路透社:随着中美紧张局势加剧,中国可能会抛售美国国债

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BUSINESS NEWS
SEPTEMBER 4, 2020 / 4:52 AM / A DAY AGO

China may dump U.S. Treasuries as Sino-U.S. tensions flare: Global Times


SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China may gradually cut its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds and notes, in light of rising tensions between Beijing and Washington, state-backed newspaper Global Times cited experts as saying.

With Sino-U.S. relations deteriorating over various issues including coronavirus, trade and technology, global financial markets are increasingly worried if China would sell the U.S. government debt it holds as a weapon to counter rising U.S. pressure.

“China will gradually decrease its holdings of U.S. debt to about $800 billion under normal circumstances,” Xi Junyang, a professor at the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, was quoted as saying on Thursday, without giving a detailed timeframe.

“But of course, China might sell all of its U.S. bonds in an extreme case, like a military conflict.”

China, the second largest non-U.S. holder of Treasuries, held $1.074 trillion in June, down from $1.083 trillion the previous month, according to latest official data.

China has steadily decreased its holdings of the U.S. bonds this year, although some market watchers suspect China may not have necessarily sold U.S. Treasuries as it may have used other custodians to purchase Treasuries.

Dropping to $800 billion from the current level could mean shrinking its holdings by more than 25%. Analysts say large-scale Chinese selling, often referred to as the “nuclear option”, could trigger turmoil on global financial markets.

Another reason the state newspaper cited was the potential default risk in the United States as the debt of the world’s largest economy has surged sharply to about the same size of its gross domestic product, a level not seen since the end of the World War Two and well above the internationally recognized safety line of 60%.

China is heavily exposed to the U.S. dollar and dollar-denominated assets. Its official foreign exchange reserves stood at $3.154 trillion at the end of July.

Reporting by Winni Zhou and Andrew Galbraith; Editing by Kim Coghill

 
目前美国国债基本于GDP相当,国际认可的安全标准是低于60%。

中国是仅次于日本持有美国国债第二的国家。俄国在2018年几乎卖掉了所有美债。

The following is a list of the top foreign holders of US Treasury securities as listed by the US Treasury (revised by June 2020 survey):[54]

Leading foreign holders of US Treasury securities as of June 2020
Country or region
Billions of dollars (est.)
Ratio of owned US debtto 2017 GDP (est.)[127][128]
Percent change sinceJune 2019
Japan
1,261.3​
26%​
+12%​
China
1,074.4​
5%​
− 3%​
United Kingdom
445.6​
17%​
+31%​
Ireland
330.4​
100%​
+26%​
Luxembourg
267.6​
428%​
+16%​
Hong Kong
266.4​
78%​
+23%​
Brazil
264.1​
13%​
−15%​
Switzerland
247.4​
36%​
+ 6%​
Cayman Islands
222.0​
n/a
− 1%​
Belgium
218.7​
44%​
+ 9%​
Taiwan
204.6​
36%​
+17%​
other
2,236.4​
n/a
+ 2%​
Total
7,038.9
n/a
+ 6%

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最后编辑:
早该脱了。 中国坚持不脱钩令人失望和气愤!
 
我听党的。
党说不脱一定有不脱的理由。
 
好像有几百吨黄金储存在美联储金库呢。
 
即使关系好,抛售一些也正常,美联储允许通胀超过2%,美元贬值是大概率事
 
不是说美国要扣押中国手里的美债吗?
 
美国国债每天市场交易额5000多亿美元。老共抛出手上的全部美债也就两天的交易量而已。
占本国GDP5%的抛售量,占美国GDP能够有多少百分比?能有什么巨大的作用么?
 
截止八月三十一号,美国国债总规模$26.7 trillion,国内持有$ 20.83 trillion, 国外总共持有 $5.88 trillion.
 
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