zt 川普表扬世卫承认lockdown不能解决病毒问题。反而可能造成伤害。

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新冠肺炎仍在全球蔓延,國外的疫情仍尚未趨緩,世界衛生組織(WHO)冠狀病毒特使David Nabarro指出,「不應把『封鎖政策』當成控制新冠病毒的主要方法」,與原先官方的說詞明顯反差。

根據英國《The Spectator》報導,David Nabarro受訪時表示,「WHO不會提倡把『封鎖政策』當作控制新冠病毒傳播的主要方法,這可能讓貧富差距更加擴大。」他認為,封鎖政策只會造成一個後果,那就是「貧者越貧」,貧窮族群在封鎖政策下,會比富有族群更易受到傷害。

David Nabarro說,以目前的貧窮水準而言,「貧窮人口及程度在未來可能出現『倍數成長』的現象,甚至會出現兒童營養不良。」David Nabarro提到,像是東南亞、加勒比海等觀光勝地,若是實施封鎖政策,影響將會更加嚴重。

世界衛生組織(WHO)公共衛生緊急計畫執行主任Michael Ryan也指出,希望各國能避免進入封鎖狀態,不過在某些情況下,這可能是唯一選擇,但一旦封鎖結束,疾病反撲的風險仍然存在。

過去WHO大力稱讚大陸的防疫成果,如今態度大轉彎,美國總統川普也在推特發文表示,「WHO剛剛承認我是對的。封鎖政策正在危害各國,治療的方法不能比問題本身更糟。民主黨的州長們,開放你們的州、打開紐約。這是一場漫長的戰鬥,但他們終於做了正確的事!」


▼川普發文。(圖/翻攝自Donald J. Trump推特)

 

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老川推的好像就是WHO说的。嗯。
 

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WHO doctor says lockdowns should not be main coronavirus defence
By Michael Doyle
Posted Yesterday at 1:37am
Restaurants line a street in Melbourne's Chinatown but the road  is empty except for one delivery driver and three pedestrians.

Melbourne's second wave lockdown has badly hurt businesses, and recent comments by a leading doctor have raised questions about whether they were necessary.(ABC News: Simon Tucci)
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Recent commentary from the World Health Organization's (WHO) special envoy on COVID-19 has sparked questions about the legitimacy of lockdowns to stop the spread of coronavirus.
"We in the World Health Organization do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus."
This statement from Dr David Nabarro has also prompted questions about whether the WHO has backflipped on its advice, months after the pandemic was declared.
So, when should lockdowns be considered, what is the WHO's advice on them and how does this affect Australia?
Catch up on the main COVID-19 news from October 13 with our coronavirus blog.WHO doctor calls on world leaders to use other control methods
The latest discussion about strict lockdowns started after the WHO's special envoy on COVID-19 said they should not be used as the primary method of control.
Dr Nabarro made the statements in an interview with The Spectator.
"The only time we believe a lockdown in justified is to buy you time to reorganise, regroup, rebalance your resources; protect your health workers who are exhausted," Dr Nabarro said.
"But by and large, we'd rather not do it."

