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旧闻，彭博社四月的预测。
Golden Sachs 最近预测印度将在2075年超过美国，成为第二大经济体。不需要其他金砖国家的帮助，印度自己即可取得成功，它是金砖国家中经济增长最强劲的国家，其他金砖国家2023年进入经济增衰退的几率都在两位数，而印度是零。
英国75%
新西兰70%
美国65%
德国 意大利 加拿大 60%
法国50%
南非45%
俄国37.5%
巴西15%
中国12.5
印尼2%
印度 0%
在金砖峰会前，41个国家准备接受金砖货币。
BRICS: U.S. Has 65% Chances of Slipping Into a Recession, India Has 0%
Vinod DsouzaJuly 12, 2023
Bloomberg published a report this year indicating the probabilities of a recession in major economies country-wise. The report highlighted that the U.S. and other Western allies have higher chances of slipping into a recession than the developing economies. The U.S. has a 65% chance of falling into a recession and BRICS member India has a 0% chance of a recession. India’s GDP is growing at a rapid pace and touched $3.75 trillion in 2023.
Goldman Sachs recently predicted that India will overtake the U.S. as the second-largest economy in 2075. Read here to know more details about the prediction for a better and more in-depth understanding.
Therefore, India can do without the BRICS alliance as its economy remains much stronger than its counterparts. The other members of BRICS face double-digit chances of a recession. Below are the chances of the BRICS countries slipping into a recession. BRICS is an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa.
Also Read: 41 Countries Ready To Accept BRICS Currency a Month Before Summit
Brazil – 15%
Russia – 37.5%
India – 0%
China – 12.5%
South Africa – 45%
The highest among the lot is South Africa, which is set to host the next BRICS summit in August. Nonetheless, the BRICS bloc is better positioned to avoid a recession than the U.S. and its other developed Western counterparts.
U.S – 65%
Canada – 60%
UK – 75%
Germany – 60%
Italy – 60%
France – 50%
Australia – 40%
Japan – 35%
New Zealand – 70%
Mexico – 27.5%
Spain – 25%
Switzerland – 20%
India’s Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar hinted in a press conference that India will not take part in the formation of a new BRICS currency. China and Russia are advancing at a rapid pace to eliminate the U.S. dollar’s global reserve status. India is a close and important ally to the U.S. and the two nations have billions worth of trade deals.
Creating a new currency will alter the geopolitical dynamics and put India on the back foot in realigning its economy. The risk is too high as the formation of a new BRICS currency will only benefit China and Russia. Read here to know why India is worried and skeptical about China’s power prowl in its quest for global dominance.
BRICS: U.S. Has 65% Chances of Slipping Into a Recession, India Has 0%
BRICS: The U.S. has 65% chances of slipping in a recession in 2023, while India has 0% chances of falling into an economic recession.
watcher.guru
