Federal Election 2011 Seat Prejection

[ccc]

从历史上看，41%可以获得议会席位的多数了。当然，现在41%不等于投票时也是41%。保守党的同志们还需再接再厉继续努力。

呵，未必。关键看参与投票选民的比例有多高。现在年轻人投票的忒少。

所以，你看PC的重点对象是拉老年人。

 

[CHRIS88]

呵，未必。关键看参与投票选民的比例有多高。现在年轻人投票的忒少。

所以，你看PC的重点对象是拉老年人。

年长的人阅历多，也较强社会责任感。他们投票率较高是正常现象。其实保守党政纲中讨好特定人群的贿赂性政策时最少的。他们的政策平台注重国家的基本面，不仅强调经济的稳定发展，在国防及打击犯罪方面也有比较全面的投入，是一个平衡、稳妥、可行的平台。不像新民党和自由党那样乱开支票或者以不负责任的加税来支撑高支出。在年长的人群中得到高支持一点都不奇怪。

 

[CHRIS88]

A new round of polls are available now.

http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html#NATIONAL

 

[CHRIS88]

Should Xiao Sha be encouraged by the following results?

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/seatprojections.html

Liberals Cutting into Harper Majority:

The following seat projection is based upon a blended sample of polls from Nanos, Ekos and Leger conducted between March 28 and April 2. It includes interviews with over 8000 respondents. As with other recent projections since early February, the overall numbers represent only marginal shifting which hardly exceeds sampling error in most regions.

 

[Election2011]

You can find a summary of polling data from multiple pollsters.

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/seatprojections.html

保守党缺新动力，可能以一步之差成多数党执政
自新魁添旧福利，似乎能三党之盟变在野掌乾坤

 

[CHRIS88]

保守党缺新动力，可能以一步之差成多数党执政
自新魁添旧福利，似乎能三党之盟变在野掌乾坤

I remain optimistic for a conservative majority.

 

[ccc]

我仍维持大选还没有开始前的预测：A PC minority government.

 

[Election2011]

我仍维持大选还没有开始前的预测：A PC minority government.

自新魁联盟呢？

 

[cmah]

我仍维持大选还没有开始前的预测：A PC minority government.

那些桩脚，最后时刻，一般会西瓜偎大边，俺是看BC那边华人候选人辩论得到的启示。

那个大陆移民背景的自由党候选人袁薇（？）辩论中攻击NDP华裔候选人时，赤果果地说：（教育自己刚成年的小孩）投票要投那个能进入渥太华国会山庄出声的政党候选人，NDP从来就没赢过。

我汗，这个女人是东北人吧？怎么把桌下面的实话拿到电视上说，一点民主素养也没有。。。可惜当时没有保守党候选人。。。

所以俺觉得，进入渥太华国会山庄出声虽有点P用，可还是投机于能在渥太华组成政府的政党比较实惠。

因此，俺严正声讨那些有心绑架整个华裔选票，去投给不能执政的在野党的行为。

 

[CHRIS88]

那些桩脚，最后时刻，一般会西瓜偎大边，俺是看BC那边华人候选人辩论得到的启示。

那个大陆移民背景的自由党候选人袁薇（？）辩论中攻击NDP华裔候选人时，赤果果地说：（教育自己刚成年的小孩）投票要投那个能进入渥太华国会山庄出声的政党候选人，NDP从来就没赢过。

我汗，这个女人是东北人吧？怎么把桌下面的实话拿到电视上说，一点民主素养也没有。。。可惜当时没有保守党候选人。。。

所以俺觉得，进入渥太华国会山庄出声虽有点P用，可还是投机于能在渥太华组成政府的政党比较实惠。

因此，俺严正声讨那些有心绑架整个华裔选票，去投给不能执政的在野党的行为。

 

[CHRIS88]

我仍维持大选还没有开始前的预测：A PC minority government.

Let's see.

 

[CHRIS88]

Tories 41, Grits 30, NDP 15

http://www.nanosresearch.com/election2011/20110410-BallotE.pdf

Let's see what will happen after today's debate. I expect the numbers of the Grits to increase a little bit before everything settles down.

 

[aruba]

I think whoever speaks honestly and with sincere will have a positive result of tonight's debate.

 

[CHRIS88]

I think whoever speaks honestly and with sincere will have a positive result of tonight's debate.

That's the ideal situation but it is really hard to tell.

Even Dion's numbers increased after last debate. Keep in mind it is an unbalanced game, three opposition leaders ganged against the pM.

 

[CHRIS88]

Conservative Minority Holds Steady

The following seat projection is based upon a weighted blending of polls from Environics, Ekos, Angus Reid, Nanos and Innovative research conducted from March 30 and April 6. The aggregate sample is drawn from over 6000 respondents. As we complete the second week of the election campaign, the big news is that there is no news at all. It would seem as if the early campaigning hasn't affected public opinion at all, which has been virtually static since early February. This is true not just nationally, but in each of the regions as well. The Conservative and Liberal seat totals are identical to the previous LISPOP projection. The only change is that the Conservatives lose a seat to the NDP in BC, and gain one back from the BQ in Quebec. The NDP is poised to take a second seat in Quebec as well. The Conservative lead in Ontario is 7%.

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/feature20110408.html

(5 seats short of a majority).