Dr Nabarro told The Spectator the economic impact on small countries that rely on tourism and increased poverty levels are two major effects of shutting communities down.
"We really do appeal to all world leaders, stop using lockdown as your primary method of control," he said.
"Lockdowns have just one consequence that you must never ever belittle, and that is making poor people an awful lot poorer."
While the statements by themselves seem to call for an end to lockdowns, the message is consistent with a piece written by Dr Nabarro days earlier.
Titled, Reflections about the Middle Path, he advocates for governments around the world to find a balance between restrictions and normal life.
"Too many restrictions damage people's livelihoods and provoke resentment. 'Virus run wild' will lead to lots of deaths as well as debilitating long-COVID among younger people," he wrote.
The message from the article is that health measures which involve strict personal hygiene, effective contact tracing and isolating when ill are the essential measures to be taken.
"Public health services are organised to offer locally-integrated support for interrupting transmission and suppressing clusters," he wrote.
Read more about coronavirus:
"This means test-trace-isolate-protect services everywhere, with clearly justified performance metrics.
"It is important there is enough testing capacity to pick up where the virus is, to detect spikes and manage surges.
"Lockdowns just freeze the virus … they do not lead to elimination."
So when should lockdowns and restrictions be lifted?
The WHO put out a six-step plan for governments to follow to ease restrictions.
To ease restrictions the WHO says governments should:
  • Ensure transmission is under control
  • Make sure health systems can care for every case — including tracing and isolating
  • Minimise risks in health facilities, including nursing homes
  • Have preventative measures in workplaces, schools and other essential places
  • Manage the risk of the virus being imported in from another place
  • Fully educate the community on the new normal, and how they can protect themselves
To keep the COVID-19 outbreak under control we need to keep growth factor below 1.0
Australia's current
growth factor is1.04
Aug 30
Oct 13
Average 22 cases per day for the past 7 days
HIGHEST1.28 Mar 18thLOWEST0.87 Apr 26th
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Does this mean the WHO has backflipped on its advice?
Not necessarily.
The WHO has been advocating for contact tracing, hygiene and isolation since the beginning of the pandemic.
During a media briefing on April 14, the Director General of the WHO, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, spoke directly to the issue of lockdowns.
He said while some countries may have been considering lockdowns, contact tracing was an essential measure all governments needed to have in place.
"We know that early case finding, testing, isolating, caring for every case and tracing every contact is essential for stopping transmission," he said.
"As I have said many times, physically distancing restrictions are only part of the equation, and there are many other basic public health measures that need to be put in place."
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WATCH
Duration: 3 minutes 54 seconds3m 54s


WHO Director-General says lockdowns are only one part of a public health response during his press briefing on April 14.
The Director General also spoke about the impracticality of lockdowns in countries with weaker economies, similar to the statements made by Dr Nabarro to The Spectator.
"In countries with large poor populations, the stay-at-home orders and other restrictions used in some high-income countries may not be practical.
"Many poor people, migrants and refugees are already living in overcrowded conditions with few resources and little access to healthcare.
"How do you survive a lockdown when you depend on your daily labour to eat?"
Days since the last reported case of COVID-19
NSW
0
SA
0
VIC
0
WA
0
QLD
3
TAS
63
NT
73
ACT
95
Last updated 0:48 AM AEST on Wednesday, October 14
Dr Margaret Harris, a spokesperson for the WHO, was asked on Monday morning if the organisation had backflipped on its own advice.
Appearing on Chanel Nine's Today show, Dr Harris said claims of a backflip were the result of misreporting of Dr Nabarro's comments.
"It is not a backflip, it is not a change in advice," Dr Harris said.
"Right from the start we have said what we'd really like to see is a strong tracking, tracing, the community hand-washing [and] mask wearing, so that you don't have to go into lockdown.
"A lot of countries have had to go to lockdown, but we say do all the other things to avoid going there because the economic and social costs are very high."
This statement by Dr Harris on Monday is consistent with a statement she gave to Australian media in April.
In an interview with the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age — both owned by Chanel Nine — she said the WHO was advocating for strong contact tracing.
"We have never said go into lockdown — we have said track, trace, isolate, treat," Dr Harris said.
Stay up-to-date on the coronavirus outbreak
How has Australia approached lockdowns?
This now leads us to one of the big questions — if the WHO says lockdowns are a last resort, why do parts of Australia still have them?
Lockdowns and restrictions in Australia have been firmly in the spotlight for months.
Victoria's numbers are very low compared to the peak of its second wave.
Queensland and Western Australia have virtually no community transmission, yet still have varying border restrictions.
Premier Daniel Andrews, dressed in a shirt and jacket, delivers a press conference in front of a purple backdrop.

