俄乌最新28点和平方案

[gocanoeing]

美国不管肯定基辅都守不住，卫星情报GPS和马斯克的通讯卫星都没有，战场就是瞎子，靠欧洲喝西北风。

可能那样也好，鸡铺要丢了，索性加入俄罗斯好了

 

[metropolis]

我说的不管，是说美国自川普上台后，就没有给过乌克兰一分钱，武器都是收费的。

哪些援助是无偿的？

可能那样也好，鸡铺要丢了，索性加入俄罗斯好了

他认为基辅和莫斯科局势55开。

抗战的时候中国被日本打的丢盔卸甲很有尊严吗？最后是战胜国，虽然没打过一两次胜仗。现在乌的局势强太多，和俄罗斯基本打成五五开。这是在美国已经断绝援助将近一年的情况下，欧洲还手握俄罗斯两千多亿的资产没有动呢。乌克兰的远程导弹已经出来了。你要站在欧洲的立场想，欧洲无论如何不会放弃乌克兰，而现在俄罗斯的实力，不需要美国援助也不会输。

我不跟讨论如何评价战局。

司机说的丢失尊严是即将面临的谈判，丢失领土是板上钉钉的结局。他对局势的估计远远没有你这么乐观。

 

[welcomelm]

哪些援助是无偿的？


他认为基辅和莫斯科局势55开。

我不跟讨论如何评价战局。

司机说的丢失尊严是即将面临的谈判，丢失领土是板上钉钉的结局。他对局势的估计远远没有你这么乐观。

你一脑袋浆糊，丢失领土有两种，第一是冷冻现状，但是法律上不承认， 五年，十年后还有权拿回来。第二就是在法理上承认疆域变更。乌克兰接受第一种，不接受第二种，学着点。

 

[metropolis]

你一脑袋浆糊，丢失领土有两种，第一是冷冻现状，但是法律上不承认， 五年，十年后还有权拿回来。第二就是在法理上承认疆域变更。乌克兰接受第一种，不接受第二种，学着点。

对我没所谓，丢失尊严，领土，主权，你还是教教司机总统先生吧。

 

[sports_fan]

你一脑袋浆糊，丢失领土有两种，第一是冷冻现状，但是法律上不承认， 五年，十年后还有权拿回来。第二就是在法理上承认疆域变更。乌克兰接受第一种，不接受第二种，学着点。

你这么一说我明白了，乌克兰又赢了

 

[metropolis]

Nov 20, 2025 - World

Trump's full 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan​

• Barak Ravid,
• Dave Lawler

Zelensky and Trump in the Oval Office in August. Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Editor's note: For the latest on the Trump peace plan for Ukraine, click here.

President Trump's 28-point plan for peace in Ukraine would force Kyiv to give up additional territory in the east, cap the size of its military, and agree it will never join NATO, according to a draft obtained by Axios and verified by a Ukrainian official, a U.S. official and a source familiar with the proposal.

Why it matters: The U.S. side is pushing Ukraine to make a deal on an "aggressive timeline." And despite the plan including proposals Ukraine has repeatedly rejected up to now, President Volodymyr Zelensky is not ruling it out

• A senior White House official acknowledged the plan is "not easy" for Ukraine but said the U.S. believes the war must end and that if it doesn't, Ukraine is likely to lose even more territory.

Catch up quick: The plan was drafted by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff with input from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner.

• Witkoff also consulted with Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev on the plan. Dmitriev told Axios he is optimistic about it because unlike past efforts, "we feel the Russian position is really being heard." President Vladimir Putin has not publicly endorsed the plan.
• After meeting Dmitriev, Witkoff and Kushner also discussed the plan with Zelensky's national security adviser, Rustem Umerov.
• U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll presented the plan to Zelensky on Thursday in writing. Afterward, Zelensky said he was prepared to hold talks about it with Trump and his team.

