Immigrants how many is too many?

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The following is from an article I read in our coffee room at work, which I am not sure what the author, Mary Janigan, wants to say. You can get it from the Maclean's magzine, issue Dec 16th, 2002.

...Immigration may be the romanticized ideal of Canada Past. But in the 21st century, it remians an unsettling, difficult and not always rewarding experience-for the imgrant, the host country and the sending nation. Around the globe, millions of people are on the move-as refugees or scrabblinh economnic migrants or people joining relatives. Or they are highly-skilled workers, part of an international elite that flits among nations. As the workforce in many industrialized nations begins to shrink, countries such as Germany, which does not have an open immigration program, are recruiting skilled workers. "Immigrants are part of maintaining even current standards of living, especially in rapidly aging societies," says Don Johnston, secretary general of the Paris-based Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. "There is going to be a real fight among nations for the best human capital."

For the sheer size of its intake, Canada is in a class by itself. Last year, it absorbed more than a quarter of a million permanent residents, well abbove the planned intake of 200,000 to 225,000. IN late October, virtually without debate, Immigration Minister Denis Coderre raised the target: Canada plans to accept anywhere from 220,000 to 245,000 immigrants next year. The other major nations with large organized recruitment programs, the United States and Australia, take only half as many per capita as Canada.

The hight numbers are a mixed blessing. Last year, 77 per cent of newcomers spilled into Vancouver, Montreal and Toronto;more than 125,00 settled in Toronto alone. Fully 44 per cent did not speak English or French. Sucn pressure strains settlement services, including language courses, housing and the environment.

For the imigrations themselves, it si an often diffucult transition. Among recent arrivals, poverty levels are high-and average wages remian dismally low. Almost 60 er cent of adult immigrants in 2000 had a post-secondary degree, compared with 43 per cent of the existing population. But as the composition of the immigrant group has spread beyond traditional mid-20th century sources in Europe-16 per cent came from China alone last year-Canada has become less adept at recognizing their skills. The waste of talent is shocking. "The immigration system needs to be tossed on its head and revamped," says B.C. MP Keith Martin, a physician who has seen the bureaucratic ordeals that foreign doctors have endured in order to practise in Prince George, where physician shortages are severe.

But the huge size of the intake has provoked the most debate. This fall, three books have argued that Canada is raking too many people. Journalist Daniel Stoffman (co-author of the best-selling Boom, Bust & Echo), Fraser Institute senior fellow Martin Collcott and National Post columnist Diane Francis are all provocative and almost certainly too pessimistic. All have drawn fire from interest groups who have obscured the real issues with emotional arguments.
 
(continued)

Because the debate is essential: are we setting the right levels? After all, immigration should only be one tool to meet labour force and population needs. All industrialized societies are aging. Immigration cannot solve that problem: the required numbers would be too great to absorb. Immigrants do form a large proportion of the Canadian workforce: more than half are foreign-born. And sometime between 2011 and 2016, if current levels continue, all labour force growth will come from immigration, because baby boomers will start retiring and birth rates are low.

But the labour force would still be grouwing in 2011 if we halved the number of immigrants, according to projections done for Maclean's by McMaster University economists are also starting to ask if Canada has a major across-the-board shortage of skilled workers today. "Immigration is not a silver bullet for skill shortages," says Queen's University economist Alan Green. "That approach is dead."

IN HIS CENTER Block office on Parliament Hill, Immigration Minister Denis Coderre is talking about his predecessor Clifford Sifton. As iterior minister in Sir Wilfrid Laurier's government from 1896 to 1905, Sifton lured thousands of settlers into the Prairies with the promise of cheap land. So, while reading University of Alberta history professor David Hall's biography of Sifton, The Young Napoleon, Coderre has an idea: why not lure skilled workers to less crowded regions with the promise of a secure job? Why not fast=track their applications? Why not work with the provices and cities and business and professional groups to make sure the new arrivals feel welcome and their skills are recognized? And why not insist that those arrivals, in turn, stay in those areas, effectively on contract with temporary work permits for three to five years, to ensure they put down roots? Then they could confidently apply for landed status. "I have put together a vision," Coderre says. "I am looking to get what we need."

The scheme may work-although it won't be easy. Canada divides its immigration intake into three categories. There were almost 153,000 economic immigrants in 2001.(That number includes accompanying family members; only 43 per cent -65,700-were actually qualifying workers.) There were 27,800 refugees; and there were 66,600 people who were accepted because they were the parents or children or spouses or finaces or grandparents of residents. There werw also 2,800 classed as "other," making a grand total (not rounded) of 250,346.

The minister want to increase the proportion of skilled workers. And he has mustered formidable allies. Last June, a new immigration law took effect: the selextion system now gives huge weight to education or trade skills, language proficiency and "adaptability," which inculdes the spouse's education. The Liberals were critized because of those high standards. But Canada's labour markets are very unforgiving. In 2004, only six per cent of new jobs will require less than high schook. More than 70 per cent will need some post-secondary schooling: truck drivers use global positioning systems.
 
