加拿大全国房价下跌

hillside

史前人物
注册
2012-01-28
消息
352
荣誉分数
1
声望点数
0
根据加拿大房地产协会(Canadian Real Estate Association简称CREA)16日公布的统计报告,与去年同期相比,今年6月房屋销售量和房价均有所下降, 由此显示出一度火热的房地产市场正在冷却。


在CREA这份最新统计报告出炉前,便有数项经济学家撰写的房地产市场报告认为,加拿大某些类型的住宅价格虚高,虽然专家们在房价究竟被高估多少、房价下跌究竟会多快之事上难以取得一致意见。

6月的成屋销售量比5月减少1.3%(连续第二个月月度销售量下跌),通过全加最大的房地产仲介机构CREA属下经纪人成交的成屋数量为4万6444笔,也低於去年同期的4万8591笔。

房价同样下跌,今年6月全加平均房价为36万9339元,比去年同期低0.8%。


加拿大皇家银行(RBC)的高级经济师赫吉说,预期随著联邦政府提升申请房贷门槛规定的实施,本国房地产市场今年将持续冷却,等到明年央行提高基本利率,房市会进一步向买方市场转化。


为了阻止国民负债继续增长,和阻止房价进一步上涨,联邦财政部上月再一次提升申请房屋抵押贷款门槛。根据将从下周一起生效的新规定,房贷的最久偿还年限(amortization)从现行的30年进一步缩短至25年,以房屋作抵押申请贷款时最多只能取得相当於房屋价值80%的贷款,而非现行的可以取得相当於房屋价值85%的贷款。
 
雷声大,雨点小。
 
加拿大6月房价终下跌 3年料跌15% 至09年水平

加拿大地产商会(CREA)公布,上月加国二手住宅市场成交量及成交价均跌,反映持续3年的楼市热潮可能开始消煺。道银更预测,全国二手楼成交量及成交价3年内或下跌多达15%。


二手住宅6月份成交量按月跌1.3%,较去年同月跌4.4%,是去年4月以来首次按年下跌。

全国超过一半城市录得按年成交量下滑,温哥华和多伦多这两个最炽热的市场也不例外。

上月二手楼平均成交价369,339元,按年跌0.8%,以温哥华市跌幅最大,按年跌13.3%。 MLS指数升5.1%


道明银行分析员Francis Fong说,最新数字为楼市开始从天上降回地面,提供更多证据。 他指出,过去两年楼市如此畅旺,根本是不能持久的,只是受到歷史低利率所支持。


楼价3年料跌10-15%至09年水平

他继续预期短期内楼市活动会进一步放缓,成交量及成交价在3年内将较目前水平下跌10%至15%,令平均楼价回落至2009年中的水平,即是抵消超低利息导致的楼市不平衡。

由于渥京推出的一连串收紧住宅按揭的措施上周才生效,所以很多分析员及地产经纪预期,下个月公布的楼市数字,将会反映这些措施能否一如渥京所希望,令过热楼市软陆。


满银副首席经济分析员Doug Porter认为,所有象显示,即是在新按揭规定生效前,加国楼市已开始冷却,新规定只是加快冷却过程。



不过,CREA首席经济分析员Gregory Klump指出,置业人士并未在新按揭规定生效前赶快入市。他解释,渥京今次及以往收紧按揭措施,需要一段时间才能显现对市场的影响。


在2008年9月开始金融海啸,加国楼市虽下跌,但没有如美国般崩溃,而且很快乘低利率反弹,不过也令渥京担心形成楼市泡沫。
 
让暴风雨来得更猛烈些吧,让低利率的时间无限延长吧,让所有的国家都变成日本吧,让伊朗去干美国吧,让龙泽萝拉多牌几部片子吧,海燕啊海燕。
 
雷声大,雨点小。



多伦多比较明显. 4月份抢房子都抢疯了. 5月份突然就房子多起来, 然后, 然后... 就没有然后了. 我们这条街上有个房子挂两个月了还没卖掉呢...
 
