美国花街亡中之心不死: <转贴>China's market looks like the Dow in 1929: Top technician

ert0000

本站元老
VIP
注册
2005-12-07
消息
21,792
荣誉分数
5,889
声望点数
373
花街坏人说的, 大家批评花街吧.
市面上曾经的2500点之说可能和这些花街坏人有关. :cool:



http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/13/chinas-market-looks-like-the-dow-in-1929-top-technician.html

China's market looks like the Dow in 1929: Top technician

China's stock market has been nothing short of a roller-coaster ride this year.

The Shanghai composite rallied more than 60 percent from January to its mid-June high, then took a sharp turn lower, losing more than 23 percent of its value in the past 30 trading sessions. Since hitting a low of 3,507 last week, the index has bounced 13 percent. And while that volatility has some investors drawing parallels to the Nasdaq collapse in 2000, one top technician says the better analogy might be the Dowin 1929.

Read More China's equity bubble has echoes of Nasdaq in 2000

"We are seeing some similarities to what we had seen in the Dow where you had a very parabolic advance and then a sharp correction, followed by a relief rally and then ultimately there was a parabolic decline even further," technical analyst Craig Johnson said Friday on CNBC's "Trading Nation."

The Shanghai composite has shown some signs of life in the past week, rebounding nearly 8 percent for the five trading sessions. But according to Johnson, senior technical research analyst at Piper Jaffray, this kind of chart behavior is dangerous. "Traders are watching this relief rally here to see how far this is going to follow through. But those who have studied charts and looked at charts for a long time know that parabolic advances typically end poorly," he said. "Typically you get a 110 percent retracement of the entire advance up."



Shanghai2015-Dow1929.jpg


And while Johnson admits the outcome may not be exactly the same as 1929, the eerie similarities are enough to keep him away from China's stock market.

Beyond the charts, other investors are urging caution when it comes to investing in china.

"We're not really doing any direct investing there right now and we encourage investors to be cautious," Curtis Holden of Tanglewood Wealth Management said on "Trading Nation."

Holden said a combination of the stock market's price action in the past five years and the fragility of the country's economy makes it unattractive from a fundamental standpoint—at least in the short term.

"I would tell investors right now to focus more on the developed markets and to sit tight and wait to see what happens in China," he said.

Want to be a part of the Trading Nation? If you'd like to call into our live Monday show, email your name, number and a question to TradingNation@cnbc.com



 
中国崩溃了,加拿大也玩完
全部奔溃是不可能的,让中国开发资本市场,价钱压低后买进才是他们最大利益

不过现在中国的政策市才是吓死人,一会儿,千股连着3,4天跌停,想卖卖不掉,一会儿千股连着几天涨停,想买买不到。这样的市场,很多散户会继续玩?继续玩下去的真是有强健的心脏。
 
后退
顶部