Between the lines: Zelensky described the plan as the U.S. "vision" but not a final offer. He said Ukraine had been clear about its red lines and would give its input to make the plan "truly meaningful."

• A U.S. official also told Axios the administration sees the plan as a "live document" that can be changed based on discussions with the parties. The official claimed Ukraine was positive about many of the points during the negotiations and managed to incorporate some of its positions.
• Trump has also given his personal endorsement to the plan, the full details of which had not previously been published.
• "We are making a serious effort to find a solution that will end the war in Ukraine, the same way we ended the war in Gaza. We believe this plan is not easy but it is good for Ukraine," the senior White House official said.

Zoom in: In addition to the territorial concessions asked of Ukraine, the document says there would be a "decisive coordinated military response" in the event of further Russian incursions onto Ukrainian territory. It does not say what role the U.S. would play in such a response.

• The plan also includes economic components that would see some frozen Russian assets go toward rebuilding Ukraine, sanctions on Russia lifted, the U.S. and Russia agreeing to partner long-term in areas like AI and mining, and Russia returning to the G8.
• All parties would get amnesty for their actions during the war, presumably meaning Russian officials and soldiers could not be prosecuted for war crimes.
• The plan also calls for Ukraine to hold elections within 100 days of a deal. Zelensky told Axios in September that he wanted to hold elections once there was a ceasefire.

Worth noting: The 28 points below reflect the current U.S. plan as of Thursday, barring minor changes to the language as it has been amended. It includes annotations from Axios in italics for the purposes of clarity.

The full plan​

1. Ukraine's sovereignty will be confirmed.

2. A comprehensive non-aggression agreement will be concluded between Russia, Ukraine and Europe. All ambiguities of the last 30 years will be considered settled.

3. It is expected that Russia will not invade neighboring countries and NATO will not expand further.

4. A dialogue will be held between Russia and NATO, mediated by the United States, to resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation in order to ensure global security and increase opportunities for cooperation and future economic development.

5. Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.

• Update: A separate document details the terms of the security guarantee. The U.S. and its NATO allies would treat an attack on Ukraine as an attack on the entire "transatlantic community."

6. The size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be limited to 600,000 personnel.

• Note: Ukraine's army currently has 800,000-850,000 personnel, and had around 250,000 beforethe war, according to a Ukrainian official.

7. Ukraine agrees to enshrine in its constitution that it will not join NATO, and NATO agrees to include in its statutes a provision that Ukraine will not be admitted in the future.

8. NATO agrees not to station troops in Ukraine.

• Note: NATO countries including France and the U.K. have been working on separate proposals that would include small numbers of European troops on Ukrainian soil after the war. This plan appears to disregard that possibility.

9. European fighter jets will be stationed in Poland.

10. The U.S. guarantee:

• The U.S. will receive compensation for the guarantee;
• If Ukraine invades Russia, it will lose the guarantee;
• If Russia invades Ukraine, in addition to a decisive coordinated military response, all global sanctions will be reinstated, recognition of the new territory and all other benefits of this deal will be revoked;
• If Ukraine launches a missile at Moscow or St. Petersburg without cause, the security guarantee will be deemed invalid.

11. Ukraine is eligible for EU membership and will receive short-term preferential access to the European market while this issue is being considered.

12. A powerful global package of measures to rebuild Ukraine, including but not limited to:

• The creation of a Ukraine Development Fund to invest in fast-growing industries, including technology, data centers, and artificial intelligence.
• The United States will cooperate with Ukraine to jointly rebuild, develop, modernize, and operate Ukraine's gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities.
• Joint efforts to rehabilitate war-affected areas for the restoration, reconstruction and modernization of cities and residential areas.
• Infrastructure development.
• Extraction of minerals and natural resources.
• The World Bank will develop a special financing package to accelerate these efforts.

