Federal Election 2011 Seat Prejection

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5 seats short of a majority

这个靠谱。

想多夺得12席组成多数政府，现在看不到那个前景。

 

[CHRIS88]

5 seats short of a majority

这个靠谱。

想多夺得12席组成多数政府，现在看不到那个前景。

不一定啊不一定,我们先看辩论再说吧。

 

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看了辩论，Chris有什么高见？

 

[CHRIS88]

看了辩论，Chris有什么高见？

这次辩论总的来说四平八稳，对选情不会有很大的影响。但哈博表现稳重诚恳，抓住所有的机会宣扬保守党的政绩政策，巩固了已有优势，应该说小有斩获。新民党在和自由党的竞争中亦小有所获。自由党Ignatief表现不佳。重复太多，并且在林登挑战他的议会出席率时居然一时语塞。

我更看好保守党多数政府并且估计新民党和自由党的差距会拉近。

 

[CHRIS88]

The following seat projection is drawn from a weighting and blending of polls conducted between Apr. 26 to 29. It is an adaption of the one circulated on April 30, but includes additional polls unavailable at the time including data from Nanos, Ipsos,Angus Reid, Ekos, Harris-Decima, Leger and Forum Research. The aggregate sample exceeds 10,000 respondents.

Con: 144
Lib: 51
NDP: 98
BQ: 15
Others: --

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/seatprojections.html

Latest Lispop seat prediction. Let's see how accurate or inaccurate it is.

 

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...

Con: 144
Lib: 51
NDP: 98
BQ: 15
Others: --

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/seatprojections.html

Latest Lispop seat prediction. Let's see how accurate or inaccurate it is.

这个不好玩。还是热狗的预报给力。

保守党，140席；自由党，50席；魁北克集团，27席；新民主党，91席

 

[CHRIS88]

这个不好玩。还是热狗的预报给力。

My prediction is more interesting(给力): a conservative majority. The following are some of the reasons:
1) The high poll numbers of NDP will help mobilize the conservative base;
2) High NDP support will draining support from the liberals;
3) NDP cannot translate the high support to seats in most ridings due to the lack of ground troops.

 

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My prediction is more interesting(给力): a conservative majority. The following are some of the reasons:
1) The high poll numbers of NDP will help mobilize the conservative base;
2) High NDP support will draining support from the liberals;
3) NDP cannot translate the high support to seats in most ridings due to the lack of ground troops.

人有多大胆，地有多大产！

 

[CHRIS88]

人有多大胆，地有多大产！

How about a last-minute bet: all you have vs all I have.

 

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How about a last-minute bet: all you have vs all I have.

切，这就是为什么NDP有市场。:blowzy:

 

[CHRIS88]

切，这就是为什么NDP有市场。:blowzy:

That's a fair offer, isn't it?

 

[CHRIS88]

人有多大胆，地有多大产！

村长，幸亏没接茬啊。

 

[ccc]

村长，幸亏没接茬啊。

你胆子后来变小了。

 

[CHRIS88]

你胆子后来变小了。

呵呵，还真没把握。