谢谢CFC网友！四年后见！｛保守党赢了166席！林顿赢102席！绿党历史上第一次进MP!｝

[Election2011]

四月二十日的民调: 保(39.1%-0.1):自(26.7%-1.7):新(22.1%＋2.3)++2.15%未定

自由党的支持率继续下滑！

 

[Election2011]

那还是自己开车去吧。网上投票怎么操作？

好像加拿大还没有网投一说！

 

[Election2011]

Let's wait and see.

我曾预计五月大选，不幸被我言中。

再预计一把，这次大选结束后有热闹看了。

村长可否预计一把，新自两党的大选结果？

我估计：新民主党胜出。

 

[ccc]

村长可否预计一把，新自两党的大选结果？

我估计：新民主党胜出。

你看看各省的席位（选区）分配就知道了。席位是按人口分配的，不是按省分配的。

新民主党胜出? No way! 无非会增大LIB＋NDP组成联合政府的可能性。

1 Alberta — 28 seats
2 British Columbia — 36 seats
3 Manitoba — 14 seats
4 New Brunswick — 10 seats
5 Newfoundland and Labrador — 7 seats
6 Northwest Territories - 1 seat
7 Nova Scotia — 11 seats
8 Nunavut — 1 seat
9 Ontario — 106 seats
10 Prince Edward Island — 4 seats
11 Quebec — 75 seats
12 Saskatchewan — 14 seats
13 Yukon — 1 seat

 

[看不过了]

你看看各省的席位（选区）分配就知道了。席位是按人口分配的，不是按省分配的。

新民主党胜出? No way! 无非会出现LIB＋NDP组成联合政府的可能。

1 Alberta — 28 seats
2 British Columbia — 36 seats
3 Manitoba — 14 seats
4 New Brunswick — 10 seats
5 Newfoundland and Labrador — 7 seats
6 Northwest Territories - 1 seat
7 Nova Scotia — 11 seats
8 Nunavut — 1 seat
9 Ontario — 106 seats
10 Prince Edward Island — 4 seats
11 Quebec — 75 seats
12 Saskatchewan — 14 seats
13 Yukon — 1 seat

现在LIB＋NDP加BQ支持的组阁机会已经上升到60%，保守党少数组阁的机会是40%，保守党的多数政府已经是美梦一场

 

[ccc]

现在LIB＋NDP加BQ支持的组阁机会已经上升到60%，保守党少数组阁的机会是40%，保守党的多数政府已经是美梦一场

我从来没有预感到PC会赢得多数席位。那只是PC的美梦而已。

对我说来，只要不是BQ或者NDP独立组成政府就是好消息。

所以，我不会对大选结果表示失望。

 

[CHRIS88]

现在LIB＋NDP加BQ支持的组阁机会已经上升到60%，保守党少数组阁的机会是40%，保守党的多数政府已经是美梦一场

I don't think that will happen.

In the worst case scenario, we are going to have anther election one day after the new parliament is sworn in, which by the way already happened once in 1940.

 

[ccc]

I don't think that will happen.

In the worst case scenario, we are going to have anther election one day after the new parliament is sworn in, which by the way already happened once in 1940.

I don't think that will happen either.

 

[CHRIS88]

I don't think that will happen either.

Not very likely.

 

[看不过了]

我从来没有预感到PC会赢得多数席位。那只是PC的美梦而已。

对我说来，只要不是BQ或者NDP独立组成政府就是好消息。

所以，我不会对大选结果表示失望。

大可放心，BQ或者NDP独立组成政府在正常情况下不会出现

选战打到现在，选举结果几可呼之欲出，哈帕这次要偷鸡不成蚀把米了

 

[看不过了]

I don't think that will happen.

In the worst case scenario, we are going to have anther election one day after the new parliament is sworn in, which by the way already happened once in 1940.

Not so far from there, will see

 

[ccc]

大可放心，BQ或者NDP独立组成政府在正常情况下不会出现

选战打到现在，选举结果几可呼之欲出，哈帕这次要偷鸡不成蚀把米了

Agreed. 人就是这个德行，总觉得只有自己才是棵葱。

 

[CHRIS88]

大可放心，BQ或者NDP独立组成政府在正常情况下不会出现

选战打到现在，选举结果几可呼之欲出，哈帕这次要偷鸡不成蚀把米了

Here are my two cents:
1) Harper will stay as the PM;
2) Iggy will resign;
3) Jack will stay or resign, depending on the stability of the past election government. If a majority government is formed, by election or by coalition between the conservatives and a minor party such as a third-place liberal, he will resign to give way to the new generation; otherwise he will stay as the NDP leader until the next election.

 

[CHRIS88]

Not so far from there, will see

Let's see.

 

[看不过了]

Agreed. 人就是这个德行，总觉得只有自己才是棵葱。

意味深长啊

不过我同意你的评语，这一地鸡毛不梳理梳理还真成不了鸡毛掸子