13. Russia will be reintegrated into the global economy:

• The lifting of sanctions will be discussed and agreed upon in stages and on a case-by-case basis.
• The United States will enter into a long-term economic cooperation agreement for mutual development in the areas of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, data centers, rare earth metal extraction projects in the Arctic, and other mutually beneficial corporate opportunities.
• Russia will be invited to rejoin the G8.

14. Frozen funds will be used as follows:

• $100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine;
• The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine's reconstruction. Frozen European funds will be unfrozen. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

15. A joint American-Russian working group on security issues will be established to promote and ensure compliance with all provisions of this agreement.

16. Russia will enshrine in law its policy of non-aggression towards Europe and Ukraine.

17. The United States and Russia will agree to extend the validity of treaties on the non-proliferation and control of nuclear weapons, including the START I Treaty.

• Note: New START, the last major U.S.-Russia arms control treaty, is due to expire in February.

18. Ukraine agrees to be a non-nuclear state in accordance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

19. The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant will be launched under the supervision of the IAEA, and the electricity produced will be distributed equally between Russia and Ukraine — 50:50.

20. Both countries undertake to implement educational programs in schools and society aimed at promoting understanding and tolerance of different cultures and eliminating racism and prejudice:

• Ukraine will adopt EU rules on religious tolerance and the protection of linguistic minorities.
• Both countries will agree to abolish all discriminatory measures and guarantee the rights of Ukrainian and Russian media and education. (Note: Similar ideas were incorporated into Trump's 2020 Israel-Palestine peace plan).
• All Nazi ideology and activities must be rejected and prohibited.

21. Territories:

• Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk will be recognized as de facto Russian, including by the United States.
• Kherson and Zaporizhzhia will be frozen along the line of contact, which will mean de facto recognition along the line of contact.
• Russia will relinquish other agreed territories it controls outside the five regions.
• Ukrainian forces will withdraw from the part of Donetsk Oblast that they currently control, and this withdrawal zone will be considered a neutral demilitarized buffer zone, internationally recognized as territory belonging to the Russian Federation. Russian forces will not enter this demilitarized zone.

22. After agreeing on future territorial arrangements, both the Russian Federation and Ukraine undertake not to change these arrangements by force. Any security guarantees will not apply in the event of a breach of this commitment.

23. Russia will not prevent Ukraine from using the Dnieper River for commercial activities, and agreements will be reached on the free transport of grain across the Black Sea.

24. A humanitarian committee will be established to resolve outstanding issues:

• All remaining prisoners and bodies will be exchanged on an 'all for all' basis.
• All civilian detainees and hostages will be returned, including children.
• A family reunification program will be implemented.
• Measures will be taken to alleviate the suffering of the victims of the conflict.

25. Ukraine will hold elections in 100 days.

26. All parties involved in this conflict will receive full amnesty for their actions during the war and agree not to make any claims or consider any complaints in the future.

27. This agreement will be legally binding. Its implementation will be monitored and guaranteed by the Peace Council, headed by President Donald J. Trump. Sanctions will be imposed for violations.

• Note: This is the same general structure Trump proposed to govern the Gaza peace agreement.

28. Once all parties agree to this memorandum, the ceasefire will take effect immediately after both sides retreat to agreed points to begin implementation of the agreement.

Go deeper: Trump peace plan for Ukraine includes NATO-style security guarantee

https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/trump-ukraine-peace-plan-28-points-russia

 

[metropolis]

评论认为，这28条基本满足了俄国的所有要求，俄国领导人已经表示接受。

看看这第14条，解冻俄国被扣的资金，美国是空手套白狼，欧洲再投1000亿美元，一起瓜分乌克兰。

实在看不出，乌克兰和欧洲凭什么会接受这28条，不接受屈辱，不得不放弃美国的援助，在其他欧洲，北约国家的帮助下，接着打吧。

14. Frozen funds will be used as follows:

• $100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine;
• The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine's reconstruction. Frozen European funds will be unfrozen. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

