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22 min ago
US coronavirus deaths could top 6,000 a day by December in worst-case scenario, expert predicts
From CNN’s Shelby Lin Erdman
Health workers provide Covid-19 testing on a street in Washington, DC, on August 14. Daniel Slim/AFP/Getty Images
The death toll from the coronavirus pandemic in the United States could spike to as high as 6,000 people a day by December in the worst-case scenario, according to Dr. Chris Murray, the chair of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.
Currently, about 1,000 people are dying daily from the coronavirus in the US.
In a new model released Friday, researchers at IHME predicted the number of daily deaths will decrease slowly in September -- then rise to nearly 2,000 a day by the start of December.
But Murray told CNN that, “depending on what our leaders do,” things can get worse.
“In some states -- California is a good example -- cases peaked, are coming down, but deaths haven't,” Murray said. “We're seeing upswings in transmission in places like Kentucky and Minnesota, Indiana.”
If mask use increased in the US to 95%, the number of deaths could drop by almost 70,000, Murray added.
US coronavirus deaths could top 6,000 a day by December in worst-case scenario, expert predicts
From CNN’s Shelby Lin Erdman
Health workers provide Covid-19 testing on a street in Washington, DC, on August 14. Daniel Slim/AFP/Getty Images
The death toll from the coronavirus pandemic in the United States could spike to as high as 6,000 people a day by December in the worst-case scenario, according to Dr. Chris Murray, the chair of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.
Currently, about 1,000 people are dying daily from the coronavirus in the US.
In a new model released Friday, researchers at IHME predicted the number of daily deaths will decrease slowly in September -- then rise to nearly 2,000 a day by the start of December.
But Murray told CNN that, “depending on what our leaders do,” things can get worse.
The new IHME forecast projects 310,000 deaths by December -- 15,000 more than the previous forecast two weeks ago. That’s because while coronavirus infections are dropping in some areas, the death rate is not.
“In some states -- California is a good example -- cases peaked, are coming down, but deaths haven't,” Murray said. “We're seeing upswings in transmission in places like Kentucky and Minnesota, Indiana.”
If mask use increased in the US to 95%, the number of deaths could drop by almost 70,000, Murray added.
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