突发!BC省选惊天逆转:新民主党与绿党选择联盟!

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http://www.bcbay.com/news/2017/05/29/497399.html

温哥华港湾(Bcbay.com)Lynn综合报道:经过数周商议,绿党和新民主党在今天太平洋时间下午2:00宣布组成联合政府,以NDP41个席位加上绿党3个席位的一共44个席位,刚好比自由党多出一个议席,在议会投票中险胜。

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  NDP党首贺瑾和绿党党首韦佛表示:双方已经达成了4年的合约。绿党将会在议会中支持NDP。

   韦佛说“最后,我们不得不做出这个艰难的决定。这绝对是我们认为对今天的卑诗最好的决定——绿党和新民主党未来会共同为一个稳定的少数政府服务。 ”

  这个结局是戏剧性的,意味着自由党长达16年的执政很可能走到尽头。

  对于目前自由党党首、卑诗省省长简蕙芝而言,她暂时仍然是省长的首选。

  她可以选择:

  1. 辞职、认输,那么自由党将会推选出新的党领执政。(新党领的结局和简蕙芝估计不会有太大差别)

  2.不辞职,并在半年内以新政府姿态对于年度预算等重要议题发表王位演讲。

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  在这种情况下,她的演讲可能得到:

  1. 赢得绿党的任何一票的同意、通过,那么自由党仍然战战兢兢执政;(但两党已达成协议,无论简蕙芝发表任何议题都将一致反对)

  2. 44票,全部不通过,那么省督Judith Guichon登场。将执政权移交NDP+绿党。

  编者将现在所可能出现的情况为你列一个树形图:

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  但,据资深人士预测:即使NDP和绿党在演讲之后以联合政府方式执政,这种联盟仍然很不稳定,随时可能产生分歧。任何一个议员的背叛,都将造成政府瓦解,并举行重新大选。

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省督Judith Guichon

  也就是说,目前BC省政局将走向何方仍是未解之谜。而任何一种走向都将影响社会福利、地产政策、环保政策、税收、教育等重大议题。

  简蕙芝表示,她会于周二,也就是明天对此事发表声明,并表示作为目前的执政党领,会做出非常慎重的决定。

  简蕙芝在今天的早些时候在自己的推特上放出了一段录像,在录像中她表示,虽然谁会最后组成政府仍是未知,但是,她在另外两党身上看到相同立场。

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她还说道“我知道无论我们中的任何两党达成协议,都不是一个简单的政治协议,而是一个和你有关的协议。这意味着,是你在选举中告诉我们,你希望我们做的与其他两党不同,而我们希望任何协议都能反映你的愿望。因为,我们希望确保我们会给BC带来改变。一个新的协议,不仅关乎政党、议会,而关乎一个新的卑诗省。

或许正因为上述原因,她甚至都没有参加自由党和绿党早些时候的协商会议。

和自由党不同,绿党和新民主党确实存在不少共性:

1. 他们都反对Kinder Morgan Inc.的跨山输油管道和Site C水坝工程;

2. 绿党呼吁免费的儿童保育计划,NDP支持10$/天的儿童保育金

3.两党都强烈要求增加教育基金,而经历10年的对峙,自由党在最高法院输给了教师协会;

4.两党都支持增加社会福利,例如残疾人福利和最低工资等。

5.而新民主党和绿党执政,将引起最大震荡的可能就是楼市。省选时各党发布的政纲来看,卑诗新民主党和绿党基本都偏向于加大对楼市的打压。

20170529_14961021528042.jpg


新民主党的政纲则侧重于建造更多可负担住房,以及加强对租客的保护。绿党的住房政策更加激进,该党承诺要把海外买家税加倍至30%,同时在全省范围内推行。

此次省选新民主党在大温取得多数选区,这也说明民众对大温房价飙升已经积累了相当的不满。不管省选最终结果如何,增加住房可负担性都将是新一届政府所需要解决的重点问题。
 
中文看起来有点模糊不清。

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The B.C. Green Party has agreed to support the NDP in the legislature, setting up the possibility of 16 years of Liberal rule coming to a dramatic end.

