Clinton or Trump,谁会赢?

来不及了吧?。。。等反弹再跑吧。:evil:

i think you are right, but all i have are blue chips, so hopefully it won't hurt me too much today
 
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-m...d-trump-would-become-president-055016207.html

Here is the moment markets believed Donald Trump would become president

Myles Udland
Yahoo FinanceNovember 9, 2016
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S&P futures slumped a little after 8 p.m. ET, and they never recovered.
Donald Trump looks likely to be named the 45th president of the United States.

And financial markets were way out in front of it.

On Tuesday night a little after 8:00 p.m. ET, stock market futures began their descent as — in a result that surprised almost every political pollster — Trump pulled ahead of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

But it was the hang-up in Florida — which the Associated Press called for Trump just before 11:00 p.m. ET — that eventually pushed markets sharply lower and for good.

When all was said and done, S&P 500 futures fell 5% to hit limit-down, halting trade until Wednesday morning. Nasdaq futures also went limit-down. At around 12:30 a.m. ET, however, both issues had resumed trading. Dow futures also nose-dived, declining as much as 800 points, a drop of more than 4.5%.

The other major predictive market move on Tuesday night was the Mexican peso, which fell more than 13% against the dollar.

Throughout the election, the peso had tracked the fortunes of Hillary Clinton closely, and forex markets had priced in the possibility of a massive move were Trump to prevail.

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peso dollar clinton trump
Trump has not only jawboned extensively on seeking more restrictive US trade policy, but has singled out Mexico, particularly with his election promise to build a wall along the US-Mexico border and proclaiming that “Mexico will pay for it.”

In a recent note to clients, Credit Suisse analysts Shahab Jalinoos and Alvise Marino wrote, “We first mentioned ‘Trumpxit’ risk back in Q1 this year (the stylized tail risk that the US economy under Trump moves to disconnect from the global economy in the same manner as the UK is seeking to do from the EU now).

“At the time, we flagged MXN as the ultimate market indicator of the probability of a Trump victory, seeing it as the ‘canary in the coal mine’.”

On Tuesday night, this prediction proved prescient as the peso is where markets first started to see the kind of massive dislocation that indicated markets believed Trump would prevail.

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peso vol


Myles Udland is a writer at Yahoo Finance.
 
楼上的,您不是昨天就要走掉吗?
不过,我觉得 Wall Street 的人也没那么笨,和新任的美国总统作对。
 
楼上的,您不是昨天就要走掉吗?
不过,我觉得 Wall Street 的人也没那么笨,和新任的美国总统作对。

No. I wanted to sell today cause I predicted Clinton would win and I was wrong.:shy:
 
No. I wanted to sell today cause I predicted Clinton would win and I was wrong.:shy:
没买点儿option对冲一下?不过option可能都很贵了昨天
 
这充分反映美国人的思变,开床心理
 
是啊, 也可以做大事件的快速买进卖出
做短线太要人的心态好了,我受不了。
还有一个,是炒作热点也可以的。
 
结果掉悬崖下去了。:monster:
还不至于吧,爱博在股市上也不是新人了。
丑鸭子,你究竟是老爱的朋友,还是对手?看你跟他挺近的,但是经常给人家一闷棍,怎么讲?
 
actually not too bad, goldman sucks rise $5, weird. I am still digesting
life goes on,美债继续举。美国人不可能一天变成瘦身美女。:monster:
 
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