特朗普关税退却内幕:对债券市场灾难的担忧促使特朗普按下暂停键

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“MY POLICIES WILL NEVER CHANGE.” 永远是如何变成13小时的?​

Inside Trump’s tariff retreat: How fears of a bond market catastrophe convinced Trump to hit the pause button​


By Kevin Liptak, Jeff Zeleny, Phil Mattingly, Kayla Tausche and Alayna Treene, CNN

Updated 8:19 PM EDT, Wed April 9, 2025

CNN — President Donald Trump’s abrupt decision to reverse course on his sweeping tariff plan by announcing a three-month pause revealed his threshold for political pain: One week.

“They were getting yippy,” Trump said, explaining the rising criticism raining down on the White House over the last week. “They were getting a little bit yippy, a little afraid.”

Even for a president famous for his policy bobs and weaves, Wednesday’s announcement he was pausing his long-touted reciprocal tariffs for three months amounted to a stunning reversal of a plan he had appeared only a day earlier to be fully behind and came as his own trade representative was testifying on Capitol Hill to the benefits of the tariffs, seemingly catching him unaware of the pause.

Days of pressure from fellow Republicans, business executives and even his close friends hadn’t appeared to move Trump, who insisted last week: “MY POLICIES WILL NEVER CHANGE.”

Shipping containers are seen at the Port Jersey Container Terminal, with the Manhattan skyline in the distance, in Jersey City, New Jersey on April 8, 2025.
Related articleTrump announces 90-day pause on ‘reciprocal’ tariffs with exception of China
By Wednesday, however, it had become evident the campaign to convince Trump to change course would not let up. It had also become plain after a sharp sell-off in US government bond markets — usually a safe corner for investors — that the economic ramifications of the president’s strategy were potentially catastrophic and worse than his advisers had previously predicted.

The growing alarm inside the Treasury Department over developments in the bond market was a central factor in Trump’s decision to hit pause on his “reciprocal” tariff regime, according to three people familiar with the matter.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent raised those concerns directly to Trump Wednesday in a meeting that preceded the pause announcement, underscoring concerns shared by White House economic officials who had briefed Trump on the accelerating selloff in the US Treasury market earlier in the day.

Calls to top White House advisors from key business community allies also increasingly focused on the troubling developments in the bond market as they made the case for Trump to pull back.

Trump had not yet made the decision to pause the dramatic new tariff rates when he was posting on social media about the stock market Wednesday morning, two of the people said.

But he acknowledged later in the afternoon that he’d been watching the bond market turmoil closely.

“The bond market is very tricky, I was watching it,” Trump told reporters. “The bond market right now is beautiful. But yeah, I saw last night where people were getting a little queasy.”

Sitting in the Oval Office to tap out his announcement, Trump was joined by two advisers who had become dueling faces of the tariff plan: Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

“We didn’t have access to lawyers or – it was just wrote up. We wrote it up from our hearts, right? It was written from the heart, and I think it was well written too, but it was written from the heart,” Trump said afterward, describing a process driven more by impulse than mapped-out strategy.

Even as Trump calmed the markets – for now, at least – he also raised new questions by suggesting he would consider exempting some US companies from tariffs, saying he would make any such decisions “instinctively.”

Whirlwind Wednesday​

It was another whirlwind Wednesday at the White House, with advisers scrambling to keep pace with the president’s decisions. He sought to take a victory lap after one of the most humbling retreats of his presidency, eager to take credit for the stock market gains Wednesday – without mentioning the record-setting, trillion-dollar losses over the last week.

“It’s the biggest increase in the history of the stock market. That’s pretty good,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. “If you keep going, you’re going to be back to where it was four weeks ago.”

If Trump was planning early Wednesday to pause his new tariffs after days of market turmoil, he did not reveal his intentions widely. Many White House officials heard of his decision at the same time the world learned, via post on Truth Social, that the new tariffs were on pause.