政策强制30年缩短为25年还是有明显效果的
 
政策强制30年缩短为25年还是有明显效果的

R U sure?:o:D

DOMINION LENDING CENTRES 说:
On June 21, 2012, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced changes to current mortgage rules which will begin July 9th of 2012. The rules will not have any impact on existing mortgages... so unless you are in the process of purchasing a home or refinancing your current mortgage, you will not see any changes to your mortgage.
It is important to understand that the changes are targeted at mortgages insured by CMHC and other default insurers, which means they will not affect mortgages with balances equal 80% of your home's value or less:
i.e.; if you are refinancing your mortgage, and your home has a market value of $300,000, if the new mortgage balance will be equal to, or less than, $240,000 (80% of $300,000) then the new rules do not apply to you. You may still have an amortization of 30 years or less.
Also, if you are purchasing with a downpayment equal to 20% of the purchase price or more, the new rules will not affect you.
The new rules are as follows:

1. The maximum amortization period to 25 years from 30 years



2. The maximum amount of equity you can take out of your home in a refinance is being reduced to 80% from 85%.



3. The maximum gross debt service ratio will now be 39% and the maximum total debt service ratio will now be 44%. These are the debt vs. income ratios we use to determine how much of a mortgage you will qualify for and are relatively unchanged compared to current rules.



4. You will need a downpayment of 20% to purchase any home with a purchase price above $1,000,000 (this will have the greatest impact on Toronto and Vancouver housing markets)


I have listed some points below that may answer some of your questions and clarify a few key points:


* If you are purchasing a home and have entered into an Agreement of Purchase prior to July 9th, the new rules will not apply to you, even if the closing date of your purchase is beyond July 9th (those of you currently pre-approved for a purchase through our office should contact us to see what you will qualify for if you have not yet made an offer on a home).



* If your mortgage is maturing and your mortgage is above 80% of your home's market value, you will still be eligible to renew your mortgage with your current lender, or switch to a different lender (who may have a better interest rate) provided there is no increase to the mortgage. This is known as a "switch" or "transfer".



* If you have or are purchasing a new home with a downpayment less than 20% of the purchase price which is scheduled to close further in the future (i.e.; 1 or 2 years from now), as long as the mortgage was approved by the insurer (CMHC, Genworth etc...) prior to June 21st, the rules will not apply to your purchase.


When the government has introduced new rules for mortgages in the past we have always run into unique situations which have required us to communicate directly with the Ministry of Finance for exceptions. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact us.

Thank you,

Jeff Laberge, AMP
Accredited Mortgage Professional

www.YourMortgageStaff.ca
 
缩短为20年,会怎么样?:p

没有任何意义。苦了加拿大本地的买房者。

其实泡沫主要是vancouverr和toronto,那里有钱的移民多,买房不要mortgage也多。所有打击来,打击去,都是不对路数的政策。
 
村子里没怎么大涨过,所以也没跌,倒也公平。
 
变态 热狗 说:
Do you read?

1. The maximum amortization period to 25 years from 30 years

I did read. Now do you?:p
It is important to understand that the changes are targeted at mortgages insured by CMHC and other default insurers, which means they will not affect mortgages with balances equal 80% of your home's value or less:
i.e.; if you are refinancing your mortgage, and your home has a market value of $300,000, if the new mortgage balance will be equal to, or less than, $240,000 (80% of $300,000) then the new rules do not apply to you. You may still have an amortization of 30 years or less.
Also, if you are purchasing with a downpayment equal to 20% of the purchase price or more, the new rules will not affect you.
 
The time to get home

Do you really want to wait interest reach to 10%? With such low interest, the best time to get the home, you pay the minimum to bank, who cares price drop or not, that is the risk of bank, we just pay as less as possible the interest.
 
让暴风雨来得更猛烈些吧,让低利率的时间无限延长吧,让所有的国家都变成日本吧,让伊朗去干美国吧,让龙泽萝拉多牌几部片子吧,海燕啊海燕。

别急,第二部就要出了。
 
后退
顶部