Google 翻译：

14. 冻结资金将按以下方式使用：

1000亿美元的俄罗斯冻结资产将投资于美国主导的乌克兰重建和投资项目；

美国将获得该项目50%的利润。欧洲将追加1000亿美元，以增加可用于乌克兰重建的投资额。欧洲的冻结资金将被解冻。剩余的俄罗斯冻结资金将投资于一个独立的俄美投资基金，该基金将在特定领域实施联合项目。该基金旨在加强两国关系，增进共同利益，从而形成避免再次发生冲突的强大动力。

 

[rottenmelon]

加拿大上次不是说要派30w公务员去乌克兰么

 

[dreamland]

司机挺住，欧洲和中国这时是不会让这份实际是美俄协议得逞的。

司机如果同意这份协议，所有的黑锅都要他背，所有的脏水都会往他身上泼。左右不是人，他最后性命还大概率不保。
与其这样，继续打，乌克兰现在的国际局面比当时抗日战争中的老蒋强得太多了。

司机其实没有选择，必须要继续打， 最后就是一个停战线，和38线类似即可。

 

[metropolis]

美施压乌加速和平进程　泽伦斯基：尊重川普终战意愿​

（法新社基辅/华盛顿21日电） 乌克兰总统泽伦斯基今天表示，他尊重美国总统川普为结束俄乌战争所做的努力。他之前刚对华府提出的停战方案表达保留。

发表时间： 21/11/2025 - 19:02
更改时间： 21/11/2025 - 18:50

泽伦斯基（Volodymyr Zelenskyy）在社群媒体上指出，他与美国副总统范斯（JD Vance）及美国陆军部长德里斯科（Dan Driscoll）通话，表示「乌克兰一直尊重、并会继续尊重美国总统川普终结流血冲突的意愿」，这通电话进行了「将近一个小时」。

白宫官员在给法新社的声明中表示，「川普总统正与双方合作，以尽快结束这场持续太久、造成太多无谓死亡的战争。」（编译：徐睿承）

美施压乌加速和平进程　泽伦斯基：尊重川普终战意愿

（法新社基辅/华盛顿21日电） 乌克兰总统泽伦斯基今天表示，他尊重美国总统川普为结束俄乌战争所做的努力。他之前刚对华府提出的停战方案表达保留。

www.rfi.fr

 

[茶马盐铁]

加拿大上次不是说要派30w公务员去乌克兰么

是说派30万临时居民去俄罗斯？

 

[dreamland]

Nov 20, 2025 - World

Trump's full 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan​

• Barak Ravid,
• Dave Lawler

Zelensky and Trump in the Oval Office in August. Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Editor's note: For the latest on the Trump peace plan for Ukraine, click here.

President Trump's 28-point plan for peace in Ukraine would force Kyiv to give up additional territory in the east, cap the size of its military, and agree it will never join NATO, according to a draft obtained by Axios and verified by a Ukrainian official, a U.S. official and a source familiar with the proposal.

Why it matters: The U.S. side is pushing Ukraine to make a deal on an "aggressive timeline." And despite the plan including proposals Ukraine has repeatedly rejected up to now, President Volodymyr Zelensky is not ruling it out

• A senior White House official acknowledged the plan is "not easy" for Ukraine but said the U.S. believes the war must end and that if it doesn't, Ukraine is likely to lose even more territory.

Catch up quick: The plan was drafted by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff with input from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner.

• Witkoff also consulted with Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev on the plan. Dmitriev told Axios he is optimistic about it because unlike past efforts, "we feel the Russian position is really being heard." President Vladimir Putin has not publicly endorsed the plan.
• After meeting Dmitriev, Witkoff and Kushner also discussed the plan with Zelensky's national security adviser, Rustem Umerov.
• U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll presented the plan to Zelensky on Thursday in writing. Afterward, Zelensky said he was prepared to hold talks about it with Trump and his team.

Between the lines: Zelensky described the plan as the U.S. "vision" but not a final offer. He said Ukraine had been clear about its red lines and would give its input to make the plan "truly meaningful."

