Federal Election 2011 Seat Prejection

[CHRIS88]

You can find a summary of polling data from multiple pollsters.

http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html#NATIONAL


You can find a dynamic seat prediction (renewed once every while, typically two to three days) here:

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/seatprojections.html

 

[ccc]

议会解散前的席位分配情况为：
保守党，143席；自由党，77席；魁北克集团，47席；新民主党，36席；独立人士，2席；空缺，3席。

 

[CHRIS88]

Projected Distribution of Seats by Party and Region, as of March 31, 2011

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/seatprojections.html

The conservatives are short of two seats to a majority at this point of time.

 

[ccc]

<TABLE width=578 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD class=style1>

C 153​

</TD><TD class=style1>L 70





</TD><TD class=style1>N 34





</TD><TD class=style1>B 51





</TD><TD class=style1>O --





</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

It would still be a minority, eh?

What would happen if 153 vs 155 then ?

 

[West Life]

这是上届的结果吗？

 

[CHRIS88]

Projected Distribution of Seats by Party and Region, as of March 28, 2011


Con: 156
Lib: 68
NDP: 33
BQ: 51
Others: --

 

[CHRIS88]

这是上届的结果吗？

No, it's just a prediction according to a dynamic model.

 

[CHRIS88]

Projected Distribution of Seats by Party and Region, as of March 25, 2011

http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/feature20110325.html

Con: 157
Lib: 68
NDP: 32
BQ: 51
Others: --

 

[West Life]

No, it's just a prediction according to a dynamic model.

呵呵，等着结果

 

[CHRIS88]

You can find a summary of polling data from multiple pollsters.

http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/polls.html#NATIONAL

 

[ccc]

如果投票率能达到90%以上，结果会不同。

Voter turnout for the 2008 federal election was a pitiful 58.8% — the lowest in Canadian history.

 

[CHRIS88]

呵呵，等着结果

That's right. This election is more intriguing because of the Conservatives' bid for a majority.

 

[CHRIS88]

如果投票率能达到90%以上，结果会不同。

We cannot based our prediction on unrealistic assumptions, for instance, a voting rate of 90% .

 

[ccc]

We cannot based our prediction on unrealistic assumptions, for instance, a voting rate of 90% .

Actually it is the voter turnout rate.

 

[Obiwan]

there is a possibility of swopping between L and B. Something like C, B, L, & N