巴菲特十二项投资定律 ZT

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1.利用市场的愚蠢,进行有规律的投资。

  2.买价决定报酬率的高低,即使是长线投资也是如此。

  3.利润的复合增长与交易费用和税负的避免使投资人受益无穷。

  4.不在意一家公司来年可赚多少,仅有意未来5至10年能赚多少。

  5.只投资未来收益确定性高的企业。

  6.通货膨胀是投资者的最大敌人。

  7.价值型与成长型的投资理念是相通的;价值是一项投资未来现金流量的折现值;而成长只是用来决定价值的预测过程。

  8.投资人财务上的成功与他对投资企业的了解程度成正比。

  9."安全边际"从两方面协助投资:首先是缓冲可能的价格风险;其次是可获得相对高的权益报酬率。

  10.拥有一只股票,期待它下个星期就上涨,是十分愚蠢的。

  11.就算联储主席偷偷告诉我未来两2年的货币政策,我也不会改变我的任何一个作为。

  12.不理会股市的涨跌,不担心经济情势的变化,不相信任何预测,不接受任何内幕消息,只注意两点:A.买什么股票;B.买入价格。
 
12 Life Lessons from Warren Buffett:

1. Lose money and I will forgive you, but lose even a shred of reputation and I will be ruthless. This has been echoed across the business world for years and it applies to us all. Life is too short to cut corners to make an extra buck. Wealth can always be recreated but reputation takes a lifetime to build and often only a moment to destroy. As Warren says, “we will not trade reputation for money.” In the world of blogging, we are writing because we love it. It’s not for the money. This makes reputation more important than anything. Remember this when you are contemplating rushing to monetize your site by filling it with ads, links, etc.

2. The best defense in a tough economy is to add the most you can to society. Your money can be inflated away but your knowledge and talent cannot. No matter the external circumstances, you are always in control of your talent, learning and passion for life. There will always be opportunities for talent. This is the most empowering thing about web entrepreneurship and blogging. Develop those skills with the constant focus on helping others and you will never be without a job.

3. We get worried when people start to agree with us. The best fruit is found out on the limbs. The road less traveled makes all the difference. Make a rule to always stay on the side of the minority in your life’s path and you will be greatly rewarded. Not to mention it will be magnitudes more exciting. These are exactly the topics that people want to read about. Get a little edgy with your posts. Say something fresh. It will stick with your visitors and they’re likely to come back.

4. We celebrate wealth only when it’s been fairly won and wisely used. The goal is not to make money at all costs. It’s easy to forget that in a lot of industries and sub-cultures around the world where everyone is in constant competition. And this can especially be the case when so many of us spend hours upon hours writing and developing our web services for free. Do not rush it and do not get greedy. Help others and the fruit will be there. Wealth is worthless if you’ve destroyed all your relationships to attain it. Take the high road. It’s far less crowded. A bit sad but often true. Makes it pretty easy to stand out.

5. When you are exceptional you jump off the page. There really isn’t that much competition there. Be your own best competitive advantage. Then it doesn’t make a difference what others are doing. You are in control. In blogging, entrepreneurship and life, there are few people really willing to give it their all. Do this and your supporters will love you for it (they will also likely multiply).

6. Do what you’re passionate about. If you do this, there will be few people competing or running faster than you. The best way to be exceptional is with passion! As Tony Robbins says every day of his life, “Live with Passion!” And trust me, life is a lot more fun this way. I cannot think of a better motivator to get you to write for free and love it, than to jump out of bed dying to teach and help others.

7. I think I developed courage when I learned I could deal with hardship. You need to get your feet wet and get some failure under your belt. Courage does not grow on its own. Just like a muscle, it must be constantly worked out and developed. Life begins outside your comfort zone and that’s where courage is developed. Most people don’t succeed because they’re afraid to fail. Failure isn’t that bad anyway. It will make you tougher and more likely to win the next time around. If I had a dime for every time I heard someone tell me about an idea they wanted to pursue or how much they would like to give blogging a shot, without an ounce of action to follow…well, I might own a few more shares of Berkshire Hathaway stock. No one has succeeded without going through their own failures at some point. To try and to fail is much better than to never try. Why not get started early and get some of them out of the way! What’s the worst that could happen? As big wave surfer Laird Hamilton says “If you’re not falling then you’re not learning.”

8. There’s no better way to be happier than getting your expectations down. Most unhappiness comes from misaligned and unrealistic expectations of life. Expect the world of yourself, but expect nothing of the world. Then you cannot help but live your life pleasantly surprised. When I first started blogging a few years ago, I had these huge aspirations of how quickly I’d have a massive following. When it didn’t happen immediately, it got me down. Write and develop your business online with the expectation of it being a charity project to help others. Anything in addition will be icing on the cake.