Even his own top trade official seemed only vaguely aware the change was possible by the time Trump announced the reversal on social media.

“It looks like your boss just pulled out the rug from under you and paused the tariffs,” Democratic Rep. Steven Horsford of Nevada told US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer during a hearing that was underway on Capitol Hill when Trump made his announcement. Greer had offered zero indication to that point the major shift was coming.

Bessent and other officials insisted the decision to pause the new tariffs on all nations except China was not a backdown; instead, they framed the move as all part of Trump’s master plan to bring nations to the negotiating table.

“It took great courage, great courage for him to stay the course until this moment,” said Bessent, who flew to Palm Beach last weekend for a lengthy discussion with Trump on the endgame of the tariffs.

Even as his advisers danced around it, though, the president acknowledged that the rising criticism, deepening angst and mounting losses in the financial markets contributed to his abrupt decision on Wednesday afternoon to impose a three-month pause on many of the tariffs.

“I thought that people were jumping a little bit out of line,” Trump told reporters.

Alarm over bond selloff​

The administration’s economic team spent Wednesday morning intensely focused on the bond selloff that had intensified a day earlier and accelerated aggressively overnight, driving yields higher and, in effect, demonstrating the exact opposite of what would normally happen during such an unstable and volatile moment in the global economy.

Historically, Treasurys rally in moments of stock market selloffs as investors rush to shift assets to a global safehaven, the longstanding status due to the safety and liquidity provided by the US market.

Watching the inverse play out, then accelerate after unexpectedly weak demand at the first Treasury Department auction to take place since Trump’s announced his tariff regime, led to growing alarm even as Bessent dismissed it as “uncomfortable, but normal” in a Wednesday morning television interview.

But for Bessent, whose finance career was deeply intertwined with the bond market and who has been fixated on driving down the 10-year yields in his cabinet post, the alarm relayed by senior Treasury officials was understood and reflected in the later conversation with Trump.

The president, who is a close monitor of his own coverage on television, had seen even some of his close allies issue dire warnings about the prospects of a recession as a result of the tariffs. He was watching Fox Business channel on Wednesday morning when JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said a recession was “a likely outcome” of an escalating trade war resulting from Trump’s tariff policies.

“Markets aren’t always right, but sometimes they are right,” Dimon told Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo.

Executives light up White House phones​

Inside the White House, telephone calls had been coming quickly from business executives, Republicans and other allies of the President urging him to reconsider his tariffs, but they received little indication a pause was in the works.

Executives had been lighting up the phone lines of chief of staff Susie Wiles, Vice President JD Vance, and Treasury secretary Scott Bessent to make the case to Trump directly as trade hawks continued to promote Trump’s tariffs-at-all-costs approach on television as the market continued to sink.

Wiles, these sources said, had been particularly effective in convincing Trump that the market rout was costing considerable political capital that he would need for future agenda items, with lawmakers fielding increasingly angry constituent calls as the market continued sinking.

Bessent, whose conversation with Trump in Florida over the weekend focused on zeroing in on the overall goal of the tariffs, also appeared to assume more of a role in the public messaging, talking frequently about the dozens of countries now jockeying for trade deals.

“This was driven by the President’s strategy. He and I had a long talk on Sunday, and this was his strategy all along,” Bessent said on Wednesday.

Trump, however, acknowledged he’d been keeping a close eye on markets, calling their performance “glum” over the last few days.

A week after making a tariff announcement that upended the global trading system, the president stood outside the White House in front of three colorful race cars and reflected on what led to his retreat. He sought to take credit for a problem largely of his own making, saying his credibility was not eroded by the whiplash.

“You have to have flexibility,” Trump said. “I think in financial markets, because they change, look how much you change today.”

