为何加拿大能损失较小地度过2008金融危机?这是谁的功劳?

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2023-10-08
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最近,前哈伯总理打脸卡尼和自由党,驳斥了卡尼领导加拿大顺利度过了2008金融危机的谎言。哈伯说的其实都是常识,可CFC上鼓吹这一谎言的说法仍然有增无减,而且用AI来站台。既然这样,俺也来了兴趣,也用AI来做个分析。

要搞清谁对度过金融危机有功,谁又是总的领导者,首先必须搞清为什么加拿大能以较小的损失度过金融危机。为此,俺问了ChatGPT这个问题,ChatGPT回答说有8个主要因素,使得加拿大能以较小的损失读过金融危机。下一楼是ChatGPT的回答:
 
最后编辑:
Why did Canada go through the 2008 financial crisis without too much damage?

Canada weathered the 2008 financial crisis relatively well, avoiding the severe damage seen in many other countries. This resilience can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Strong and Conservative Banking System

Canada’s banks are known for being some of the most stable in the world. Unlike their U.S. counterparts, which were heavily involved in subprime mortgage lending and risky financial products, Canadian banks took a more conservative approach. Canada has a well-regulated banking system that requires banks to maintain strong capital reserves, which helped them avoid the excessive risk-taking seen elsewhere. Additionally, Canada has a smaller market for complex financial products (like mortgage-backed securities) that contributed to the crisis.

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), the federal regulator for Canada’s financial institutions, ensured that Canadian banks followed strict guidelines, which helped limit exposure to risky assets.

2. Lack of a Housing Bubble

One of the key drivers of the financial crisis in the U.S. was a massive housing bubble fueled by easy credit and speculative investments. While Canada’s housing market did see some increases in home prices, it did not experience the same kind of housing bubble and collapse that the U.S. did. Canadian banks also required larger down payments and were more cautious in their mortgage lending standards.

3. Government Intervention and Fiscal Prudence

The Canadian government acted quickly and decisively in response to the crisis. The Bank of Canada slashed interest rates to inject liquidity into the financial system, and the government provided stimulus measures to help stabilize the economy. Additionally, Canada’s federal debt was relatively low compared to other G7 countries, which gave the government more room to maneuver and provide support without worrying about a debt crisis.

The Canadian government also introduced a bailout package for the financial sector, ensuring that banks had access to capital and that the broader economy wouldn’t collapse due to a lack of confidence in the financial system.

4. Diversified Economy

Canada's economy is highly diversified, with strong sectors in natural resources (oil, gas, mining), manufacturing, and services. While the financial sector faced challenges, the resource sectors, particularly oil and gas, provided an important cushion during the crisis. In fact, resource prices were relatively strong during the early years of the crisis, helping to offset weaknesses in other areas of the economy.

5. Less Exposure to Toxic Assets

Canadian banks did not have the same exposure to toxic assets (like mortgage-backed securities) that caused the collapse of several large financial institutions in the U.S. These assets were a significant factor in the financial meltdown, and Canadian banks avoided the worst of the fallout because they did not heavily invest in these products.

6. Higher Consumer Confidence

Canada’s financial system was viewed as safe and stable, which helped maintain consumer confidence. There was no widespread panic or run on the banks in Canada, as people trusted their financial institutions to remain solvent. Additionally, Canada's government-backed deposit insurance program reassured individuals that their savings were protected, further helping to avoid mass withdrawals from banks.

7. Relatively Lower Consumer Debt Levels

While consumer debt in Canada was rising, it did not reach the levels seen in countries like the U.S. where subprime mortgages were common. Canadian consumers generally had higher credit standards and were more cautious about taking on high levels of debt, especially in the housing market.

8. Close Economic Ties with the U.S.

While Canada is highly integrated into the U.S. economy, it did not have the same vulnerabilities as the U.S. financial system. The Canadian dollar and Canada’s financial system were less susceptible to the risky practices that drove the crisis south of the border. Additionally, Canada's exposure to the U.S. housing market was lower, as the Canadian banking sector did not engage in the same types of subprime lending that caused the U.S. housing crash.

Conclusion:

Canada's resilience during the 2008 financial crisis can be attributed to its conservative banking system, strong government response, and a diversified economy that allowed it to withstand shocks that hit other nations harder. Additionally, Canada’s relatively low levels of debt and stable housing market helped the country avoid the worst consequences of the global recession.
 
