克里姆林宫说普京会去 G20。
Kremlin says Putin will attend G20 summit
Indonesian president also invited Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, despite Ukraine not being a G20 country.www.politico.eu
Analysis: Security for Putin‘s trip to G20 Summit isn’t flawless
Even if Putin's flight avoids central Asian countries and routes towards the Russian Far East region, and refuels at one Chinese airport with high security level ground handling, then flies across the South China Sea to Indonesia, there are two major security concerns:
1). There are many U.S. Air Force bases around the South China Sea, and also potential USAF or carrier/LHA-based stealth jets.
2). Security of the airport ground handling in Indonesia isn‘t 100% guaranteed to avoid an incident like the "Kashmir Princess" incident.
Due to the large amount of MH17 victims, mostly from the Netherlands (173), Malaysia (44), Australia (28), Indonesia (12), U.K. (9), Germany (4), and Belgium (4), etc., it wouldn't be surprising if someone depicts such an incident as the personal revenge of the family/friends of certain MH17 victims, to divert public opinion and weaken the reasonability of “the use of nuclear strategy to protect the president from getting attacked”.
分析 (暴论,亲俄读者就当提个醒):普京印尼 G20 之行的安保并非无懈可击。
即便普京专机绕开中亚五国先去俄远东地区,再在中国某个机场以高规格的地勤安保等级加满油料,然后飞跃南中国海抵达印度尼西亚,
仍会有两大安保考量:
1. 南中国海周边有菲、澳的美空军基地,以及航母和两栖攻击舰搭载的五代机;
2. 印度尼西亚的机场地勤,未必能保障类似 “克什米尔公主号” 事件不发生。
由于 MH17 事件有众多遇难者来自荷兰 (173)、马来西亚 (44)、澳大利亚 (28)、印度尼西亚 (12)、英国 (9)、德国 (4)、比利时 (4) 等国,如果有人动手脚被描绘成 “遇难者亲友” 复仇的个人行为也毫不奇怪,将改变舆论论调、弱化 “使用核战略保障元首不被攻击” 的合理性。
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表面上可能变成因亲属在 MH17 事件中丧生 ”某个地勤做了手脚“、”某个飞行员擅自起飞“ 实施报复之类的 storytelling 剧本。
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