 

“MY POLICIES WILL NEVER CHANGE.” 永远是如何变成13小时的?​

Inside Trump’s tariff retreat: How fears of a bond market catastrophe convinced Trump to hit the pause button​


By Kevin Liptak, Jeff Zeleny, Phil Mattingly, Kayla Tausche and Alayna Treene, CNN

Updated 8:19 PM EDT, Wed April 9, 2025

CNN — President Donald Trump’s abrupt decision to reverse course on his sweeping tariff plan by announcing a three-month pause revealed his threshold for political pain: One week.

“They were getting yippy,” Trump said, explaining the rising criticism raining down on the White House over the last week. “They were getting a little bit yippy, a little afraid.”

Even for a president famous for his policy bobs and weaves, Wednesday’s announcement he was pausing his long-touted reciprocal tariffs for three months amounted to a stunning reversal of a plan he had appeared only a day earlier to be fully behind and came as his own trade representative was testifying on Capitol Hill to the benefits of the tariffs, seemingly catching him unaware of the pause.

Days of pressure from fellow Republicans, business executives and even his close friends hadn’t appeared to move Trump, who insisted last week: “MY POLICIES WILL NEVER CHANGE.”

Shipping containers are seen at the Port Jersey Container Terminal, with the Manhattan skyline in the distance, in Jersey City, New Jersey on April 8, 2025.
Related articleTrump announces 90-day pause on ‘reciprocal’ tariffs with exception of China
By Wednesday, however, it had become evident the campaign to convince Trump to change course would not let up. It had also become plain after a sharp sell-off in US government bond markets — usually a safe corner for investors — that the economic ramifications of the president’s strategy were potentially catastrophic and worse than his advisers had previously predicted.

The growing alarm inside the Treasury Department over developments in the bond market was a central factor in Trump’s decision to hit pause on his “reciprocal” tariff regime, according to three people familiar with the matter.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent raised those concerns directly to Trump Wednesday in a meeting that preceded the pause announcement, underscoring concerns shared by White House economic officials who had briefed Trump on the accelerating selloff in the US Treasury market earlier in the day.

Calls to top White House advisors from key business community allies also increasingly focused on the troubling developments in the bond market as they made the case for Trump to pull back.

Trump had not yet made the decision to pause the dramatic new tariff rates when he was posting on social media about the stock market Wednesday morning, two of the people said.

But he acknowledged later in the afternoon that he’d been watching the bond market turmoil closely.

“The bond market is very tricky, I was watching it,” Trump told reporters. “The bond market right now is beautiful. But yeah, I saw last night where people were getting a little queasy.”

Sitting in the Oval Office to tap out his announcement, Trump was joined by two advisers who had become dueling faces of the tariff plan: Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

“We didn’t have access to lawyers or – it was just wrote up. We wrote it up from our hearts, right? It was written from the heart, and I think it was well written too, but it was written from the heart,” Trump said afterward, describing a process driven more by impulse than mapped-out strategy.

Even as Trump calmed the markets – for now, at least – he also raised new questions by suggesting he would consider exempting some US companies from tariffs, saying he would make any such decisions “instinctively.”

Whirlwind Wednesday​

It was another whirlwind Wednesday at the White House, with advisers scrambling to keep pace with the president’s decisions. He sought to take a victory lap after one of the most humbling retreats of his presidency, eager to take credit for the stock market gains Wednesday – without mentioning the record-setting, trillion-dollar losses over the last week.

“It’s the biggest increase in the history of the stock market. That’s pretty good,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. “If you keep going, you’re going to be back to where it was four weeks ago.”

If Trump was planning early Wednesday to pause his new tariffs after days of market turmoil, he did not reveal his intentions widely. Many White House officials heard of his decision at the same time the world learned, via post on Truth Social, that the new tariffs were on pause.

Even his own top trade official seemed only vaguely aware the change was possible by the time Trump announced the reversal on social media.

“It looks like your boss just pulled out the rug from under you and paused the tariffs,” Democratic Rep. Steven Horsford of Nevada told US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer during a hearing that was underway on Capitol Hill when Trump made his announcement. Greer had offered zero indication to that point the major shift was coming.

