安省大选: NDP竞选纲领来了
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The Canadian Press
Published Friday, April 27, 2018 4:58PM EDT
Last Updated Friday, April 27, 2018 5:06PM EDT
A new poll suggests the outcome of Ontario's election will come down to which leader, rather than which party, can win voters' confidence -- with Andrea Horwath the top challenger to Doug Ford.
An online poll conducted this month by the research firm Leger shows a quarter of participants believe the Progressive Conservative leader would make the best premier, while 20 per cent think it's the NDP leader and 12 per cent chose the Liberal leader and current premier, Kathleen Wynne.
At the same time, when asked whether Ford and Horwath have what it takes to lead the province, more people said Horwath did -- 35 per cent to Ford's 30.
And Horwath rated higher than both her rivals on characteristics such as competence, trustworthiness, and alignment with the core values of Ontario's population.
When it comes to the parties, however, the poll shows the Tories still in the lead with support from 43 per cent of participants.
The New Democrats and the Liberals are tied at 26 per cent.
"At this point, I think it's pretty much down to the leaders themselves, and certainly Mr. Ford in particular," said Christian Bourque, Leger's executive vice-president.
While a certain part of the population will vote Tory regardless, "all of these people that cannot say that yes, Mr. Ford has what it takes to be premier of Ontario, are the ones who may still switch," he said.
"So it's very much now about the leader and how statesman-like he will look over the course of the next few weeks and if he looks fit for the job. It think now it becomes a referendum on Doug Ford more than an election or not of the Conservatives."
The results suggest a shift in the left as well, he said.
When asked whether a Ford, Wynne or Horwath government would be disastrous for the province, only a third of those polled said yes for the NDP leader, compared with 44 per cent for Ford and 59 per cent for Wynne.
"The majority of people feel that four more years of Wynne Liberals would be a disaster but nobody seems to mind an NDP government," Bourque said.
"At first people were saying when this all started that 'oh my god, the NDP could split the vote,' but right now maybe it's the Liberals that might split the left-of-centre vote," he said.
More than 1,000 Ontario residents eligible to vote in the election participated in the survey, which was conducted from last Friday to Monday.
The polling industry's professional body, the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association, says online surveys cannot be assigned a margin of error as they are not a random sample and therefore are not necessarily representative of the whole population.
Ontario voters go to the polls June 7.
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- 2003-04-13
- 消息
- 240,352
- 荣誉分数
- 37,725
- 声望点数
- 1,393
InterMilan7
资深人士
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- 2011-08-31
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没那么多收入却乱开福利陷阱，感觉离希腊化不远
- 注册
- 2003-04-13
- 消息
- 240,352
- 荣誉分数
- 37,725
- 声望点数
- 1,393
- 注册
- 2003-04-13
- 消息
- 240,352
- 荣誉分数
- 37,725
- 声望点数
- 1,393
The day Kathleen Wynne lost the 2018 election
By Bob HepburnStar Columnist
Wed., May 30, 2018
Without much doubt, Kathleen Wynne is the most-qualified candidate running for premier in the Ontario election. She’s smart, articulate, passionate, knows the issues and to many observers was the winner in last Sunday’s televised debate.
She stands head and shoulders over Doug Ford, who is an embarrassment to many progressives in the Conservative party with his simplistic slogans, inexcusable refusal to release a full platform and lack of understanding of the complexity of many issues facing the province.
Premier Kathleen Wynne during a news conference on government assets in April 2015 where she announced beer would soon be sold in up to 450 supermarkets and Ontario will sell up to 60 per cent of the publicly owned Hydro One. (Andrew Francis Wallace / Toronto Star)
She’s also a tougher campaigner than Andrea Horwath, whose NDP party is riding high in recent polls, but may have peaked too soon.
But barring a last-minute miracle, Wynne will lose the June 7 election badly.
She’ll lose so badly that her governing Liberals may be reduced to just 12 seats, or even fewer, thus running the risk of losing status as an official party in the Legislature.
And she’ll lose so badly that she may be defeated in her own riding of Don Valley West.
In reality, Wynne lost this election more than three years back, on April 23, 2015. That’s day when the Liberals formally announced in the provincial budget that they would be selling 60 per cent of Hydro One, the provincially owned utility that transmits electricity across the province and distributes it to 1.4 million households. She made the move after embracing the findings of a pro-business panel headed by former TD Bank chair Ed Clark that recommended the sale.
It was her biggest mistake as premier — one from which she never recovered.
On that day Wynne’s personal approval rating was holding relatively steady at about 32 per cent, after having peaked in the low-40s during the 2014 provincial election.
Since then, her approval rating has been in free fall, dropping to as low as 12 per cent in 2017 before rebounding a wee bit earlier this year. Those same trends have hit the Liberal party.
Wynne stubbornly ignored wise advice even from her most trusted political strategists in approving the sale, insisting voters would ultimately see the benefit of using $4 billion to $5 billion from the sale to pay for new roads, bridges and public transit such as buses and subway lines.
But Wynne totally misread the public, who saw Hydro One as belonging to all Ontarians. Also, the utility was hugely profitable, making about $750 million a year, with nearly $300 million going to Queen’s Park.
Polls showed more than 80 per cent of Ontarians opposed the sale, with nearly three in four believing privatization would increase electricity prices. A top Liberal campaign organizer says one internal poll at that time indicated up to 90 per cent of Liberal supporters themselves were against the sale.