最后编辑:
按照这个回答,俺列出了对这8个因素的贡献者,或者说,这8个因素应该归功于谁。下一楼是功劳榜:
 
最后编辑:
Canada weathered the 2008 financial crisis relatively well, avoiding the severe damage seen in many other countries. This resilience can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Strong and Conservative Banking System

归功于: 加拿大商业银行;

加拿大政府-The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI)

2. Lack of a Housing Bubble

归功于: 加拿大商业银行

3. Government Intervention and Fiscal Prudence

归功于: 加拿大中央银行

加拿大政府,特别是财政部

4. Diversified Economy

归功于: 加拿大资源,制造,服务产业,尤其是油气产业

加拿大政府

5. Less Exposure to Toxic Assets

归功于: 加拿大商业银行

6. Higher Consumer Confidence

归功于: 加拿大人民

加拿大政府 - CDIC


7. Relatively Lower Consumer Debt Levels

归功于: 加拿大人民

8. Close Economic Ties with the U.S.

归功于: 加拿大政府 – 加拿大金融系统

加拿大商业银行
 
最后编辑:
Canada weathered the 2008 financial crisis relatively well, avoiding the severe damage seen in many other countries. This resilience can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Strong and Conservative Banking System

归功于: 加拿大商业银行;

加拿大政府-The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI)

2. Lack of a Housing Bubble

归功于: 加拿大商业银行

3. Government Intervention and Fiscal Prudence

归功于: 加拿大中央银行

加拿大政府,特别是财政部

4. Diversified Economy

归功于: 加拿大资源,制造,服务产业,尤其是油气产业

加拿大政府

5. Less Exposure to Toxic Assets

归功于: 加拿大商业银行

6. Higher Consumer Confidence

归功于: 加拿大人民

加拿大政府 - CDIC


7. Relatively Lower Consumer Debt Levels


归功于: 加拿大人民

8. Close Economic Ties with the U.S.

归功于: 加拿大政府 – 加拿大金融系统

加拿大商业银行
最重要的是土豆那个搅屎棍还没上台
 
接着,俺总结了一下各贡献者对8大因素的贡献如下:

归功总计:

加拿大政府 5(因素1,3,4,6,8)

加拿大商业银行 4(因素1,2,5,8)

加拿大人民 2(因素6,7)

加拿大中央银行 1(因素3)

加拿大产业 1(因素4)

加拿大政府对5个因素有贡献,位列第一。当时政府的领导者是哈伯总理,财政部长领头,其他部长和各部门,特别是财政部,OSFI,CDIC,都有程度不同的贡献。

卡尼领导的中央银行对因素3有贡献。

各商业银行,产业部门,特别是油气产业,以及加拿大人民,都有各种贡献。
 
最后编辑:
一切都很清楚了。度过金融危机,得益于全加拿大的共同努力。而领导加拿大的是当时的加拿大政府,总理是哈伯。把一个职能机构的领导标榜成领导全加拿大度过难关的领导,真是天大的笑话。大言不惭,贪天功为己有,是对此最准确的描述。
 
啥,哈伯要复出了?

哈伯不会复出,但他澄清了一件对加拿大的未来极为重要的事。不在位,还为加拿大操心做贡献,值得感谢和尊敬。
 
AI Overview

Canada experienced a recession as a result of the 2008 financial crisis, although the impact was generally less severe than in other G7 nations. The Canadian economy saw a decline in real GDP, primarily due to a sharp drop in exports and a resulting decrease in business investment. The Bank of Canada responded by lowering interest rates and implementing other measures to support the economy.

Here's a more detailed look:
  • Recession Impact:
    Canada's GDP fell by 3.3% between the third quarter of 2008 and the second quarter of 2009, compared to a 3.8% decline in the United States and larger declines in Europe and Japan.
  • Export Losses:
    Export earnings declined by 22% in 2009, with the most significant drop occurring between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first two quarters of 2009.
  • Business Investment Decline:
    Business investment fell by a record 14% in 2009, particularly in mining and manufacturing, which heavily rely on exports.
  • Corporate Profit Losses:
    Corporate profits plummeted by 33% in 2009 due to the drop in exports.
  • Household Wealth Impact:
    While household wealth increased significantly before 2008, the slumps in stock markets and house prices in the second half of the year resulted in a 7.3% reduction in household net worth, according to Statistics Canada.
  • Bank of Canada Response:
    The Bank of Canada responded to the crisis by lowering the target interest rate rapidly and implementing other measures to support the economy, notes the Bank of Canada.
  • Government Response:
    The Canadian government implemented an Economic Action Plan to provide financial support and stimulate the economy, including infrastructure projects.
 
你说如果哈勃再当总理, 会请Carney还是PP当他的财政部长?

他谁都不会请。他现在已经看透了卡尼的为人,不会请。PP可以当总理,但不是财政部长的最佳人选,也不会请。

但就总理这个位置而言,他已非常明确,毫无疑问地说PP比卡尼强太多。
 
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