你先就近预测一下下月的中期选举吧。
2022 United States elections - Wikipedia
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Federal elections
Senate elections
Main article: 2022 United States Senate elections
Thirty-five of the 100 seats in the Senate will be up for election, including all 34 Class 3 seats. A special election is being held to fill a vacancy from another Senate class. As senators serve six-year terms, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 3 senators were held in 2016. The winners of the United States Senate elections will be sworn in on January 3, 2023, for the 118th Congress.
Special elections
Two special elections will take place in 2022 to replace senators who resigned during the 117th Congress:
- California Class 3: Incumbent Kamala Harris was elected as Vice President of the United States and resigned on January 18, 2021, to take office also as the ex officio President of the Senate.[13] Governor Gavin Newsom used his power to appoint the Secretary of State of California, Alex Padilla, to succeed her. A special election to fill the remaining weeks of Harris's tenure is to be held on November 8, 2022, the same day as the regular election for a six-year term, as a writ proclaimed by Newsom.[14][15]
- Oklahoma Class 2: Incumbent Jim Inhofe announced on February 24, 2022, that he will resign from the Senate at the end of the 117th Congress on January 3, 2023. A special election to fill the remaining four years of his term is to be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with the regular election for the Class 3 seat, held by James Lankford.[16]
House of Representatives elections
Main article: 2022 United States House of Representatives elections
All 435 voting seats in the House of Representatives will be up for election. Fifty-one representatives and one non-voting delegate (32 Democrats, 20 Republicans) have announced that they will be retiring or resigning early. The incumbents in these races were determined in the 2020 House of Representatives elections and subsequent special elections. As these elections will be the first conducted after the post-2020 census redistricting, several districts lack an incumbent or have multiple incumbents.
Special elections
Eight special elections have already been held for the House of Representatives in 2022:
- Florida's 20th congressional district: Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick defeated Republican Jason Mariner to succeed Democrat Alcee Hastings, who died on April 6, 2021, from pancreatic cancer.[17][18][19] The district has a partisan index of D+28.[20]
- California's 22nd congressional district: Republican Connie Conway defeated Democrat Lourin Hubbard in a runoff to succeed Republican Devin Nunes, who resigned on January 1, 2022, to become CEO of the Trump Media & Technology Group.[21][22] The district has a partisan index of R+6.[20]
- Texas's 34th congressional district: Republican Mayra Flores defeated Democrat Dan Sanchez to succeed Democrat Filemon Vela Jr., who resigned on March 31, 2022, to work for Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[23] The district has a partisan index of D+5.[20]
- Nebraska's 1st congressional district: Republican Mike Flood defeated Democrat Patty Pansing Brooks to succeed Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who resigned on March 31, 2022, after he was indicted and arrested for lying to the FBI about campaign contributions.[24] The district has a partisan index of R+11.[20]
- Minnesota's 1st congressional district: Republican Brad Finstad defeated Democrat Jeff Ettinger to succeed Republican Jim Hagedorn, who died on February 17, 2022, from kidney cancer.[25][26] The district has a partisan index of R+8.[20]
- Alaska's at-large congressional district: Democrat Mary Peltola defeated Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III to succeed Republican Don Young, who died on March 18, 2022.[27] The district has a partisan index of R+9.[20]
- New York's 19th congressional district: Democrat Pat Ryan defeated Republican Marc Molinaro to succeed Democrat Antonio Delgado, who resigned on May 25, 2022, to become Lieutenant Governor of New York.[28] The district has a partisan index of R+3.[20]
- New York's 23rd congressional district: Republican Joe Sempolinski defeated Democrat Max Della Pia to succeed Republican Tom Reed, who resigned on May 10, 2022, amid sexual assault allegations.[29] The district has a partisan index of R+9.[20]
One other special election will take place in 2022 to replace a member who died in office during the 117th Congress:
- Indiana's 2nd congressional district: Incumbent Republican Jackie Walorski died on August 3, 2022, in a traffic collision.[30] A special election is to be held on November 8, 2022.[31] The district has a partisan index of R+13.[20]
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Main article: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
Elections will be held for the governorships of 36 states and three territories. As most governors serve four-year terms, the last regularly-scheduled elections for most seats up for election in 2022 were held in 2018. The governors of New Hampshire and Vermont each serve two-year terms, so incumbents in these two states were determined by the 2020 gubernatorial elections.
Attorney General elections
Main article: 2022 United States attorney general elections
Attorneys general will be elected in thirty states, three territories, and one federal district. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The attorney general of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.[32]
Secretary of State elections
Main article: 2022 United States secretary of state elections
Secretaries of state will be elected in twenty-seven states. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The secretary of state of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.[33]
State Treasurer elections
Main article: 2022 United States treasurer elections
State treasurers and equivalents will be elected in twenty-seven states, plus a special election in Utah. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The treasurer of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.
Legislative elections
Main article: 2022 United States state legislative elections
The vast majority of states and territories will hold legislative elections in 2022. Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia will not hold state legislative elections, as those states all hold such elections in odd-numbered years. In states that use staggered terms, some state senators will not be up for election. As these elections will be the first conducted after the 2020 census redistricting, several legislative districts may lack an incumbent or have multiple incumbents.
结果很快就出来了，无需预测
