Most Canadian businesses and consumers expect a recession in next 12 months: BoC surveys

  • 主题发起人 主题发起人 ccc
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说加拿大房价不可能跌是CFC房地产专家的共识。这 Bloomberg 肯定是瞎编乱造。坚决不同意。:tx:

 
明天出加拿大的cpi, 说不定已经降下来了。 要不然mortgage rate还要涨
加拿大CPI容易降,因为政府控制了房租涨幅,而美国房租(占cpi 40%)随便涨,而加拿大mortgage rate涨不涨自己做不了主,看美国脸色,要不然加币跌成灰,几乎所有蔬菜水果都靠进口,加币跌,CPI又高涨
 
Grocery prices were up 11 per cent on an annual basis, a slight improvement from 11.4 per cent in November, the federal agency said.

The country's annual inflation rate peaked in the summer at 8.1 per cent and has been slowly decelerating since. In November, the annual inflation rate was 6.8 per cent.

Meanwhile, Canadians saw some relief at the pump last month, paying 13.1 per cent less compared with November. Statistics Canada said the price of crude oil dropped amid concerns of a slowing global economy.

Excluding food and energy, prices rose 5.3 per cent in December on an annual basis.

December's deceleration was also offset by increases in mortgage interest costs, clothing and footwear, and personal care supplies and equipment.

The Bank of Canada will be paying close attention to this latest inflation report as it gears up for its next interest rate decision on Jan. 25.

In addition to headline inflation, the central bank will also be looking at its preferred measures of inflation, which edged down slightly last month.

The latest consumer price index provides the final data points for inflation in 2022. Statistics Canada said the average inflation rate for 2022 was 6.8 per cent, a 40-year high.

The average inflation rate was 3.4 per cent in 2021.

Rising energy prices contributed significantly to high inflation last year as consumers paid 28.5 per cent more for gasoline in 2022 on an average annual basis.


Though much of high inflation has been driven by energy prices, the Canadian economy saw a broadening of inflation pressures in 2022.

Grocery prices were up 9.8 per cent, marking the fastest pace since 1981.

The federal agency said prices for durable goods were up 6.2 per cent while prices for services rose five per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Jan. 17, 2023

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那厢白等,这厢土豆,胡印、瞎花,不通膨才怪,其实这都是老百姓自己约的炮儿 ......
 
通胀率到三月就应该到了可控范围内了。
如果加拿大央行这期间不涨息或者,只是两次0.25帕地涨,那就意味着衰退会来得慢一些。如果这期间涨两次0.5帕或更高,今年上半年,三月最迟五月衰退就要到来。
 
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