NDP Leader John Horgan and Green Party Leader Andrew Weaver made the joint announcement Monday afternoon at the B.C. Legislature, saying they had reached a four-year agreement.

"In the end, we had to make a difficult decision," Weaver told reporters, describing the negotiating sessions his party held with the NDP and B.C. Liberals since election night ended without a definitive result three weeks ago.

"A decision we felt was in the best interest of B.C. today. And that decision was for the B.C. Greens to work with the B.C. NDP to provide a stable minority government over the four-year term of this next session."

Details of agreement to come
The deal gives the NDP the support of 44 MLAs — their 41 members plus the three Green MLAs — the minimum number required to have a majority of support in the 87-seat legislature. The Liberals have 43 seats.

The Greens and NDP said the agreement was a "Confidence and Supply Agreement," meaning a guarantee of support for any budgets or confidence motions. But additional details on what the NDP has agreed to in exchange for the Greens' support won't be released until the NDP caucus approves the deal on Tuesday.

"We're going to put the agreement before our caucus and have it ratified, and make it available to the public at that time," Horgan said.

There were many issues the two parties agreed upon during the campaign, including working to stop the Kinder Morgan pipeline and banning corporate and union donations.

But it's unclear what will happen with those issues they disagreed on, including whether electoral reform needs approval in a referendum or just the legislature, or whether the $8.8-billion Site C hydroelectric dam project should be scrapped or merely sent for review.

"We specifically did not ask for there to be a coalition," Weaver said. "We wanted to maintain a minority situation to show British Columbians that [it] can work."

Horgan said after 12 years as an opposition member, he's "excited by the prospect of working with opposition members to make B.C. better.

What comes next?
Under Canada's political system, B.C. Liberal Leader Christy Clark remains premier for the time being. She can now ask Lt.-Gov. Judith Guichon for the chance to face the legislature and introduce a throne speech, resign or request to dissolve the legislature and hold another election.

Horgan and Weaver are optimistic Guichon will see their agreement as strong enough to give the NDP the opportunity to form government without an election.

"We have the majority of support in the legislature. We'll be making that known to the lieutenant-governor in the next couple of days, and we'll proceed from there," Horgan said.

Clark didn't take part in the negotiations between her party and the Greens. A short time after Weaver and Horgan made their announcement, she issued a statement saying she would have more to say on Tuesday.

"In recent days, we have made every effort to reach a governing agreement, while standing firm on our core beliefs. It's vitally important that British Columbians see the specific details of the agreement announced today by the BC NDP and Green Party leaders, which could have far-reaching consequences for our province's future," she wrote.

"As the incumbent government, and the party with the most seats in the legislature, we have a responsibility to carefully consider our next steps."

Hamish Telford, a professor of political science at the University of the Fraser Valley, said Clark still has options but her chances of remaining premier for any length of time are dim.

"Does she throw in the towel now? Does she go to the lieutenant-governor and say, 'It's clear I'm not going to get the confidence of the legislature, I'm out'? I really don't think that's going to be the case," he said.

"All it's going to take is maybe one Green member or one NDP member to be sick and not make the [first budget] vote for [an NDP] government to survive. This is a very precarious situation."

But on Monday evening, it appeared to be a precarious situation firmly in the NDP's favour.

"The premier," Horgan said, "will have some choices to make, without any doubt."
 
B.C. Election: Greens to support NDP in four-year government deal
60b5807e9f81dc19f89e4ef084ed2fe8
Rob Shaw
Published on: May 29, 2017 | Last Updated: May 29, 2017 6:09 PM PDT
VICTORIA — B.C. NDP Leader John Horgan could soon become British Columbia’s 36th premier, toppling the Liberal government and forcing the resignation of Premier Christy Clark under a historic power-sharing deal cut Monday between the NDP and Greens.