What also angered voters was that Wynne had never talked about selling off Hydro One during the 2014 election. Suddenly, even for Liberal loyalists, there were questions about whether Wynne could be trusted. No longer was she seen as a “different style” of politician, but instead had become just like any other politician who says one thing and does another.
How could she have been so out of touch with voters?
After that, everything Wynne did was seen by voters with a different, more critical eye, from her access-for-cash fundraiser, to the Sudbury byelection controversy, to her last-gasp efforts to toss money at everything from free tuitions for students from low-income families to a higher minimum wage.
To this day Wynne defends her decision. She said this week during a Toronto Star editorial board meeting that she knows people were “surprised and angry” with the sale. But she said she “didn’t see how else” she could raise the money to build badly needed infrastructure projects. Of course, she could have raised taxes, but chose the route the business guys wanted her to take.
With just a week before election day, Wynne’s Liberals trail the NDP and Tories in every poll. A survey by Angus Reid Institute even indicates 45 per cent of those who backed Wynne in 2014 now preferring the NDP.
If those polls hold and Wynne loses big, remember April 23, 2015.
By Bob HepburnStar Columnist
Wed., May 30, 2018
Without much doubt, Kathleen Wynne is the most-qualified candidate running for premier in the Ontario election. She’s smart, articulate, passionate, knows the issues and to many observers was the winner in last Sunday’s televised debate.
She stands head and shoulders over Doug Ford, who is an embarrassment to many progressives in the Conservative party with his simplistic slogans, inexcusable refusal to release a full platform and lack of understanding of the complexity of many issues facing the province.
Premier Kathleen Wynne during a news conference on government assets in April 2015 where she announced beer would soon be sold in up to 450 supermarkets and Ontario will sell up to 60 per cent of the publicly owned Hydro One. (Andrew Francis Wallace / Toronto Star)
She’s also a tougher campaigner than Andrea Horwath, whose NDP party is riding high in recent polls, but may have peaked too soon.
But barring a last-minute miracle, Wynne will lose the June 7 election badly.
She’ll lose so badly that her governing Liberals may be reduced to just 12 seats, or even fewer, thus running the risk of losing status as an official party in the Legislature.
And she’ll lose so badly that she may be defeated in her own riding of Don Valley West.
In reality, Wynne lost this election more than three years back, on April 23, 2015. That’s day when the Liberals formally announced in the provincial budget that they would be selling 60 per cent of Hydro One, the provincially owned utility that transmits electricity across the province and distributes it to 1.4 million households. She made the move after embracing the findings of a pro-business panel headed by former TD Bank chair Ed Clark that recommended the sale.
It was her biggest mistake as premier — one from which she never recovered.
On that day Wynne’s personal approval rating was holding relatively steady at about 32 per cent, after having peaked in the low-40s during the 2014 provincial election.
Since then, her approval rating has been in free fall, dropping to as low as 12 per cent in 2017 before rebounding a wee bit earlier this year. Those same trends have hit the Liberal party.
Wynne stubbornly ignored wise advice even from her most trusted political strategists in approving the sale, insisting voters would ultimately see the benefit of using $4 billion to $5 billion from the sale to pay for new roads, bridges and public transit such as buses and subway lines.
But Wynne totally misread the public, who saw Hydro One as belonging to all Ontarians. Also, the utility was hugely profitable, making about $750 million a year, with nearly $300 million going to Queen’s Park.
Polls showed more than 80 per cent of Ontarians opposed the sale, with nearly three in four believing privatization would increase electricity prices. A top Liberal campaign organizer says one internal poll at that time indicated up to 90 per cent of Liberal supporters themselves were against the sale.
What also angered voters was that Wynne had never talked about selling off Hydro One during the 2014 election. Suddenly, even for Liberal loyalists, there were questions about whether Wynne could be trusted. No longer was she seen as a “different style” of politician, but instead had become just like any other politician who says one thing and does another.
How could she have been so out of touch with voters?
After that, everything Wynne did was seen by voters with a different, more critical eye, from her access-for-cash fundraiser, to the Sudbury byelection controversy, to her last-gasp efforts to toss money at everything from free tuitions for students from low-income families to a higher minimum wage.
To this day Wynne defends her decision. She said this week during a Toronto Star editorial board meeting that she knows people were “surprised and angry” with the sale. But she said she “didn’t see how else” she could raise the money to build badly needed infrastructure projects. Of course, she could have raised taxes, but chose the route the business guys wanted her to take.
With just a week before election day, Wynne’s Liberals trail the NDP and Tories in every poll. A survey by Angus Reid Institute even indicates 45 per cent of those who backed Wynne in 2014 now preferring the NDP.
If those polls hold and Wynne loses big, remember April 23, 2015.
InterMilan7
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刚意大利崩了 步希腊后尘.高负债高福利的模式注定这个下场.
都别多心 我们安大略根本不同. 借那么多钱都发展经济了,一点风险都没有. 老百姓富的不行,工资翻着跟头长,一片欣欣向融。 所以NDP上台才有继续增福利的基础,日子美滋滋。
都别多心 我们安大略根本不同. 借那么多钱都发展经济了,一点风险都没有. 老百姓富的不行,工资翻着跟头长,一片欣欣向融。 所以NDP上台才有继续增福利的基础,日子美滋滋。
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