十月七日盘后，十月十一日瞎猜计划

[nepean_01]

还是那句话，跌吧，跌吧，这次可能500点都止不住了。我还在做功课。呵呵。

 

[lazycatcat]

还是那句话，跌吧，跌吧，这次可能500点都止不住了。我还在做功课。呵呵。

Issues in Europe probably will get worse. Greek default probably will hit pretty soon ...

 

[nepean_01]

Issues in Europe probably will get worse. Greek default probably will hit pretty soon ...

The Fitch ratings agency downgraded Italy and Spain’s debt
rating today (Friday) and this followed the downgrade in
several of Europe’s weaker banks. Moody’s Investor’s Service
downgraded NINE Portugese banks and the latest story
developing is Moody’s put Belgium’s credit rating on review for
possible downgrade. The Belgium story is brand new late in
the session in the last 30 minutes and stocks sold off as
computer programs turned on the sell programs.

Hopefully you closed long positions and opened short
positions today 像我一再唠叨的那样。我好像成了祥林嫂了。呵呵。:blowzy:

 

[nepean_01]

我在找可空的个股。呵呵。主要看刚刚破位的或遇强阻力的。
I have not committed to anything, but some interesting stocks for shorting.

Here is a list of stocks to consider opening a Very small initial SHORT position. Remember to stay small and don't get leveraged.

TSO, Tesoro Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
CSTR, Coinstar Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
EDU, New Oriental Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
JOYG, Joy Global Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
KRO, Kronos Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
IRF, Internat Rectifier Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days. (Could be a slow mover that takes a couple weeks)
MPEL, Melco Crown Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
FISV, Fiserv Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
WHR, Whirpool Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
SWK, Black & Decker Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
GT, Goodyear Tire Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
MPC, Marathon Petroleum , Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days

 

[lazycatcat]

我在找可空的个股。呵呵。主要看刚刚破位的或遇强阻力的。
I have not committed to anything, but some interesting stocks for shorting.

Here is a list of stocks to consider opening a Very small initial SHORT position. Remember to stay small and don't get leveraged.

TSO, Tesoro Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
CSTR, Coinstar Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
EDU, New Oriental Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
JOYG, Joy Global Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
KRO, Kronos Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
IRF, Internat Rectifier Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days. (Could be a slow mover that takes a couple weeks)
MPEL, Melco Crown Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
FISV, Fiserv Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
WHR, Whirpool Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
SWK, Black & Decker Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
GT, Goodyear Tire Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days.
MPC, Marathon Petroleum , Consider very small SHORT position next 1-2 days

Why not long on FAZ ? Individual stocks are risky - unless a company is cornered, otherwise ...

 

[nepean_01]

TZA is for sure.

 

[nepean_01]

I also bought some SLV to hedge the short position. HEHE.

 

[lazycatcat]

The Fitch ratings agency downgraded Italy and Spain’s debt
rating today (Friday) and this followed the downgrade in
several of Europe’s weaker banks. Moody’s Investor’s Service
downgraded NINE Portugese banks and the latest story
developing is Moody’s put Belgium’s credit rating on review for
possible downgrade. The Belgium story is brand new late in
the session in the last 30 minutes and stocks sold off as
computer programs turned on the sell programs.

Hopefully you closed long positions and opened short
positions today 像我一再唠叨的那样。我好像成了祥林嫂了。呵呵。:blowzy:

If Greek truely defaults with control, the market may turn around in a major way.

This is possible based on lessons from Lehman.

If you find a way to bet on such tail risk, it is probably a nice idea too.

 

[lazycatcat]

I also bought some SLV to hedge the short position. HEHE.

Good idea. Do you think oil is better than silver ?

 

[lazycatcat]

TZA is for sure.

Good idea.

 

[nepean_01]

Good idea. Do you think oil is better than silver ?

最安全的操作 (我一高手朋友的操作):
在26以下买入ERX，然后在36做COVER CALL (还持有ERX，因为长线看，油在70多还
是不高)，油再跌点，买入ERX的成本就基本收回了。高啊。
油跟大盘基本是同升同跌的。但金银却可能是大盘暴跌时避险资金的唯一去处。所
以买点SLV。

 

[lazycatcat]

最安全的操作 (我一高手朋友的操作):
在26以下买入ERX，然后在36做COVER CALL (还持有ERX，因为长线看，油在70多还
是不高)，油再跌点，买入ERX的成本就基本收回了。高啊。
油跟大盘基本是同升同跌的。但金银却可能是大盘暴跌时避险资金的唯一去处。所
以买点SLV。

Thanks for ERX. This is a very smart play... Is ERX the only oil 3 x bull ?

 

[nepean_01]

Thanks for ERX. This is a very smart play... Is ERX the only oil 3 x bull ?

ERX是能源股的3X 做多，OIH是能源的ETF。
跟油价直接挂钩的是USO(一倍)，UCO(两倍)。油股，我喜欢HAL，APC等等。

 

[nepean_01]

Index will open higher after this good news from EURO

默克尔会见萨科齐：德法将共同保卫欧洲银行安全http://www.sina.com.cn 2011年10月10日 03:18 中国新闻网微博
　　中新社柏林10月9日电 (记者 黄霜红)德国总理默克尔9日晚在柏林会见了来访的法国总统萨科齐。在会见结束后的新闻发布会上默克尔说，德国将联同法国一起保卫在欧债危机中遭受损害的欧洲银行。两国决定尽一切努力保障银行的再资本化。

　　法国银行购买了大量希腊国债，即将进行的希腊债务重整将为其带来巨大损失，萨科齐因此希望欧元拯救基金能够支援受损银行，各国银行可以向欧洲央行直接融资。默克尔则反对这一做法，认为受损银行应该首先设法自己融资，并且各国政府应依靠本国力量对其进行支援。

　　萨科齐在新闻发布会上说，德法两国将就欧元债务问题在本月底递交一份“共同计划”，这个欧洲的远景规划中将提出支援欧洲银行的具体办法。萨科齐并强调他和默克尔在为银行注资的问题上意见一致。

　　德法两国最高领导人同时表示，希腊将会留在欧元区之内，并否认欧元区尚未投票的最后一国斯洛伐克对扩大欧元拯救基金持怀疑态度，确信该国将在下周的投票中通过这一决议，扫除实行该基金的最后障碍。

　　在默克尔会见萨科齐之前德国舆论纷纷表示，许多迹象已表明欧元区将对希腊实行极端性债务重整，经济专家预言将免除希腊至少60%的债务。如果实行这一做法，希腊国债的债权方将不得不大量放弃自己的利益。经济学家认为免除债务的60%以上和破产无异。一些银行家并且认为，希腊破产带来的后果将大于2008年雷曼兄弟银行的破产。(

 

[lazycatcat]

Good call. Any update ?