A flurry of unprecedented backroom negotiations to cobble together the next B.C. government culminated on the weekend at a downtown Victoria hotel, when Green Leader Andrew Weaver broke off talks with the Liberal negotiating team at around 9:30 p.m. Sunday, realizing they were too far apart for a deal.

The Liberals, led by a powerhouse bargaining team of Finance Minister Mike de Jong and B.C. Hydro chairman Brad Bennett expected to get another crack at convincing the Greens to support their party Monday morning. But Weaver blew off the meeting. Instead, Green chief of staff Liz Lilly phoned Bennett to break the bad news that morning: The Greens were going with the NDP.

Clark tried to intervene personally at the last minute, calling Weaver directly an hour before his planned 2 p.m. news conference. However, the university climate scientist was busy arriving at his legislature office, where he had to change from his regular Hawaiian shirt into a suit and prep for his joint press conference with Horgan. The premier’s call went to his voicemail.

“In the end we had to make a difficult decision,” Weaver told reporters at a news conference in front of the golden gates to the legislative chamber. “A decision we felt was in the best interest of British Columbia today and that decision was for the B.C. Greens to work with the B.C. NDP for a stable minority government over the four-year term of this next session.”

A smiling Horgan admitted he “got up with a bit of a spring in my step this morning” with news he would lead the New Democrats from 16 years in Opposition back in to power as government.

“There’s lots of work to do and we’re not done yet, but I’m confident with the 44 members, a majority of members prepared to support confidence motions for a New Democrat government, that we’re going to get there,” said Horgan.

“I would suggest the sooner the better for this institution.”

Clark’s Liberal government has 43 seats in the legislature, compared to a combined 44 Green-NDP (41 NDP and three Green).

After six years as premier, Clark now has two options: Resign immediately, or recall the legislature and lose the confidence of the house when the Green-NDP MLAs vote down her throne speech and budget. Then she’d have to resign anyway.

“As the incumbent government, and the party with the most seats in the legislature, we have a responsibility to carefully consider our next steps,” Clark said in a statement, promising to consult with her caucus Tuesday.

Upon Clark’s resignation, Lt.-Gov. Judith Guichon would decide whether to call a new election or ask Horgan and the Greens to govern.

Constitutional experts generally agree she’d be obliged to ask Horgan to become premier if Clark were to be defeated within the next six months.

Details of the NDP-Green agreement will be released Tuesday, after ratification by the NDP caucus. But key issues appeared to unite the parties: Banning corporate and union donations, changing the electoral system to proportional representation, and opposing the expansion of the Kinder Morgan oil pipeline from Alberta to Burnaby. The Liberals supported the pipeline.

“Obviously there are some things near and dear to my heart, to the heart of my caucus colleagues, as well as to the B.C. NDP and their caucus,” said Weaver. “One of the things I can say is that the issue of Kinder Morgan is one that I have been heavily invested into … this issue of Kinder Morgan is one that was critical to us and I think you’ll see that reflected in tomorrow’s announcement.”

The Greens want intervener status in the Federal Court of Appeal’s hearing on the pipeline, and the NDP have said it would use every tool available to a government to block the construction.

The NDP support is for “supply and confidence” issues, meaning the budget and throne speech, said Weaver. It does not include cabinet posts for Weaver or his other two Green MLAs. Horgan said other legislation may pass or fail depending on the issue, and there may also be Green or Liberal bills that could pass the house without causing an NDP government to fall.

The Greens were under immense internal pressure not to prop up the Liberal government, and to instead support an NDP that more closely aligned with the Green environmental and social values.

“Ultimately, @BCGreens recoiled [sometimes physically] at the prospect of supporting a Liberal government,” tweeted Norman Spector, a former chief of staff to Prime Minister Brian Mulroney who served as a strategic adviser to the Greens in the negotiations.

Despite the NDP and Greens promising four years of stability, they will face challenges controlling the legislature for that long.

