谁TM唱衰村里房价，9月MLS统计结果房价比8月和去年九月都涨了不少

[mimi_ge]

好吧，那就祝ottawa楼市平安吧。

 

[mimi_ge]

咪咪哥，忙什莫去了,好想念呀

老成说你是我马甲，他不走，我不敢现身啊。

 

[uglyducking]

老成说你是我马甲，他不走，我不敢现身啊。

老程八出了好几个马甲，踌躇满志地踏上了回国的灰鸡

 

[OttCan]

9月与去年9月同期比，均价高了快1.6万（$351,585 - $335,623），去年可是交易火爆哦。

说降，最多是今年8月份有点小低谷而已，9月反弹

When you look at the number, you must understand the method used. MLS should provde a detailed specificaton.

(1) If more new and expensive house sold this month than last
month, then 均价 will be higher for this month. This explane why the 均价 most time is up for long term, because more new expense house enter market.

(2) sampling: this paper only for the house sold from MLS, not include house from any other channel, such as grapvine,
Question: what is the percentage of those houses? logically house sold in MLS should be higher (5% agent fee) Did MLS do data adjust ?

(3) recently 3 month only very good house can be sold, but the most of the house are stuck in the mls, so the price did not down a lot (for those good house),

The true method is look at same type, same house, and most the report from the agents using this method showed that house price has decreased since May, (including Ottawa).
---------------------------------------------------------
Do you know how the statistics Canada do a new house price survey? pick a same builder to report the price only for same house for several years.

Do you know how statistics Canada do labour force survey (monthly unemployment rate)? a 100 page book to descrbe the method, Do you know why in the Sept. the new job create 25000 (forget right number), but unemployment rate increase from 7.3 to 7.4?


The data from MLS is just for the fun, a simple math calcucation, not acurate. you can only trust the data published by a professional neutral agent, not from mls, a business agent.

That is why your feeling is totally different from most the people in cfc.

 

[向问天]

08年那些唱衰房价的人现在都悔紫血了

 

[OttCan]

recently sold

http://www.century21.ca/CA/ON/Ottawa/0-?Status=Sold

looked first 4 pages, only 3-4 over half m, most 300k,

 

[OttCan]

08年那些唱衰房价的人现在都悔紫血了

no one can 唱衰房价, make you own judgement. In ottawa, these 4 years, not much gain, because the base price are very low. from 2006 Fed gov hired lots of new, but this year the story is different.
layoff 33% of 20,000; lots retired in advanced and partial of them will move out; no(or less) new hire anymore recently,
who take over your house?

 

[向问天]

no one can 唱衰房价, make you own judgement. In ottawa, these 4 years not much gain, because the base price are very low.

既然是“make you own judgement”， 那你上面说那么多废话干什么呢？

 

[向问天]

no one can 唱衰房价, make you own judgement. In ottawa, these 4 years, not much gain, because the base price are very low. from 2006 Fed gov hired lots of new, but this year the story is different.
layoff 33% of 20,000; lots retired in advanced and partial pf them will move out; no(or less) new hire anymore recently,
who take over your house?

:flaming::flaming::flaming:

 

[OttCan]

既然是“make you own judgement”， 那你上面说那么多废话干什么呢？

if u want share information and idea, discuss here, if not, shut up your 废话

 

[向问天]

if u want share information and idea, discuss here, if not, shut up your 废话

calm down， 咱们这无论谁说什么，都影响不了渥太华的房价。

 

[ccc]

looked first 4 pages, only 3-4 over half m, most 300k,

I noticed this too.

 

[OttCan]

calm down， 咱们这无论谁说什么，都影响不了渥太华的房价。

yes, share the info for the potential buyer to make better decision, and learn knowledge from each other in CFC.

Only very SMALL Chinese population in Ottawa, ottawa house market is not affect by our chinese community.

 

[向问天]

if u want share information and idea, discuss here, if not, shut up your 废话

我跟你share的东西就是， 08年唱衰房价的人，没忽悠到别人，只忽悠了他们自己， 咱们应该吸取经验教训。

 

[jagar]

最近看过些房子，也和agent聊过，房价的确是跌了，一个朋友买的一个巴村房子，据agent说比同区去年同型号的便宜了两万。我相信agent所说也相信mls的统计数据，之所以统计上房价还涨，我觉得是成交的房子较好。很多人本来想花30多万买个semi, 但发现30多万再多点就能买single了，于是就买了single. 所以统计上不能完全看出来。但是成交大幅减少了很说明问题，如果有市场上挂牌出售的房子和去年同期挂牌出售的房子数量比较，就更能说明问题。总之我知道挂牌出售的房子很多，房子很不好卖。