(continued)

As well, over the past four years, Ottawa has signed selection deals with eight of the 10 provinces. (Ontario has not signed, while Quebec has picked its immigrants for decades.) That "provincial nominee" group is tiny: provinces chose only 1,274 people, including dependants, last year. But it is the way of the future-if only because it will funnel immigrants into smaller centres. "We are a slow-growing province," says Manitoba Immigration Minister Becky Barrett, " and this provides us with people with sills in short supply, such as cabinetmaking."

Coderre wants to foster anattachemnt to place. In October, he and his provincial colleagues agreed to figure out a system for temporatry work permits. the workers would receive benefits such as health care. But they would be obliged to stay in the jobs or areas where they were accepted for three to five years. If they moved without good reason, they would have to leave Canada.

Such permits are now issued to visiting workers ranging from foreign executives to Caribbean harvesters. Coderre clearly foresees a time when provinces will nominate candidates for specific jobs-and Ottawa will issue temporary permits after health and security checks. In the meantime, on its own, Ottawa may start to dole out those permits to skilled applicants for landed status. The usage will likely be challenged as a vilation of the Constitution's mobility rights. "But this can work," says Toronto lawyer Peter Rekai, who has just examined the proposal for the C.D. Howe Institute. "A lot of people are talking about this as a brave new owrld. It isn't. We are taking an esiting system and using it to solve regional and skill-shortage problems."

But this is where it gets tricky: exactly how big is the skill shortage? Coderre says expansively that "in the next five years, we will be in deficit of one million silled workers." But there is no evidence of this gap. Statistics Canada has nos uch figure. Industry Canada privately predicts a shortage of 50,000 skilled workers by 2010. Labour economist David card, who tracks cross-border differences at the University of California at Berkerly, sees little sign of a major Canada shortage, noting that skilled wages would have risen shrply if there was one. Adds economist Green:"There is no rational basis for the figure of one million."

Canada does face skill shortages in key areas. the Canadian Nurisng Advisory Committee reports a dire need for nurses. Development of Alberta's oilsands is hindered by a lack of heavy-equipment operators. Immigrants do fill gaps. Software engineer Kosara Jovanovic and her husband Predrag arrived in October 1994, from Yugoslavia. "Within two weeks of staring to look, I had a job," she says. "There was a need then for software engineers. And I was very ambitious." Today she is aproject manager at a Toronto firm. The two have bought a house-and they have a four-year-old son. "I believe I am good for Canada," she adds, "and Canada has let us realize our dream."
 
(continued)

BUT IS IT WISE to rely so heavily on immigration to meet such labour needs? Coderre wants to raise the annual intake to one per cent of Canada's 31.4 million populationas soon as possible. What would be the effect? Remarkably, Ottawa does not relase its projections. But the data crunched by McMaster Spencer show that even at half the current numbers, in three decades the labor force would be declinig only by slightly more than half a pertentage point. This is not a catastrophe:between 2000 and 2050, the population of the European Union is expected to drop 10 per cent. Canada could bring its immigration rate down to US per-capita levels and still do well.

And if the intake rises, where are we going to get those people? The OECD warns that too much migration could frain developing nations fo vital workers, especiall in education and health. Even if we could do that, it won't solve our labour problems. As the United Nations reports, the aging of the population " is irreversible, with the young populations of the past unlikely to occur again." There are now five Canadians between 15 and 64 for every person who is 65 and over. By 2050, those numbers will have fallen to two to one. It would require huge flows to keep the current ratio. The US would have to 10 times its current intake. (The UN report did not consider Canada.) The OECD says developed nations should see immigration as only part of the anser: they should also raise their retirement ages, upgrade workers' skills and lure more people into the job market.

There is little evidence that immigraiton harms existing workers. According to an OECD survey, there appears to e no link between immigration and unemploument. And new immigrants have "very slight' impact onw ages: a 10-per-cent increase in the proportionof immigrants reduces native wages by at most one per cent. But more people does not automatically mean more wealth. Economist Green warns that skilled immigrants could keep those wages relatively low-and reduce the incentive among residents to get an education. Stoffman, author of Who Gets In, points out that the baby boom's kids, the "echo" of 6.5 million people born between 1980 and 1995, are just starting intot he labour force. "This is the wrong time, " he says, "to increase immigration because you want these echo boomers to have an easy entry."

When Ania Grzeszczuk arrived in Canada amid the November chill of 1992, she needed a job. She spoke Polish and German-but little English. So the skilled neurological nurse took a job ina German store. Today she is still struggling. She has taken medical courses and McMaster. She starts more English course next month-which she will juggle with her full-time waitressing job at a Toronto athletic club. Eight months ago, she sent ofr records from her school, her former workpalce and the Polish accrediting institute. Whe they finally reply, it will likely take hre 30 months to retrain. Improbably, she blames herself. "I was a very good nurse," Grzeszczuk, 35, says sadly. "But I have had to start from the beginning and it is so hard."