Bessent and other officials insisted the decision to pause the new tariffs on all nations except China was not a backdown; instead, they framed the move as all part of Trump’s master plan to bring nations to the negotiating table.

“It took great courage, great courage for him to stay the course until this moment,” said Bessent, who flew to Palm Beach last weekend for a lengthy discussion with Trump on the endgame of the tariffs.

Even as his advisers danced around it, though, the president acknowledged that the rising criticism, deepening angst and mounting losses in the financial markets contributed to his abrupt decision on Wednesday afternoon to impose a three-month pause on many of the tariffs.

“I thought that people were jumping a little bit out of line,” Trump told reporters.

Alarm over bond selloff​

The administration’s economic team spent Wednesday morning intensely focused on the bond selloff that had intensified a day earlier and accelerated aggressively overnight, driving yields higher and, in effect, demonstrating the exact opposite of what would normally happen during such an unstable and volatile moment in the global economy.

Historically, Treasurys rally in moments of stock market selloffs as investors rush to shift assets to a global safehaven, the longstanding status due to the safety and liquidity provided by the US market.

Watching the inverse play out, then accelerate after unexpectedly weak demand at the first Treasury Department auction to take place since Trump’s announced his tariff regime, led to growing alarm even as Bessent dismissed it as “uncomfortable, but normal” in a Wednesday morning television interview.

But for Bessent, whose finance career was deeply intertwined with the bond market and who has been fixated on driving down the 10-year yields in his cabinet post, the alarm relayed by senior Treasury officials was understood and reflected in the later conversation with Trump.

The president, who is a close monitor of his own coverage on television, had seen even some of his close allies issue dire warnings about the prospects of a recession as a result of the tariffs. He was watching Fox Business channel on Wednesday morning when JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said a recession was “a likely outcome” of an escalating trade war resulting from Trump’s tariff policies.

“Markets aren’t always right, but sometimes they are right,” Dimon told Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo.

Executives light up White House phones​

Inside the White House, telephone calls had been coming quickly from business executives, Republicans and other allies of the President urging him to reconsider his tariffs, but they received little indication a pause was in the works.

Executives had been lighting up the phone lines of chief of staff Susie Wiles, Vice President JD Vance, and Treasury secretary Scott Bessent to make the case to Trump directly as trade hawks continued to promote Trump’s tariffs-at-all-costs approach on television as the market continued to sink.

Wiles, these sources said, had been particularly effective in convincing Trump that the market rout was costing considerable political capital that he would need for future agenda items, with lawmakers fielding increasingly angry constituent calls as the market continued sinking.

Bessent, whose conversation with Trump in Florida over the weekend focused on zeroing in on the overall goal of the tariffs, also appeared to assume more of a role in the public messaging, talking frequently about the dozens of countries now jockeying for trade deals.

“This was driven by the President’s strategy. He and I had a long talk on Sunday, and this was his strategy all along,” Bessent said on Wednesday.

Trump, however, acknowledged he’d been keeping a close eye on markets, calling their performance “glum” over the last few days.

A week after making a tariff announcement that upended the global trading system, the president stood outside the White House in front of three colorful race cars and reflected on what led to his retreat. He sought to take credit for a problem largely of his own making, saying his credibility was not eroded by the whiplash.

“You have to have flexibility,” Trump said. “I think in financial markets, because they change, look how much you change today.”



真的不喜欢“特朗普关税退却内幕”这种标题。

你认为现在川普是退却了吗? 现在川普是处于退却的弱势?中国现在占优势了?LOL

从川普上台开始中国对中美局势出现重大误判, 外交部美国使领馆,美大司,外交部,情报部门要人事震荡了。
 
真的不喜欢“特朗普关税退却内幕”这种标题。

你认为现在川普是退却了吗? 现在川普是处于退却的弱势?中国现在占优势了?LOL

从川普上台开始中国对中美局势出现重大误判, 外交部美国使领馆,美大司,外交部,情报部门要人事震荡了。
我用的Google翻译,retreat 还能怎么翻?

