加国地产市场销售量继续走跌, 六月降8.5%

  • 主题发起人 主题发起人 daifu
  • 开始时间 开始时间

daifu

新手上路
注册
2005-12-31
消息
199
荣誉分数
2
声望点数
0
Home sales cool further in June
Last Updated: Thursday, July 15, 2010 | 9:22 AM ET Comments0Recommended10CBC News

A real estate slowdown appears well underway, as home resales fell by 8.2 per cent in June compared to May, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Thursday.

Home sales slowed in June, the Canadian Real Estate Association says. (Darren Calabrese/Canadian Press)
"The housing market is becoming more challenging for sellers," CREA president George Pahud said.

It's the second consecutive month of major sales declines, as sales were 9.5 per cent lower in May than they were in April. Just as was the case in May, sales were lower in 70 per cent of surveyed markets in June.

On an annual basis, sales declined by 19.7 per cent compared to June 2009, while prices were 4.9 per cent higher.

As sales declined, the nation's housing stock increased, with inventory hitting 6.9 months on a seasonally adjusted basis. Inventory is the number of months it would take to sell all the houses on the market at the current sales pace.

Inventory is now at its highest level since March 2009.

Prices also cooled but less so, with the average price of a home decreasing by 1.2 per cent to $342,662. In May, the average price of a resale Canadian home was $346,881.

There are fewer buyers now, and those who do buy are becoming more cautious, CREA economist Gregory Klump said.

"With interest rates on the rise, housing affordability and home sales activity are expected to continue to erode over the second half of 2010."


Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/ottawa/story/2010/07/15/housing-june-crea-sales.html?ref=rss#ixzz0tl7wqEzq
 
量先跌, 价格近几个月就会跌, 还有可能狂跌。
 
政府宏观调控而已,狂跌不止于
 
去年房地产过热,今年40W的HST控制线,2手房不收HST,不是调控是啥?
加拿大的房地产前2年疯长已经有点泡沫了,加拿大轻工业,重工业都没有,能靠的只是地大,自然资源多,石油提炼都没能力,只能把油砂挖出来送美国提炼。不控制房地产,这个泡沫一爆就挂了。

HST只是BC/ON,但是却是加拿大国内的2大重省,利率升高直接对贷款造成影响。
 
去年房地产过热,今年40W的HST控制线,2手房不收HST,不是调控是啥?

这个是去年过热前就规定的, 不是现在的调控规定。
政府的调控手段是今年4月份出台的, 贷款按post rate评估,二套房必须20% Down.
 
OTTAWA短期内再涨不易,但要说跌,更难。 $4一袋的水泥要收$3.95的ECO FEE, 再加HST,你说房价会跌吗?
 
量先跌, 价格近几个月就会跌, 还有可能狂跌。
果真如此的话,加拿大的各种经济指标会跟着一块完蛋,其结果是小哈,小费和小卡焦头烂额地重新降利率刺激房产,以期带动消费。房产会像过山车一样重攀新高。老怪觉得决策者不会在加国经济没有其他亮点的情况下打击房产。
 
果真如此的话,加拿大的各种经济指标会跟着一块完蛋,其结果是小哈,小费和小卡焦头烂额地重新降利率刺激房产,以期带动消费。房产会像过山车一样重攀新高。老怪觉得决策者不会在加国经济没有其他亮点的情况下打击房产。

决策者已经在4月份的实施了打击房产政策, 还要怎么打击?
 
关注一下CMHC 6月份的news release其实就能闻到一些讯息,这类新闻release,在加拿大政府的这个结构下,基本几个月以前就到领导手里了。
 
HST, 利率升高,都不是政府针对房地产的调控手段,却极大的影响着现在的地产市场。
虽然不是针对房产,但对房产的影响决策者应是事先就了然于胸的。
 
决策者已经在4月份的实施了打击房产政策, 还要怎么打击?

老怪曾说过,决策者想看到的是房产稳步缓慢上升,成为带动整个经济的支柱之一。但近期的房产因过度投机增长过快,决策者担心出现美国式的破产崩盘而拖累整个经济,所以出手让房产放缓,但绝不会使之狂跌,因为加国决策者手中并没有其他好牌,还得指望房产“出彩”呢!
 
关注一下CMHC 6月份的news release其实就能闻到一些讯息,这类新闻release,在加拿大政府的这个结构下,基本几个月以前就到领导手里了。


..., You kidding? 6月份的数据几个月前就编好了? 厉害
 
后退
顶部