Premier Daniel Andrews' Victoria is recording low case numbers when compared to the peak of the state's second wave.(ABC News: Simon Tucci)
Way back in April — less than a month after the first major coronavirus restrictions were put in place — now-Acting Chief Medical Officer (CMO) Paul Kelly said Australia's coronavirus strategy recognised the possibility of a second wave.
He explained the measures being taken were about putting the second wave off as far into the future as possible to ensure the nation was ready to deal with an increase in cases.
"And that's why precedents have been set by the Prime Minister before we lift social distancing and socialisation about case finding, keeping the cases low if possible," he said at a press briefing.
Coronavirus questions answered
An illustration of a cell on an orange background with the word 'coronacast' overlayed.
Breaking down the latest news and research to understand how the world is living through an epidemic, this is the ABC's Coronacast podcast.
Read more

"If cases occur, [it's about] finding them quickly, finding their contacts, quarantining them and decreasing the size of any outbreaks that we might have by having a very detailed and quick response."
He added: "That ability to do the laboratory testing rapidly and accurately, to be able to find cases, find their contacts, is another reason to download the app. It will help us to fight a second wave.
"The longer we leave that second wave into the future, the more likely it is we'll have successful treatments."
The Acting CMO also said back then that it'd be up to the states and territories to use their own judgment to ease lockdown restrictions as they saw fit, based on the rate of infections.
"That's not a mixed message. That is a changed message," he said.
"And we will, as we have always done, undertake to share those differences and share those announcements as soon as they come to be."
 

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老船,的确有世界领袖的决断力。早早就看到了封城的大问题。而且不惜自己的政治生命,竭尽全力发声,去阻止不惜代价的抗疫模式。不惜代价的抗疫模式,那些代价就是国家实力的跌落,穷人变得更穷。WHO都承认了。
 

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川黑们帮着一起添柴加火,一会儿说超级传染源,一会儿说川总霸着最好医疗系统,一会儿说搞不清楚有没有疫苗,一会儿又说是装病。。。真热闹。反正川总痊愈以后就证明了这病毒没那么可怕,没疫苗儿照样该干嘛干嘛
 

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穿黑会说市委现任官员说的不算数,找个美国前官员,不掌握疫情信息的穿黑,两嘴一吧嗒的胡说八道把数据乘以10倍百倍,川恨大妈如获至宝。

Fake news 川黑每天都领 talk points,前仆后继
 

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是否需要lockdown可以再讨论。但lockdown造成进一步贫富两极分化的情况已经出现。现在房市股市和实体经济完全脱离很能说明问题。
 

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BBC 的 News,这是 WHO 的观点,关于 herd immunity:

Some have argued that coronavirus should be allowed to spread naturally in the absence of a vaccine.
But WHO chief Tedros Ghebreyesus said such an approach was "scientifically and ethically problematic".

Speaking at a news conference on Monday, Dr Tedros argued that the long-term impacts of coronavirus - as well as the strength and duration any immune response - remained unknown.

"Never in the history of public health has herd immunity been used as a strategy for responding to an outbreak, let alone a pandemic."

"Letting Covid-19 circulate unchecked therefore means allowing unnecessary infections, suffering and death," he said.
 

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BBC 的 News,这是 WHO 的观点,关于 herd immunity:

Some have argued that coronavirus should be allowed to spread naturally in the absence of a vaccine.
But WHO chief Tedros Ghebreyesus said such an approach was "scientifically and ethically problematic".

Speaking at a news conference on Monday, Dr Tedros argued that the long-term impacts of coronavirus - as well as the strength and duration any immune response - remained unknown.

"Never in the history of public health has herd immunity been used as a strategy for responding to an outbreak, let alone a pandemic."

"Letting Covid-19 circulate unchecked therefore means allowing unnecessary infections, suffering and death," he said.

这里有记者吹风会的开场白全文和视频。

 

livingeverywhere

你删贴,就说明你特别害怕我说的,如CFC红徽记就是连台湾都是红色。观察我的消息数,每次减少就是被删了
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这让那些自称作业写得好的国家怎么找到抄作业的小弟呢
 

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病毒导致美国等国家在自毁。头脑清楚的,

会压平第一波,高死亡率的冲击。这是人道!
会驾驭第二波,如果没有条件消灭病毒,就科学地与之共舞。

一开始不反对herd immunity,到了第二波开始反对,

这无论如何,都是不符合逻辑和科学的。典型的反智,或者有其他政治agenda。

WHO is APOS。
 
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yanngoyan

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责任国答应的收买钱没到账,世卫的航向都转了。
 
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