这几天一直在看Donld Trump的竞选演说

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你的观点实际上也是美国很多主流媒体的观点。包括我以前很敬重的媒体人陈文茜。我以前也认为国际贸易理应如此。但仔细想想,墨西哥不从又怎样?重回贸易保护主义呗。以前就是这么过来的。就好像4个人打麻将,总不能让一个人总输吧。尽管他很有钱,总有一天会输光的。如果还这么玩下去的话,这一天很快会到来。到现在,还是中国,墨西哥有求于美国而不是相反。就像Trump说得,现在的领导人不会出牌,甚至不知道自己手里有多么好的牌。
 
对陈文茜,看了她对叙利亚难民的报道。我送她4个字---妇人之仁。和墨克尔一样。墨克尔能不能干完这一届都很难说。
 
楼主是美国人?就算是,在这个论坛和没有投票权的加拿大人谈论也完全是浪费时间啊。
 
说明很多人都厌烦了多年来的political correctness。
 
網路上經常有 Trump 的支持者主要來自低學歷的說法。剛找到兩個來源:

Donald Trump’s surge is all about less-educated Americans
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...reliant-on-less-educated-americans-heres-why/
Trumps-Republican-Supporters.png


http://politicsthatwork.com/blog/trump-supporters.php
trump-education.gif
 
最后编辑:
Quora: What would be some pros and cons of Donald Trump becoming president? What would happen if he became President?
https://www.quora.com/What-would-be...dent-What-would-happen-if-he-became-President

Mark Hughes, Worked on presidential elections, assistant for U.S. senator, & on Capitol Hill
228.4k Views •Mark is a Most Viewed Writer in Donald Trump.


PROS:

1. Donald Trump's background has been pretty well examined, and what you see is pretty much what you get, so he isn't an unknown commodity at this point and we probably have seen most of his worst attributes already -- granted, those negative attributes can seem bad, but notice that in any presidential election you could probably make a laundry list of the worst attributes of any candidate and come up with lots of negatives equal to or worse than Trump's;

2. Trump's business experience involves negotiations with business leaders and even governments around the world, and he likely has connections behind the scenes that surpass those of simply purely political candidates -- this gives him keen, realistic insights into economics in different parts of the world, as well as additional avenues to pursue trade agreements, and even perhaps some nuanced awareness of particular financial weaknesses of possible global competitors, not to mention experience and insight into the partnerships and/or antagonism between different industries and particular governments;

3. Trump has a confidence and powerful personality that, like it or not, tend to work well in politics, and make it far less likely he would become too strongly beholden to this or that external influencer -- we complain often about our elected officials being in the pocket of lobbyists and special interests, but Trump is his own special interest and he seems unlikely to let his own sense of personal power and rightness become manipulated or dominated by outside forces;

4. Trump is undeniably a great negotiator, and despite his bombastic public statements he has also mastered the fine art of navigating complex deals and convincing a wide variety of governments, industries, businesses, and investors to do what he wants and to work with him to achieve his goals -- while some might dislike this or that particular goal toward which Trump worked in those instances, as president a large portion of his negotiating would by necessity be in favor of very standard U.S. positions on international issues, and Trump would be applying his skills to push a lot of policies that came through/earned support from a Congress that represents the voters and that has created compromise deals and policies, rather than Trump just out there still negotiating his personal business deals that the public and our representatives weren't involved in;

5. Trump definitely supports free enterprise and favors less regulation of the market, so those who favor more libertarian economic policies might find Trump's views on these matters to be highly positive.

CONS:

1. Despite being well-educated on finance, Trump often seems extremely prone to embrace uninformed positions that turn into major embarrassments for him -- his promotion of the "Obama isn't a U.S. citizen" myth, his promotion of the anti-vaccination myths, and repeated comments that give the appearance (correct or not) that he doesn't check facts or stay informed about serious issues;

2. He's repeatedly made comments that many people felt had racial undertones -- including messages on Twitter asserting that black and Latino citizens commit most violent crimes in major cities, his aforementioned statements questioning Obama's birth and whether he's a Muslim, and other remarks;

3. Trump has been repeatedly accused of being untrustworthy, by investors and buyers as well as others, and some of the accusations include allegations of fraud -- lack of trust and concern about corruption are major problems for a presidential candidate;