 
我用的Google翻译,retreat 还能怎么翻?


说一个江总的典故, 在江总时期,也有被暴揍的时候,比如96台海军演,两个美军航母战斗群大模大样过台湾海峡, 共军的所有雷达被瘫痪。 底下的人实事求是把当时的场景,上报军委, 当事人没有一个被处置(当时共军技术也确实太差),江坦然承认差距, 很多次内部会议多次提出差距,激发整个班底卧薪尝胆, 提前30年,搞了好几个奠基的军事现代化的计划。如果当时江的班底文过饰非,欺上瞒下,十几年后习接手的时候不会有很强的基础。
 
真的不喜欢“特朗普关税退却内幕”这种标题。

你认为现在川普是退却了吗? 现在川普是处于退却的弱势?中国现在占优势了?LOL

从川普上台开始中国对中美局势出现重大误判, 外交部美国使领馆,美大司,外交部,情报部门要人事震荡了。

只要看明白美债崩盘凶险之处,就知道川普是不是退却。这次中日等大债主都没有出重手,出现了墙倒众人推的局面。

虽然小国都不敢反抗,但是对米国的信心正在崩塌中。关税贸易工业化都不是米帝国的要害。金元帝国的命门是美债。

一旦美债发不出去,利率飙升,国家级的庞氏骗局立马穿帮。
 
只要看明白美债崩盘凶险之处,就知道川普是不是退却。这次中日等大债主都没有出重手,出现了墙倒众人推的局面。

虽然小国都不敢反抗,但是对米国的信心正在崩塌中。关税贸易工业化都不是米帝国的要害。金元帝国的命门是美债。

一旦美债发不出去,利率飙升,国家级的庞氏骗局立马穿帮。
国债实在发不出去时有老鲍兜底,FED所谓QE就是买财政部的国债。
 
只要看明白美债崩盘凶险之处,就知道川普是不是退却。这次中日等大债主都没有出重手,出现了墙倒众人推的局面。

虽然小国都不敢反抗,但是对米国的信心正在崩塌中。关税贸易工业化都不是米帝国的要害。金元帝国的命门是美债。

一旦美债发不出去,利率飙升,国家级的庞氏骗局立马穿帮。

实事求是一点吧。

老共以前牛逼的时候,正是因为老共系统还是有一股力量实事求是去承认问题解决问题,

没看见今天10%的拉升, 完全扭转了美国股债汇三市场。中国一下子成为被动。

短短2小时,世界各国各金主跟进,才有今天10%的行情,这行情就是对川普的背书。

还没看出形势?
 
实事求是一点吧。

老共以前牛逼的时候,正是因为老共系统还是有一股力量实事求是去承认问题解决问题,

没看见今天10%的拉升, 完全扭转了美国股债汇三市场。中国一下子成为被动。

短短2小时,世界各国各金主跟进,才有今天10%的行情,这行情就是对川普的背书。

还没看出形势?

这次股灾本来就是事件驱动,川普退一点,股市就恢复一点。很正常。
一天拉 10% ,这是典型的熊市反弹。6100 点跌下来,反弹 1/3 就上天了?股市的好日子还长着呢,这才刚开头

按照川普捣乱捣乱再捣乱的德行,
如果不和中欧加墨这些大贸易伙伴谈妥,股市不可能完全恢复。
如果美国不对世界各国全面加税,中国商品绕道畅通无阻。实际上美国商品也会绕道进入中国。
中美两家的体量,那一个都不会倒下。中美斗争,便宜第三方而已。
 
最后编辑:
一天拉 10% ,这是典型的熊市反弹。6100 点跌下来,反弹 1/3 就上天了?股市的好日子还长着呢,这才刚开头
应该是真反弹,坏消息最多时也没跌破200日均线。现在有一点好消息反弹合理但回不到以前的水平。
 