The two parties united have 44 seats in the legislature and the slimmest of majorities. If they are forced to appoint a Speaker from their ranks, they’d drop to a tied 43 seats with the Liberals and the Speaker would have to break the tie votes.

No MLAs, cabinet ministers or the premier could leave the building for key votes, get sick, take vacation or miss a day of the session or else government would be at risk of being overwhelmed by the Liberal opposition.

“It’s still extremely precarious,” said veteran political scientist Norman Ruff. “Either way, it would be on a knife’s edge and it’s even sharper where we seem to be heading now. We still don’t know how exactly it’s all going to play out.”

Horgan and Weaver have had a difficult personal relationship in the past, with both parties heavily criticizing the character of the other leader. However, Horgan was directly at the bargaining table to patch up the relationship.

“To be blunt, I think John and I saw a different side of each other in the negotiations,” said Weaver.

“This is an adversarial place by its nature,” said Horgan. “And both of us want to change that.”

andrew-weaverjohn-horgan3.jpeg

B.C. NDP leader John Horgan and B.C. Green party leader Andrew Weaver leave a press conference after announcing they’ll be working together to help form a minority government during a press conference at Legislature in Victoria, B.C., on Monday, May 29, 2017. CHAD HIPOLITO / THE CANADIAN PRESS

By convention, Clark remains premier until she resigns or chooses to call the legislature back and test the confidence of the house with a throne speech and budget — even if her opponents have lined up against her.

Earlier on Monday, Clark posted a video to her Twitter feed in which she acknowledged the uncertainty about who would ultimately form government, and reiterated she saw common ground with the other parties.

“I also know that if we can come to an agreement with other parties in the legislature for four years of stability that it’s going to be not a deal with political parties, it’s a deal with you,” she said in the video.

“Because you were the ones in the election who said you wanted us to do things differently and I want to make sure any agreement we come to reflects what you want. Because we want to make sure we do things differently in British Columbia, a new deal not for politicians, not for the legislature, but a new deal for British Columbians.”

Clark’s leadership of the B.C. Liberal Party may also be part of the discussions, depending on whether she or her colleagues want her to remain as eventual Opposition leader.
 
明年安省也必须把 Kathleen Wynne 选下来,她实在是瞎整。
 
BC没有保守党吗,还是保守党已经弱的不成气候了
 
BC没有保守党吗,还是保守党已经弱的不成气候了

bc 的liberal 其实相当于其他省的保守党 因为保守党太弱得不到支持 很多保守党员混杂在liberal 里面[emoji3]
 
看着象是要革命成功, 打土豪, 均贫富, 广发福利, 推行社会主义了.

和自由党不同,绿党和新民主党确实存在不少共性:
1. 他们都反对Kinder Morgan Inc.的跨山输油管道和Site C水坝工程;
2. 绿党呼吁免费的儿童保育计划,NDP支持10$/天的儿童保育金
3.两党都强烈要求增加教育基金,而经历10年的对峙,自由党在最高法院输给了教师协会;
4.两党都支持增加社会福利,例如残疾人福利和最低工资等。
5.而新民主党和绿党执政,将引起最大震荡的可能就是楼市。省选时各党发布的政纲来看,卑诗新民主党和绿党基本都偏向于加大对楼市的打压。

新民主党的政纲则侧重于建造更多可负担住房,以及加强对租客的保护。
绿党的住房政策更加激进,该党承诺要把海外买家税加倍至30%,同时在全省范围内推行。
 
绿党可有可无。
 
建议3个左派党联合,就可以跟中国一样了。永远坐桩。。。:)
 
绿党可有可无。

现在搞成它那三票跟谁谁就是多数, 三票能四两拨千斤,
搞不好还能威慑, 成少数控制多数了.
 
NDP与绿党能合作四年难度很大。
 
这下好了, BC的房价还得继续跌...NDP 有名的共产党, 这次翻盘反应了广大群众加大打击房产投机的愿望;).
BC的房市估计得调整几年吧.
 
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