4. Trump's leadership in business has allowed him to push his demands through and he's not been surrounded with people who might disagree and even try to oppose him, so he doesn't have experience building a team designed for purposes other than promoting his own narrow agenda and providing information that might be in contrast to his own position and goals -- a president has to compromise, and cannot expect to just do whatever they want while threatening to fire anyone who displeases them;

5. Trump seems impulsive and more interested in self-promotion than necessarily accomplishing significant goals -- even his finances are geared heavily toward promoting his personal brand and making him more money in order to further self-promote, with much of his behavior in public seeming largely motivated by garnering attention;

6. Trump's financial behavior has not always been successful, and in fact he's been through bankruptcy and openly admits manipulating bankruptcy laws to enrich himself at the expense of society and other people, so that he protects himself from risk by getting governments and banks to shoulder more of the burden and let him off the hook more cheaply -- lack of adequate responsibility, coupled with repeated failures on a large scale, plus actual broad lack of experience on Wall Street and with stocks, adds up to undermine his reputation as bringing good financial experience and expertise to the presidency.

There are of course more pros and cons to consider, but these are the primary ones as I see them.
 
網路上經常有 Trump 的支持者主要來自低學歷的說法。剛找到兩個來源:

Donald Trump’s surge is all about less-educated Americans
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...reliant-on-less-educated-americans-heres-why/
Trumps-Republican-Supporters.png


http://politicsthatwork.com/blog/trump-supporters.php
trump-education.gif
網路上經常有 Trump 的支持者主要來自低學歷的說法。剛找到兩個來源:

Donald Trump’s surge is all about less-educated Americans
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...reliant-on-less-educated-americans-heres-why/
Trumps-Republican-Supporters.png


http://politicsthatwork.com/blog/trump-supporters.php
trump-education.gif
偏激的,歧视性强的,特别排外的,一般都是底层人民,这在世界各地都一样
 
看来,Donald Trump赢得共和党候选人提名应该不是问题。其它那几个已经不是对手。
 
偏激的,歧视性强的,特别排外的,一般都是底层人民,这在世界各地都一样
如果站在純戰略角度,Trump 走的可能是美國版的 "公知大 V" 路線。只要罵人罵得爽就有"腦殘"粉。

 
最后编辑:
楼主是美国人?就算是,在这个论坛和没有投票权的加拿大人谈论也完全是浪费时间啊。

你觉得我们讨论加拿大的事情起了多大作用呢
 
Trump在911发生的近前2年,在他写的书里就提及了要抓本拉登。布什打伊拉克时,他说不应该打,留着萨达姆。现在看看来多英明。如果萨达姆,卡扎非活着,帮着阿萨德稳定,就不会有现在动乱。(而茉莉花革命正是由希拉里当国务卿开始的。美国和欧洲搬起石头砸自己的脚);打下伊拉克后他说,拿它的石油。现在都给了IS。美国花了3兆美元,死了5千多士兵,伤了几万,到最后,got nothing。(布什却帮着他的金主--大石油商,把油价从40块一桶升到100多一桶);几个月以前,他说炸IS的运油车队。没人听,后来,还是俄罗斯先炸的,然后美国政府才跟着炸。这些都有据可查。他说不反对普京炸叙利亚反对派,没人听。现在,俄飞机被打下来,美政府开始于俄合作了。他显然很有战略眼光,不论在商场上,还是在战场上。老百姓不是傻子。
 
最后编辑:
他还说要减税,现在美国企业税高达35%。没人愿意在美国做生意。这是事实。大工厂都要或正在搬走。这是事实。美国正在空心化。路人皆知。他要减到10-15%,让公司,工厂回到美国。中国就是就是这样作的。把教育部关了,交给各州去搞。加拿大就是这样作的。其实,他的观点触及很多人的既得利益,包括各种工会组织。所以,很多左派不选他。
 
其实,他的观点触及很多人的既得利益,包括各种工会组织。所以,很多左派不选他。
那还有什么好说的? 左派和工会不挺一个候选人, 这个候选人就一点希望都没有。
还是看好希拉里。 民众会把喝彩留给床破, 但是选票还是会留给希拉里的, 毕竟, 工会的枪杆子也不是吃素的。
 
那还有什么好说的? 左派和工会不挺一个候选人, 这个候选人就一点希望都没有。
还是看好希拉里。 民众会把喝彩留给床破, 但是选票还是会留给希拉里的, 毕竟, 工会的枪杆子也不是吃素的。

有道理。就看他的忽悠能力了。把红州全拿下后,还是有可能的。美国选举人团制度的精妙之处。
 
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