Bull trap or bear trap, both are Wall Street traps. Stay away from Wall Street. There is no trap for you.
Fed day today. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell said at a press conference today following the two-day meeting. “Readings on inflation have come in above expectations. It is likely that gaining such greater confidence will take longer than previously expected” and states that the Fed's next move will not likely be a rate hike.
But, the Fed will begin to taper the current QT in June by reducing Treasuries runoff (QT) by $35 Bln per month from the current $60Bln to $25Bln. That means the Fed will buy at least a runoff amount of $35 Bln of treasuries every month. The monetary policy will be easing beginning from June 2024. The Fed QT cap for mortgage-backed securities runoff remained unchanged--- who cares, MBC is not government debt.
Why does the Fed reduce QT treasuries (opposite of QE) and ease its monetary policy when stubborn inflation is inching higher and higher? Does the Fed see the inflation under control and disinflation is prevailing? The Fed did not say that and data haven't told us that either.
The US needs to issue $1.3Tln treasurie debts this year to fund and run the government. Fxxk Xi Jinping! China doesn't buy it. The US (Fed) itself will buy it. The Fed can't raise the rate but has to wait for inflation to come down itself because of higher Fed rates, higher bond yields, and higher treasury yields. The US government has to pay high interest to issue its debts. The government can't afford higher interest payments.
God bless America. I cross my fingers for our neighbor.