LNOP: the best NP start-up

arealchinese

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2003-07-16
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LNOP, thanks to its subsidary EZ-Chips, which is the world's most advanced network processor develpper, is rated as the best startup in semiconductor industry. Its revenue still at its infant stage increases every quarter due to increased system vendors' interest in its NP-1.

Today, all of the sales are related to samples of NP-1 and development kits. Volume manufacturing (by IBM) is probably only a few months away. If everything goes smoothly, by next year, LNOP could reach $50/share (just blind guess, no supported data yet).
 
EZchip delivers IPv6 Router Code

It seems to me that the progress with NP1-c is proceeding smoothly. IPv6 Edge Router sounds promising. The CEO of EZchip says "volume manufacturing" is expected by the end of 2003. The DoD (US) specified support for IPv6. Asian customers are using IPv6 already. Bravo!

Wish prediction of 50$/share for LNOP becoming true next year!
 
Some info about EZchip

LNOP owns about 50% of EZchip. EZchip is a privately held fabless semicounductor company specialised in Network Processor (NP) design. Its NP1, NP1-c and NP-2 (to be sampled next year) are the most advanced and the highest integrated NPs in the world. Thanks to last year's latest round of financing, it has roughly $50M cash in hands, in their own words, sufficient to support the company to reach positive cashflow.

IBM is the manufacturing the NPs for them.

The most recent news was out today:

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/030813/135253_1.html
 
Some info about NP1 and NP2 and a brief story about LNOP

NP1 is the first NP produced by EZchips - a fully duplex universal network processor. The core tech behind NP1 is the integration of Processing and Classification function on one single chip including memories. It uses relatively low clock speed processors and high integration to reduce the power consumption and therefore heat dissipation. In addition, it employs parallel technologies to reach the high speed. Presently, NP1 is designed for 10G wirespeed. Another advanctage is its design for unversal applications to networks from level 2 to level 7. The end result is 80% redution in cost and heat dissipation comparing to current solutions.

NP1-c is an advanced version of NP1, which further reduces the manufacturing costs through a higher degree of integration (both hardware and software). NP1-c can also be readily upgraded from 10G to 40G.

NP2 (to be sampled Q1 or Q2 next year) will add traffic manager into the integration.

Since the sampling of NP1, EZchip recorded for the first time a revenue of about $100k a year ago. A year later, this kind of sampling revenue increased to about $1M (most recent Q). This is a good indicator that many potential customers (system vendors) have requested samples from EZchip. No one single sale has been announced to date. After the CEO, volume manufacturing will begin by the year end (orders already received? I have no idea)

I've been following LNOP for years and years. This is not a very succefull company by history. It once was a tech leader in its field but failed in making their products in time and missed the market play. This time, on the contrary, they are running ahead of everyone else (as Mr. Gilder quoted "at least two generations more advanced than its peers") and the market, too. Are they too early for the market? Will the market miss them if the demand continues to slump for another 5 to 10 years?

I'm always optimistic. I guess the demand in high speed network, especially in metro and entreprise sectors will see some improvement from now.

EZchip is not yet a public company, the only way to play it is to play LNOP (51% owner), who founded EZchip with many other financial institutions. IBM also holds a small portion (5%).

LNOP has no other operation than EZchip (the only asset and operation). It stopped all of the other businesses last year and relies today 100% on EZchip. In fact, LNOP becomes merely a holding company. The fully diluted number of shares of LNOP stands today at about 8M.

From its current estimate, no further financing is required before receiving volume incomes and positive cash flow. However, there is no garranty that the R&D and manufacturing activities will not require more funding. Any new product line R&D and expanded manufacturing activities may lead to higher levels of funding (is this for good?). Certainly, this won't happen unless the demand is there for real.

For details, please check their onw website:

http://www.ezchip.com/
 
Also forgot to mention

that LNOP and EZchip are both Isreli companies located in Isreli with offices in CA (US). There could be some geopolitical risks involved.

Finally, this company doesn't speak often - lack of transparency. This could be good or bad. I certainly like those transparent companies who report frequently to their sharesholders. However, I never liked those who make a lot of propaganda and often mislead the public. Personally, I tend to trust that LNOP/EZchip are hard and silent workers. They rarely publish good news. Bad news are published only when required under the regulation (everyone is doing this, understand!)
 
LNOP breaks out of a major (12 months) trading range today with Bollinger bands wide open.
That means a lot.
 
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