应该是真反弹,坏消息最多时也没跌破200日均线。现在有一点好消息反弹合理但回不到以前的水平。

第一次跌到200日均线附近,出现强反弹很正常。直接破位的情况并不多。
但是将来如何恢复,是否会再次测试,或者要震荡多少时间,那就很难说。
今年会有很大几率损失时间。投资赚的是时间,因为时间意味着复利。
 
这次股灾本来就是事件驱动,川普退一点,股市就恢复一点。很正常。
一天拉 10% ,这是典型的熊市反弹。6100 点跌下来,反弹 1/3 就上天了?
但是,如果不和中欧加墨这些大贸易伙伴谈妥,股市不可能完全恢复。
按照川普捣乱捣乱再捣乱的德行,股市的好日子还长着呢,这才刚开头

如果美国不对世界各国全面加税,中国商品绕道畅通无阻。实际上美国商品也会绕道进入中国。
中美两家的体量,那一个都不会倒下。中美斗争,便宜第三方而已。

这次所谓川普乱加关税的事件,这一系列操作就是给中国挖的坑,对川普来说是完全不按常理出牌, 却几乎完全镇住了绝大多数国家,并对真正要打击的中国 一个围歼,川普现在是大胜,还没看出来?

到现在为止的盘面中国占大优势了? LOL
 
这次所谓川普乱加关税的事件,这一系列操作就是给中国挖的坑,对川普来说是完全不按常理出牌, 却几乎完全镇住了绝大多数国家,并对真正要打击的中国 一个围歼,川普现在是大胜,还没看出来?

到现在为止的盘面中国占大优势了? LOL

川普一直说在等习近平的电话,要跟中国谈交易,那就是明明白白在恳求了。习近平打了电话吗?

中国这几轮的迅速有力的反击,向全世界表明,中国这个对抗美帝霸权的带头人角色,立住了。
 
川普一直说在等习近平的电话,要跟中国谈交易,那就是明明白白在恳求了。习近平打了电话吗?

中国这几轮的迅速有力的反击,向全世界表明,中国这个对抗美帝霸权的带头人角色,立住了。

你不觉得中国在反击34% 和50% 的两次 “奉陪到底” FIGHT UNTIL THE END, 现在很被动? 想好怎么圆场?

现在几乎所有的媒体都在说中国这个 “奉陪到底” FIGHT UNTIL THE END

你把外交部发言人的两次稿子看一下,别的措词基本没问题, 这个“奉陪到底” FIGHT UNTIL THE END ?
 
这次所谓川普乱加关税的事件,这一系列操作就是给中国挖的坑,对川普来说是完全不按常理出牌, 却几乎完全镇住了绝大多数国家,并对真正要打击的中国 一个围歼,川普现在是大胜,还没看出来?

到现在为止的盘面中国占大优势了? LOL
如果他是有预谋的设套,那是一步高棋,比如想要达到现在的效果,他进攻的结果,促成了中美脱钩。

这种可能性存在,但我看不像。比如难以置信的用错公式,13小时后全面更改。因为他完全可以不公布公式,只公布对等关税的结果,何必要明示一个错的?有人说他今天13小时撤退是艺术行为,我看也不像,为何不在0点前收回成命?而要朝令夕改?

我的观察都不是高棋,而是臭棋乱招。
 
你不觉得中国在反击34% 和50% 的两次 “奉陪到底” FIGHT UNTIL THE END, 现在很被动? 想好怎么圆场?

现在几乎所有的媒体都在说中国这个 “奉陪到底” FIGHT UNTIL THE END

你把外交部发言人的两次稿子看一下,别的措词基本没问题, 这个“奉陪到底” FIGHT UNTIL THE END ?


一点都不被动。

这次是川普主动送给中国打击川普的嚣张气焰和摧毁美帝霸权的绝好机会。中国如果放弃,甚至像小国越南一样跪舔,那才是丢脸丢到姥姥家了。
 
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