9. If the only reason you find for doing something is because others are doing it then that’s not good enough. In fact, if everyone else is writing on a topic, maybe that’s the one best to avoid. Tim Ferriss is a master at evading the majority with his 4-Hour Work Week philosophy. Learn to be comfortable on your own path.

10. Decide early in life to make your money by selling things that you really believe are good for the customers. Make this a rule before you write another word to your readers or offer another product to your customers. Life is too short and your reputation too fragile to not have your audience first and foremost in your mind and in your heart. Rules like this make it very difficult to lose.

11. We’ve done a lot of stupid things but we’ve avoided a small subset of stupidity and that subset is important. It’s about avoiding the dumb things. Warren’s success does not come from doing so many things right. It comes from avoiding the things that are terribly wrong. Some say this is two sides of the same coin. It’s not. It requires a fundamental shift in psychology. The stories are endless of people who did a few things right and were massively successful, but then did something stupid that took them back to zero. Before Warren does anything, he and his partner “invert, always invert.” They list every way imaginable in which they could fail at a particular task and then take massive effort to avoid those failures. Do this for your blog or business and the success will come automatically. Always ask yourself, what would disappoint my readers or customers? Then don’t do it.

12. Go to bed a little wiser than when you woke up. This is the crux of the whole meeting. Life is about learning. If you are always learning you can never lose. Keep this as your only rule for the day and the world will be yours for the taking. There has been no better way for me to continue to add value to my readers and followers than this life maxim. Follow it and you will never run out of posts to write or people to serve.
 
Life of warran buffet:


1. He bought his first share at age 11 and he now regrets that he started too late! [SIO] Encourage your children to invest!!! *At only six years old, Buffett purchased 6-packs of Coca Cola from his grandfather's grocery store for twenty five cents and resold each of the bottles for a nickel, pocketing a five cent profit. While other children his age were playing hopscotch and jacks, Warren was making money.

2. He bought a small farm at age 14 with savings from delivering newspapers. [SIO] Encourage your children to start some kind of business !!! Five years later, Buffett took his step into the world of high finance. At eleven years old, he purchased three shares of Cities Service Preferred at $38 per share for both himself and his older sister, Doris. Shortly after buying the stock, it fell to just over $27 per share. A frightened but resilient Warren held his shares until they rebounded to $40. He promptly sold them - a mistake he would soon come to regret. Cities Service shot up to $200. The experience taught him one of the basic lessons of investing: patience is a virtue.

3. He still lives in the same small 3 bedroom house in mid-town Omaha , which he bought after he got married 50 years ago. He says that he has everything he needs in that house . His house does not have a wall or a fence. [SIO] Don't buy more than what you "really need" and encourage your children to do and think the same !!! Warren Buffet still lives in the same neighborhood where he bought his home in 1958 for $31,500. Warren’s house is still quite large at 6,300 square feet, and the estimated value is now approximately $700,000. He also keeps a second home in Laguna Beach, California and is worth about $4 million.

4. He drives his own car everywhere and does not have a driver or security people around him. [SIO] You are what you are!!!

5. He never travels by private jet, although he owns the world's largest private jet company. [SIO] Always think how you can accomplish things economically!!!

6. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, owns 63 companies. He writes only one letter each year to the CEOs of these companies, giving them goals for the year. He never holds meetings or calls them on a regular basis. [SIO] Assign the right people to the right jobs!!!

7. He has given his CEO's only two rules. Rule number 1: do not lose any of your share holder's money. Rule number 2: Do not forget rule number 1. [SIO] Set goals and make sure people focus on them!!!

8. He does not socialize with the high society crowd. His past time after he gets home is to make himself some pop corn and watch television. [SIO] Don't try to show off, just be your self and do what you enjoy doing!!!

9. Bill Gates, the world's richest man met him for the first time only 5 years ago. Bill Gates did not think he had anything in common with Warren Buffet. So he had scheduled his meeting only for half hour. But when Gates met him, the meeting lasted for ten hours and Bill Gates became a devotee of Warren Buffet. [SIO] Don't make presumption and be open to all possibilities.

10. Warren Buffet does not carry a cell phone, nor has a computer on his desk. [SIO] See 3 & 4 above!!!

11. His advice to young people: Stay away from credit cards [ SIO] Avoid bank loans and invest in yourself.

Often called the " Oracle of Omaha ," [6] Buffett is noted for his adherence to the value investing philosophy and for his personal frugality despite his immense wealth. [7] His 2006 annual salary was about $100,000, which is small compared to senior executive remuneration in other comparable companies. [8]
Warren Buffett From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Warren Edward Buffet (2005) Born August 30, 1930 ) (age 78) Omaha, Nebraska, United States Occupation Chairman & CEO, Berkshire Hathaway Salary US$100,000 Net worth US $62 billion (2008) [ 1] Spouse(s) Susan Buffett (1952–2004), Astrid Menks (2006-) [2] Children Susie Buffett, Howard Graham Buffett, Peter Buffett Website www.berkshirehathaway.com Warren Edward Buffett (born August 30, 1930, in Omaha, Nebraska) is an American investor, businessman and philanthropist. He is regarded as one of the world's greatest investors and is the largest shareholder and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. [3] With an estimated net worth of around US$62 billion, [4] he was ranked by Forbes as the richest person in the world as of February 11, 2008. [5]
the richest man who has donated $31 billion to charity. Money is nothing Attitude is everything
 
There's a lot to be learned from him - the great Buffett.
 