• A U.S. official also told Axios the administration sees the plan as a "live document" that can be changed based on discussions with the parties. The official claimed Ukraine was positive about many of the points during the negotiations and managed to incorporate some of its positions.
• Trump has also given his personal endorsement to the plan, the full details of which had not previously been published.
• "We are making a serious effort to find a solution that will end the war in Ukraine, the same way we ended the war in Gaza. We believe this plan is not easy but it is good for Ukraine," the senior White House official said.

Zoom in: In addition to the territorial concessions asked of Ukraine, the document says there would be a "decisive coordinated military response" in the event of further Russian incursions onto Ukrainian territory. It does not say what role the U.S. would play in such a response.

• The plan also includes economic components that would see some frozen Russian assets go toward rebuilding Ukraine, sanctions on Russia lifted, the U.S. and Russia agreeing to partner long-term in areas like AI and mining, and Russia returning to the G8.
• All parties would get amnesty for their actions during the war, presumably meaning Russian officials and soldiers could not be prosecuted for war crimes.
• The plan also calls for Ukraine to hold elections within 100 days of a deal. Zelensky told Axios in September that he wanted to hold elections once there was a ceasefire.

Worth noting: The 28 points below reflect the current U.S. plan as of Thursday, barring minor changes to the language as it has been amended. It includes annotations from Axios in italics for the purposes of clarity.

The full plan​

1. Ukraine's sovereignty will be confirmed.

2. A comprehensive non-aggression agreement will be concluded between Russia, Ukraine and Europe. All ambiguities of the last 30 years will be considered settled.

3. It is expected that Russia will not invade neighboring countries and NATO will not expand further.

4. A dialogue will be held between Russia and NATO, mediated by the United States, to resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation in order to ensure global security and increase opportunities for cooperation and future economic development.

5. Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.

• Update: A separate document details the terms of the security guarantee. The U.S. and its NATO allies would treat an attack on Ukraine as an attack on the entire "transatlantic community."

6. The size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be limited to 600,000 personnel.

• Note: Ukraine's army currently has 800,000-850,000 personnel, and had around 250,000 beforethe war, according to a Ukrainian official.

7. Ukraine agrees to enshrine in its constitution that it will not join NATO, and NATO agrees to include in its statutes a provision that Ukraine will not be admitted in the future.

8. NATO agrees not to station troops in Ukraine.

• Note: NATO countries including France and the U.K. have been working on separate proposals that would include small numbers of European troops on Ukrainian soil after the war. This plan appears to disregard that possibility.

9. European fighter jets will be stationed in Poland.

10. The U.S. guarantee:

• The U.S. will receive compensation for the guarantee;
• If Ukraine invades Russia, it will lose the guarantee;
• If Russia invades Ukraine, in addition to a decisive coordinated military response, all global sanctions will be reinstated, recognition of the new territory and all other benefits of this deal will be revoked;
• If Ukraine launches a missile at Moscow or St. Petersburg without cause, the security guarantee will be deemed invalid.

11. Ukraine is eligible for EU membership and will receive short-term preferential access to the European market while this issue is being considered.

12. A powerful global package of measures to rebuild Ukraine, including but not limited to:

• The creation of a Ukraine Development Fund to invest in fast-growing industries, including technology, data centers, and artificial intelligence.
• The United States will cooperate with Ukraine to jointly rebuild, develop, modernize, and operate Ukraine's gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities.
• Joint efforts to rehabilitate war-affected areas for the restoration, reconstruction and modernization of cities and residential areas.
• Infrastructure development.
• Extraction of minerals and natural resources.
• The World Bank will develop a special financing package to accelerate these efforts.

13. Russia will be reintegrated into the global economy:

• The lifting of sanctions will be discussed and agreed upon in stages and on a case-by-case basis.
• The United States will enter into a long-term economic cooperation agreement for mutual development in the areas of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, data centers, rare earth metal extraction projects in the Arctic, and other mutually beneficial corporate opportunities.
• Russia will be invited to rejoin the G8.

