在这样炒股，向各位请教。(蜗牛大法）

[wushuren]

实际上不是炒股，而是可靠的不会倒闭的指数基金。在势道低迷的时候，每月定数买入。股市有涨有落，我不太关心，也没有时间研究这个股怎么样，那个股怎么样，是涨是落，图线怎么样。即使下了很大的工夫研究，我也也不可能研究得比吵股专家操盘手们透彻，我也不可能知道消息比他们快。我只是想判断大的形势，然后这样傻傻地买，就好像存钱。当判断大势高涨大家都很高兴的时候，我会翻过来傻傻地一个月一个月地卖。可能我卖不到最高点，但是如果我已经准备好了足够的兵力，我的一部分部队绝对会占领最高点，甚至会越过最高点一路跟行一段。
这样肯定不会赚很多钱。但是在稳定地作长线。我已经开始了。现在在买。不知道诸位意下如何？向各位请教。

 

[dkwan]

are you talking about mutual funds?

this is exactly how mutual funds with automatic withdrawn plan.

If you would like, we can talk more about that

have fun trading

 

[wushuren]

是呀，高风险，但是不会倒闭的大银行mutual fund.我在傻傻地买。只要大家没有达成共识说现在已经是牛市了。那我就会这样买下去。每月固定钱数，固定日期，那么每次买到的股数也不一样。
如果大家都很高兴，说现在是牛市，股票上赚了很多的钱。那么我就看一眼大势指数图线，判断一下大概其的趋势和走向，翻转，一个月一个月地傻傻地卖，但愿我在转换之前能够吸足筹码。也就是说，如果我吸筹码一年12个月。那么转换后我也将卖12个月。但愿在人们欢呼股票大涨的时候，我的一只部队会跟随到顶峰。然后转入静伏，在money market fund 中吃利息等待机会。
如果没有卖光，就进入了大家都确认的熊市，图线明显，我会停止卖出，等待在人心十分低迷的情况下再次翻转买入。

不知道我这个办法怎么样？

 

[wushuren]

另外我注意了一下这种类型的基金，一般都有好几年的翻转周期，真的很适合做长线。并且不会像股票那样倒闭。他的经理部门会把资金根据理念投向不同的股票。

如果连续持有这种基金，实际上根本不可能赚到钱，不过就是跟随几年的周期来回上下，如果判断准整体几年的经济形势，长线每月定数低吸，然后在高位每月定数高抛，那么有可能取得比GIC高的利润。银行和基金指数经理人们在吸引投资的时候，从来都介绍这种每月定数买入的方法，但是我发觉他们从来不说，在判断形势高涨的时候，或者形势低迷的时候该怎么做。也就是他们从来不说，你应该怎样卖出。他们盼着你一直持有他的那种基金。他们不告诉你应该跟据周期变化，来灵活采用这种定数定日买入和卖出的方法。他们只希望你买，不希望你卖。并且他们总是大力说，我的基金即使在熊市的时候也如何好。不过看一下他的年曲线图和收益表就明白了。
哈哈。

 

[wushuren]

那些基金在吸收资金的时候，如果不是这种你完全自控的那种账户，他只会每月定数给你买，到了每月定数卖的时候就比较麻烦。就好像一个吸纳资金的单向阀门。他只能一次性给你调整一下投资比例，例如转换到money market fund.也就是说只能一次性为你卖出。而采用炒股票的账户来投资基金，就取得了自己操作的灵活性。


另外，我会注意股票指数200天平均线。



以上为个人意见仅供参考

 

[wushuren]

可称此法为蜗牛法。

 

[dkwan]

you keep saying money market fund, but you need to know what is money market fund.

The portfolio manager of a Money Market Fund is not using the money to purchase stock, they will tend to buy Government issued T-Bill or Saving Bonds, so the return is low low low.

Your idea is good, but buying stock need to paid a hugh service charge and it makes the dream harder to come true.

 

[canusa]

最初由 dkwan 发布
you keep saying money market fund, but you need to know what is money market fund.

The portfolio manager of a Money Market Fund is not using the money to purchase stock, they will tend to buy Government issued T-Bill or Saving Bonds, so the return is low low low.

Your idea is good, but buying stock need to paid a hugh service charge and it makes the dream harder to come true.

You are right!

 

[wushuren]

Switch from high risk mutual fund to money market fund monthly by certain amount when you think it is the right time. There are other mutual funds other than money market fund. Money market fund is where you can safely sleep to wait chances. There is no service fee if you buy any mutual fund which belongs to the company where you have stock account. In high risk mutual fund, managers use money to buy stock shares. Their prices go up and down like stock, but they are too slow for aggressive players. So if you want to invest in long term and you can understand the trend, you will have chances.

good luck.

 

[dkwan]

I am agreesive players, and dont know if you are?

But I will say, the most aggressive players will take their chances in forex, foreign currency exchange. The thrill and the return is very high.

Buying stocks are too slow for aggressive players. Stock markets has maximum cap since the volumn is quite limited. Forex has almost no cap, almost whatever money you buy in, the market is gonna take it. thats how large is the volumn.

Try forex and I am sure you will have fun trading it.

 

[wushuren]

I am not an aggressive player, and I do not have time to be one. So just want to get some long term investment return better than GIC or money market fund. The trick in high risk mutual fund is above. Hope it is right.

 

[wushuren]

我在2004年11月翻转开始卖，12月卖，2005年1月卖。2月我可以买了吧？有可能。观察一下，固定钱数买入，固定日期买入，策略不变。我要看看蜗牛大法到底灵不灵。至少这次卖对了，也买对了。

修正一点，那就是买的时候如果是每月$100，那么卖的时候应该是每月$200,一般涨的时候很缓慢，落的时候很迅速，所以买的时候可以慢一点，有时间拉长了慢慢来，卖的时候要倍速，比较进取心强的人可以用三倍速，但是不推荐整个一次卖光，那样损失小，但也可能追不到最高点。

 

[卡卡]

he he, 你的蜗牛大法 太被动了,赚钱太慢.