This is what wisdom is about.
WIT & WISDOM OF CHARLES T. MUNGER- Partner of Warren Buffet

“I’ve gotten paid a lot over the years for just reading through newspapers.”
(Charlie studies everything!)
“I’m doing the best I can. But I’ve never grown old before. I’m doing it for the first time.”
Charlie continues to influence the law firm he helped found: “Choose clients as you would
friends.”
He’s known for discussing his friends among the “eminent dead (like Ben Franklin) who had
the right ideas.” Example …
On helping society: It is a grand mistake to think of being great without goodness and …
there was never a truly great man that was not … truly virtuous. (Ben Franklin)
To son Charlie on how to keep a friend: “Charlie, when you borrow a man’s car, you always
return it with a full tank of gas.”
When discussing the efficiency of cost-plus contracts, he likes to say “even the mule knew
when to slow down (Bill Gates).”
Business as an Ecosystem: When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to
everything else in the Universe. (John Muir)
Education: Perhaps the most valuable result of all education is the ability to make yourself
do the thing you have to do, when it ought to be done, whether you like it or not. It is the first
lesson that ought to be learned and however early a man’s training begins, it is probably the
last lesson that he learns thoroughly. (Thomas Henry Huxley)
“A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price.” (Charlie
differing with Ben Graham)
What makes a great business model? Charlie’s recommended readings offer some clues:
Guns, Germs and Steel, The Selfish Gene, Ice Age, and Darwin’s Blind Spot all seem to
focus on “competitive destruction” and why a few entities adapt and thrive over time.
For example, General Electric is the lone survivor of the 50 most important stocks of a
century ago.
The man (or woman or child) who doesn’t read good books has no advantage over the many
who can’t read them. (Mark Twain)
Rev-Business Wit & Wisdom Page 2 of 5 of Charles Munger
Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. (Einstein). “Never interrupt it
unnecessarily.”
“Be alert for the arrival of luck. When proper circumstances present themselves, act with
decisiveness and conviction. Opportunity doesn’t come often, so seize it when it does.”
“It’s more important to have the discipline to prepare” he says, “than to have the will to win.
When opportunity meets the prepared mind, that’s what’s best.”
Trickery and treachery are the practices of fools. Honesty is the best policy. (Ben Franklin)
“Today, it seems to be regarded as the duty of CEO’s to make the stock go up. This leads to
all sorts of foolish behavior. We want to tell it like it is.”
Berkshire’s Acquisition Strategy: “Two-thirds of acquisitions don’t work. Ours work
because we don’t try to do acquisitions—we wait for no-brainers.”
Avoid Debt: “Once you get into debt, it’s hell to get out. You can’t get ahead (or even
survive) paying eighteen percent interest.”
Public Schools: “We took one of the greater successes in the history of the Earth and turned
it into one of the greatest disasters in our history.”
On Improving Your Business with Technology: “Buffett learned in the textile business
that people never do the second step of the analysis. That after you’ve made the investment
(in technology), the benefit of the cost reductions don’t go to the guy who bought the
equipment, but flow through to the firm’s customers, not to the firm.”
“The company that needs a new tool and hasn’t bought it, is already paying for it.”
“Then, you also get ‘competitive destruction’ when a new thing or way of doing something
obliterates your product or service … as no longer necessary.”
“You have to figure out what your own aptitudes are. If you play games where other people
have the aptitudes and you don’t, you’re going to lose.”
“The iron rule of life is that only twenty percent of the people can be in the top fifth (of
anything).”
On Incentives: “As usual in human affairs, what determines behavior are incentives for the
decision maker, and ‘getting the incentives right’ is a very, very important lesson.”
“Many systems today reward people for being dishonest, and worse yet, teach them to be
dishonest.”
Rev-Business Wit & Wisdom Page 3 of 5 of Charles Munger
On Investment Management: “I asked him, ‘Do fish really bite on those green and purple
lures?’ And he said, ‘Mister, I don’t sell to fish.’”
“Ideology does strange things and distorts cognition even for very bright people. Any
reasonable ‘position’ is OK, but being ‘totally sure’ turns you into a lousy thinker.”
What a man wishes, that also will he believe. (Demosthenes)
“Have a checklist and use it! And by the way, improve it based on your mistakes and other
learnings. It’s very important to own up to and learn from mistakes!”
“Whether you’re an engineer, attorney, leader, owner, consultant, accountant, whatever, it’s
extremely important to know what you know and don’t know.”