14. Frozen funds will be used as follows:

• $100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine;
• The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine's reconstruction. Frozen European funds will be unfrozen. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

15. A joint American-Russian working group on security issues will be established to promote and ensure compliance with all provisions of this agreement.

16. Russia will enshrine in law its policy of non-aggression towards Europe and Ukraine.

17. The United States and Russia will agree to extend the validity of treaties on the non-proliferation and control of nuclear weapons, including the START I Treaty.

• Note: New START, the last major U.S.-Russia arms control treaty, is due to expire in February.

18. Ukraine agrees to be a non-nuclear state in accordance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

19. The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant will be launched under the supervision of the IAEA, and the electricity produced will be distributed equally between Russia and Ukraine — 50:50.

20. Both countries undertake to implement educational programs in schools and society aimed at promoting understanding and tolerance of different cultures and eliminating racism and prejudice:

• Ukraine will adopt EU rules on religious tolerance and the protection of linguistic minorities.
• Both countries will agree to abolish all discriminatory measures and guarantee the rights of Ukrainian and Russian media and education. (Note: Similar ideas were incorporated into Trump's 2020 Israel-Palestine peace plan).
• All Nazi ideology and activities must be rejected and prohibited.

21. Territories:

• Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk will be recognized as de facto Russian, including by the United States.
• Kherson and Zaporizhzhia will be frozen along the line of contact, which will mean de facto recognition along the line of contact.
• Russia will relinquish other agreed territories it controls outside the five regions.
• Ukrainian forces will withdraw from the part of Donetsk Oblast that they currently control, and this withdrawal zone will be considered a neutral demilitarized buffer zone, internationally recognized as territory belonging to the Russian Federation. Russian forces will not enter this demilitarized zone.

22. After agreeing on future territorial arrangements, both the Russian Federation and Ukraine undertake not to change these arrangements by force. Any security guarantees will not apply in the event of a breach of this commitment.

23. Russia will not prevent Ukraine from using the Dnieper River for commercial activities, and agreements will be reached on the free transport of grain across the Black Sea.

24. A humanitarian committee will be established to resolve outstanding issues:

• All remaining prisoners and bodies will be exchanged on an 'all for all' basis.
• All civilian detainees and hostages will be returned, including children.
• A family reunification program will be implemented.
• Measures will be taken to alleviate the suffering of the victims of the conflict.

25. Ukraine will hold elections in 100 days.

26. All parties involved in this conflict will receive full amnesty for their actions during the war and agree not to make any claims or consider any complaints in the future.

27. This agreement will be legally binding. Its implementation will be monitored and guaranteed by the Peace Council, headed by President Donald J. Trump. Sanctions will be imposed for violations.

• Note: This is the same general structure Trump proposed to govern the Gaza peace agreement.

28. Once all parties agree to this memorandum, the ceasefire will take effect immediately after both sides retreat to agreed points to begin implementation of the agreement.

Go deeper: Trump peace plan for Ukraine includes NATO-style security guarantee

https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/trump-ukraine-peace-plan-28-points-russia

欧洲和乌克兰能同意么？
对乌克兰是瓜分+抢夺
对欧洲是抢夺和蔑视。

完整计划（逐条翻译）

1. 乌克兰的主权将得到确认。
2. 俄罗斯、乌克兰和欧洲之间将达成一项全面的互不侵犯协议。过去30年所有模糊不清的问题都将被视为已解决。
3. 预计俄罗斯将不再入侵邻国，北约也将不再进一步扩张。
4. 在美国的调解下，俄罗斯与北约将进行对话，以解决所有安全问题并为局势降级创造条件，从而确保全球安全并增加合作和未来经济发展的机会。
5. 乌克兰将获得可靠的安全保障。
   
