translate into a Liberal minority government, it’s the first of more than two dozen polls published since the March 23 start of the campaign that had the Tories out front.

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“The Conservatives have narrowed the Liberal momentum gap. The Liberal campaign is still scoring more points with more people, but their advantage is much smaller,” declared a statement by Innovative Research.
 
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