Reasons Charlie sees for the present sorry state of higher education:
· The balkanization of academia
· Departments are deficient in major ways
· Academia inertia, no desire to improve
· Certain tenured professors who are terrible
· Education schools are pervaded by psychology, much of which is wrong
· Deep-seated ideology keeps really bright people from learning and seeing past their
prejudices
· Failure to know and use a wide range of mental models vs. those known to your
profession
“It’s important for success, to master the best that other people have figured out. You cannot
dream it all up by yourself.”
Expect your advisors’ opinions to be unhelpful due to their subconscious biases:
1) “They lean toward what is good for them ahead of what is good for you.
2) “To a man with a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.”
(My own observations in life suggest that this is often as true for attorneys, physicians, and
dentists as it is for financial consultants, plumbers and shopkeepers! —Mel)
In Talks Four and Five, Charlie discusses the necessity of multi-disciplinary thinking. He
notes that it more often occurs in the “hard sciences” (math, physics, chemistry, and
engineering) … because it’s practical and effective. Other “soft sciences” such as economics,
philosophy, education, psychology, business, law, etc. also need multi-disciplinarity.
However, they get away without it, to the detriment of their students.
Rev-Business Wit & Wisdom Page 4 of 5 of Charles Munger
(That reminds me of the observation by civil engineering pioneer, teacher and consultant
Hardy Cross: Engineering is thought to be a technical discipline, but actually it requires a
combination of science and technology with an understanding of people and economics.
—Mel)
Charlie’s discussion of Coca-Cola is refreshing! Its success is due to …
· “a good-tasting, energy-giving, stimulating, cold, wine-colored, effervescent beverage
with no after taste.
· “pavlovian conditioning (a man yearns for the beverage held by a pretty woman he
can’t have).
· “operant conditioning through flavor, stimulus (sugar, caffeine), coolness, lack of
competitors.
· “brand, marketing, distribution (fountain syrup, bottled variously), pricing such that
competitors are few.”
Thoughts about Investing:
“Opportunities come along very infrequently. But when they do, and you’ve studied them
carefully for the long term, be prepared to make a big investment.”
I could improve your investing performance by giving you a card with say 20 boxes to
represent all the investments you can make the rest of your life. (Warren Buffett)
The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you’re the easiest person to fool.
(Richard Feynman)
“In the US, a person with almost all their wealth invested long-term in just three fine domestic
corporations, is securely rich; his long-term results will be superior.” (I’m sure he’s thinking
of GE, P&G, Berkshire Hathaway, J&J, etc.)
“I think that one should recognize reality even when one doesn’t like it, indeed, especially
when one doesn’t like it.”
We frequently make mistakes by over-counting that which can be measured and undercounting
what can’t be measured.
“Incentives are difficult but important to ‘get right.’” Carelessly done, incentives create all
sorts of problems, from the practice of medicine (drugs and surgeries) to government (DoD
procurement, wage, and hour laws) to business (mergers, stock price).
“People tend to ‘game’ all human systems with great ingenuity; build systems that aren’t
easily faked.”
Rev-Business Wit & Wisdom Page 5 of 5 of Charles Munger
“Other human tendencies can interfere with good judgment:
· “Liking or loving an individual or group.
· “Disliking or hating an individual or group.
· “Quickly resolving doubt by a ‘too-fast’ decision (for comfort).
· “Inconsistency avoidance can lead to dumb decisions.
· “Curiosity can provide both fun and wisdom, and occasionally trouble.
· “Fairness and helping others is a widespread tendency.
· “Envy and jealousy can be more dangerous than greed.
· “Reciprocity tendency can work both ways, good and bad.
· “Influence-from-mere-association can lead to foolishness whether the association is
with a person, a product, a feature or an event. Example: Kill the messenger.
· “Pain-avoidance, physically, but also emotional pain.
· “Excessive self-regard can get us into lots of troubles.
· “Over-optimism can blind us to problems.
· “Loss-reaction can lead to ridiculous actions.
· “Social-proof tendency: If it’s OK with others, it must be OK.
· “Misjudging differences, both great and small, can hurt.
· “Stress-reaction can lead to actions regretted later.
· “Over-weighing the data that’s easily available.
· “Use it or lose it: Underused skills go away.
· “Drugs and alcohol impair judgment without awareness.
· “Authority influence: Authorities are often wrong!
· “Twaddle tendency: ‘Man is born to prattle and pour out twaddle’ that can interfere
with serious work.”
 
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