   • 更新： 一份单独文件详细说明了安全保障的条款。美国及其北约盟国将把对乌克兰的攻击视作对整个"跨大西洋共同体"的攻击。
6. 乌克兰武装力量的规模将被限制在60万人。
   
   • 备注： 据一名乌克兰官员称，乌克兰军队目前有80万至85万人，战前约为25万人。
7. 乌克兰同意在其宪法中明确规定不加入北约，北约同意在其章程中纳入未来不接纳乌克兰的条款。
8. 北约同意不在乌克兰驻军。
   
   • 备注： 包括法国和英国在内的北约国家一直在研究单独的提案，计划在战后在乌克兰领土部署少量欧洲部队。此计划似乎排除了这种可能性。
9. 欧洲战斗机将部署在波兰。
10. 美国的担保条款：
    
    • 美国将因其提供的担保获得补偿；
    • 如果乌克兰入侵俄罗斯，它将失去担保；
    • 如果俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，除了决定性的协调军事反应外，所有全球制裁将恢复，对新领土的承认以及本协议的所有其他好处将被撤销；
    • 如果乌克兰无故向莫斯科或圣彼得堡发射导弹，安全担保将被视为无效。
11. 乌克兰有资格加入欧盟，并在欧盟审议其成员资格期间获得欧洲市场的短期优惠准入。
12. 一项强有力的全球性一揽子措施，用于重建乌克兰，包括但不限于：
    
    • 设立乌克兰发展基金，投资于快速增长行业，包括技术、数据中心和人工智能。
    • 美国将与乌克兰合作，共同重建、发展、现代化和运营乌克兰的天然气基础设施，包括管道和储存设施。
    • 共同努力修复受战争影响地区，以恢复、重建和现代化城市及住宅区。
    • 基础设施发展。
    • 矿产和自然资源的开采。
    • 世界银行将制定一个特殊的融资方案以加速这些努力。
13. 俄罗斯将重新融入全球经济：
    
    • 解除制裁将分阶段、逐案进行讨论和商定。
    • 美国将签订一项长期经济合作协议，以在能源、自然资源、基础设施、人工智能、数据中心、北极稀土金属开采项目以及其他互利的企业机会领域实现共同发展。
    • 俄罗斯将被邀请重新加入八国集团（G8）。
14. 被冻结资金将按以下方式使用：
    
    • 1000亿美元的被冻结俄罗斯资产将投资于由美国主导的重建和投资乌克兰的努力；
    • 美国将获得此项投资 venture 50%的利润。欧洲将追加1000亿美元，以增加可用于乌克兰重建的投资额。被冻结的欧洲资金将被解冻。剩余的被冻结俄罗斯资金将投资于一个单独的美俄投资工具，该工具将在特定领域实施联合项目。该基金旨在加强关系并增加共同利益，以创造不再回归冲突的强大动力。
15. 将成立一个美俄安全问题联合工作组，以促进和确保本协议所有条款的遵守。
16. 俄罗斯将以法律形式确立其对欧洲和乌克兰的不侵略政策。
17. 美国与俄罗斯将同意延长关于核武器不扩散和控制的条约有效期，包括《削减战略武器条约》（START I）。
    
    • 备注： 最后一个重要的美俄军控条约《新削减战略武器条约》（New START）将于（2026年）2月到期。
18. 乌克兰同意根据《不扩散核武器条约》成为一个无核国家。
19. 扎波罗热核电站将在国际原子能机构（IAEA）的监督下启动，所产生的电力将在俄罗斯和乌克兰之间平均分配——各占50%。
20. 两国承诺在学校和社会中实施教育计划，旨在促进对不同文化的理解和宽容，消除种族主义和偏见：
    
    • 乌克兰将采纳欧盟关于宗教宽容和保护语言少数群体的规则。
    • 两国将同意废除所有歧视性措施，并保障乌克兰和俄罗斯媒体与教育的权利。（备注：类似构想曾被纳入特朗普2020年的以色列-巴勒斯坦和平计划）。
    • 必须摒弃和禁止一切纳粹意识形态和活动。
21. 领土问题：
    
