最初由 土鳖虫 发布
介绍你读一篇最新的文章吧:
NT’s newest update provides our shareholders with great news.
Based on the info that net earnings in 2003 will be reduced only about 28% and that about only 18% of the 2003 reductions will affect continuing operations, the impacts of the restatement on NT’s 2003 net income from continuing operations have become insignificant. If NT had known this several months ago, there would have been no executive firing that triggered the criminal investigations. NT longs should remember how the stock crashed when the bad news was out, and should also see how the stock will recover after the good news is finally factored in.
Some people may say they don’t care 2003’s profitability. Wrong! Before the job cut is completed to significantly reduce costs, 2003’s profitability provides best info to predict 2004’s profitability given projected revenue. We now know from the newest update that the second half of 2003 net earnings will be slightly higher the previously reported. So we are now more confident that NT should have a highly profitable second half of 2004 since the second half of 2004 should be at least as profitable as that of 2003, if not more profitable, given slightly increased revenues.
NT shorts dreams that Q3 2004 is poor and it will create a significant downside next Monday. However, the Q3 may not be bad at all. The Q3 revenue was lower than Q2 revenue. But this may not be a big deal. In last year, the reported Q3 revenue ($2.27 billion) was also lower than the Q2 revenue ($2.34 billion). If Q3 2004 was profitable, Q3 2004 can also be profitable. NT longs should not worry even if Q3 was not profitable. A profitable Q3, a break-even Q3 or a money-losing Q3 plus a strong Q4 estimate will all make NT to soar next Monday.
CSCO’s interest in NT has put NT’s stock in a win-win situation. Everyone knows NT will be at least US$ 5 if CSCO becomes NT’s partner or buys NT. Now it is clear that CSCO wants the relationship even before NT clears its account troubles. Whether the relationship can be established or not depends on NT. If NT had the troubles suggested by the shorts, NT would agree on the relationship for the gain. Non relationship would mean NT believes it has better opportunities that would generate a much better gain of NT stock.
Everything has become increasingly positive for NT. NT longs, your stock has already gained more than 30% in the last 3 weeks. But that is only a start. Another 70% gain will follow in next 2 months. NT Shorts, you could have already been out of the trouble if you had taken only educated risks and covered at any profit-taking opportunities. But it is still not too late. Reacting now would be much better than later.