Canada is already failing many new arrivals. Ina recent report, the Conderence Board of Canada said that nation is losing $4.1billion to $5.9 billion in annual income because it does not properly credit the skills of more than 540,000 Canadians-including mroe than 344,000people with foreign credentials. "If we do not get immigrants settlement right,"warns Andrew Jackson, senior economist at the Canadian Labor Congress, "the whole labour market is not goign to work at potential."
 
(continued)

New immigrant workers are not faring especially well. Jackson says that immigrants who arrived after 1985 worked 14 fewer weeks and earned 30 per cent less than other Canadians in 1998. Prejudice may also be a factor: about 80 per cent of recent immigrants are visible minorities.

But skills recognition is a critical problem. Ottawa has prodded stodgy professional organizations to streamline the accreditation process. The result s remian decidedly mixed. Two months ago, the Canadian Council of Professional Engineers adopted recognition of foreign credentials as its "top priority". The Canadian Medical Association is more defensive."If you get here and you do not get by the first hurdle, you are angry," says CMA president Dr. Dana Hanson, "It is not because of the standards. It is because you came here with a false expectation." The CMA has suggested that foerigh doctors take tests at Canadian embassies to help assess their skills.

Professional must jump through endless hoops. When physiotherapist Jurgen Reinhardt me Patricia Wong on a B.C. canoe trip in 1998, he was a German tourist. They married in 2000-and he became a landed immigrant last May. To his dismay, the Canadian Alliance of Physiotherapy Regulators has warned him that he probably will not be accepted if he makes the expensive application for accreditation. He has German colleagues in Vancouver who have failed in the attempt. So now he works as a gardener. "I do not want to sound ungrateful because I am a guest here," he says. " But this is the biggest problem I have. It makes sense to have standards but this is protectionist. It has reall gotten to me."

For once, the government may be further ahead. "I witnessed a doctor from Haiti who came in 1977 and able to practise only in 1992" says Coderre. "So it is a disgrace. You still ahve some little kingdoms." His colleague, Huamn Resources Minister Jane Stewart, is also forthright. "Are there better ways and faster ways of doign things?" she says. "There have got to be. It cannot be much worse than what we have got now." She says professional associations could perhaps draw up lists of accredited institutions.

Lack of English or French can also hurt. In the gritty area of Toronto's Sr. James Town, women from Eritrea, Pakistan and many other nations gather for English classes, young children in two. True, Ottawa gives English training to new arrivals. But those classes have limited day care-and they involve long hours ad regular attendance. So the English Club-which is largely stagged by bolunteers-struggles to fill that gap. The women role-play with each other: what to do if there is an emergency; how to return goods at a supermarket. "We had a woman whose child got rickets because she could not read the ingredients on the labels," says founder Ruth Crow. "If yo are a woman with young kids and you do not speak the language and you are frightened by a new culture, you can become very isolated."

......

It is the very differentness of immigrants that brings prosperity. In a new study, four academics found a trong correlation betweenthe size of the immigrant community in a city, its creative population, its high-tech employment and the proportion of people with a bachelor's degree or higher. "One way of looking at this is to say there is a direct link between immigration and prosperity," says University of Toronto economic gregraphy professor Meric Gertler. "Another way is that the presence of newcomers indicates openness. Probably both are true. And both are important."

So what do we do?We must celebrate immigration for what it brings. But we surely shouldn't increase immigration without a full debate: we cannot add extra people until we do a better job of integrating those who are already coming. In fact, until Coderre can disperse immigration far more evenly across the nation, we should probably trimthat huge intake. There are too many people swamping the tree biggest cities-and the strain shows in the distinct pocket of poverty dotted across the urban lanscape. But we cannot even have a proper debate until Ottawa deigns to relase its analyses. Canadians deserve to know : do populations and labour forces have to keep growing forever? Are skill shortages so huge that we are bringing in at least two million more newcomers by 2010, while the echo begins to work? It si a cliche that iimigration built this nation. But this is our heritage. So Ottawa must now tell us where it is heading. And why.

[a full stop here.]
 
I think she's only trying to raise some of the issues and hopefully entice more awareness and discussion related to immigration. It is more so an informative article than an editorial.

Note that like a LOT Canadians, the author cannot distinguish immigrants from refugees.
 
Sorry, I don't know which web site has this article. I typed on my keyboard the other day. From Maclean's Magazine, Dec 16, 2002.

最初由 dalong 发布
GMO, could you send this article to me or tell me where i can download it? thank you very much
mymonkeykitty@aol.com
 
最初由 GM0 发布
Sorry, I don't know which web site has this article. I typed on my keyboard the other day. From Maclean's Magazine, Dec 16, 2002.

I read this article while I was waiting in a dentist office. There are a bunch of photos that are very good.
Here is the link of the article.
IMMIGRANTS: WHO SHOULD GET IN?
 
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