    • 克里米亚、卢甘斯克和顿涅茨克将被承认为俄罗斯事实上的领土，包括由美国承认。
    • 赫尔松和扎波罗热（州）将沿接触线冻结，这将意味着沿接触线的事实承认。
    • 俄罗斯将放弃其在这五个州之外控制的其他商定领土。
    • 乌克兰军队将从其目前控制的顿涅茨克州部分地区撤出，该撤出区将被视为中立非军事缓冲区，国际承认其为属于俄罗斯联邦的领土。俄罗斯军队不得进入该非军事区。
22. 在就未来领土安排达成一致后，俄罗斯联邦和乌克兰均承诺不以武力改变这些安排。任何违反此承诺的情况都将不适用安全担保条款。
23. 俄罗斯将不阻止乌克兰使用第聂伯河进行商业活动，并将就黑海粮食自由运输达成协议。
24. 将成立一个人道主义委员会，以解决未决问题：
    
    • 所有剩余战俘和遗体将按"全部换全部"的原则进行交换。
    • 所有被拘留的平民和人质将被返还，包括儿童。
    • 将实施家庭团聚计划。
    • 将采取措施缓解冲突受害者的痛苦。
25. 乌克兰将在100天内举行选举。
26. 所有参与此冲突的各方将因其在战争期间的行为获得完全赦免，并同意未来不提出任何索赔或考虑任何申诉。
27. 本协议将具有法律约束力。其执行将由唐纳德·J·特朗普总统领导的和平委员会监督和担保。违规行为将受到制裁。
    
    • 备注： 这与特朗普提议用于管理加沙和平协议的总体结构相同。
28. 一旦所有各方同意本备忘录，在双方撤退至商定地点以开始执行协议后，停火将立即生效。

 

[tw]

司机挺住，欧洲和中国这时是不会让这份实际是美俄协议得逞的。

司机如果同意这份协议，所有的黑锅都要他背，所有的脏水都会往他身上泼。左右不是人，他最后性命还大概率不保。
与其这样，继续打，乌克兰现在的国际局面比当时抗日战争中的老蒋强得太多了。

司机其实没有选择，必须要继续打， 最后就是一个停战线，和38线类似即可。

乌克兰已经输掉了这场战争。继续打下去只会让乌克兰失去更多领土、牺牲更多人民。需要及时止损。

对乌克兰人民来说，这场战争是强加给他们的，只是为了满足北约和俄罗斯的权力欲望。

乌克兰人民需要和平的生活。没有人想继续战争和受苦。对普通人来说，国界毫无意义。


俄罗斯与北约、美國与中国之间的真正冲突尚未解决。现在，北约已经没有能力支撑长期战争，因为经济濒临崩溃，而且缺乏制造能力。他们寄希望于将国防开支提高到 5%， 并重建强大的军队. 和平的世界已经不复存在。

 

[ztbll]

哈哈，司机惨啊，赶紧辞职跑路吧，否则会死的很掺啊。司机现在最恨的该是金毛吧，遥想3年前，司机多风光啊，全身发光，普丁也要避其锋芒，同意签署协议，退兵撤出乌东，但被金毛给搅黄，3年后，除了多死了百十万年轻人，乌东最富裕的几个省也丢拉。

 

[billwanhua]

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/21/trump-ukraine-peace-deal-00665416

The Trump administration believes the moment to pressure Ukraine into a peace agreement is at hand, with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy particularly weak at home and plagued by a corruption scandal that poses the most direct threat to his leadership since Russia invaded in 2022.

“The Ukrainians will have to accept [the deal] given the weakness of Zelenskyy’s current position,” said a senior White House official, who, like others, in the story, was granted anonymity to discuss the negotiations.

果然乌克兰腐败是个大棋，明确说了斯基因为腐败而必须接受。
哎，小国成了政治玩偶