十一月十八日瞎猜计划
- 主题发起人 nepean_01
- 开始时间
lazycatcat
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十一月十八日瞎猜计划
一句话，大盘可能才刚刚开跌。小心啊。
一句话，大盘可能才刚刚开跌。小心啊。
It is true that the overall situation is not stable. It will be interesting to see how low it goes ...
From a professional trader!
More uncertainty out of Europe caused further selling in US stocks with the SP-500 approaching the key psychological level of 1200. European and IMF (International Monetary Fund) officials discussed the idea of the European Central Bank lending to the IMF, providing sufficient resources at bailing out the larger European countries.
Investors sensing more delay and complications caused more selling and now the technical and psychological selling could come into play now. I wouldn’t think we are going to get into a panic selling situation like we saw peaked on August 8th and October 4th but more of a shallower pullback followed by some buying with a gentle upward trend.
Key thoughts should be focusing on smaller than normal position sizes and shorter hold times.
More uncertainty out of Europe caused further selling in US stocks with the SP-500 approaching the key psychological level of 1200. European and IMF (International Monetary Fund) officials discussed the idea of the European Central Bank lending to the IMF, providing sufficient resources at bailing out the larger European countries.
Investors sensing more delay and complications caused more selling and now the technical and psychological selling could come into play now. I wouldn’t think we are going to get into a panic selling situation like we saw peaked on August 8th and October 4th but more of a shallower pullback followed by some buying with a gentle upward trend.
Key thoughts should be focusing on smaller than normal position sizes and shorter hold times.
Swing Trade Ideas: (Usually hold time is days)
WNR, Western Refining, consider small LONG position next 1-2
days.
TTWO, Take Two Intera, consider small LONG position next 1-2
days.
JAZZ, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, consider very small SHORT position
next 1-2 days.
CSC, Computer Sciences Corp, consider small LONG position.
Make sure this doesn't go below $25 and turns up before entering.
P, Pandora Media, consider small LONG position next 1-2 days.
Wait for this to stop going down and turn up before entering.
MCP, MolyCorp. Start watching for a potential LONG position next
1-3 days. Wait for this to stop going down and turn up before
entering.
WNR, Western Refining, consider small LONG position next 1-2
days.
TTWO, Take Two Intera, consider small LONG position next 1-2
days.
JAZZ, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, consider very small SHORT position
next 1-2 days.
CSC, Computer Sciences Corp, consider small LONG position.
Make sure this doesn't go below $25 and turns up before entering.
P, Pandora Media, consider small LONG position next 1-2 days.
Wait for this to stop going down and turn up before entering.
MCP, MolyCorp. Start watching for a potential LONG position next
1-3 days. Wait for this to stop going down and turn up before
entering.
MM ONLY 賣出 today so far!!!!!!!!!!! Take care of your long!!!!!!!!!!!!
[11/18/2011 12:13:52 PM EST] MM
UBS賣出
[11/18/2011 12:06:23 PM EST] MM
機構繼續賣出
[ 11/18/2011 12:01:08 PM EST] MM
機構繼續賣出
[11/18/2011 11:58:10 AM EST] MM
高盛賣出
[11/18/2011 11:45:01 AM EST] MM
機構賣出
[11/18/2011 11:33:34 AM EST] MM
機構賣出
[11/18/2011 9:49:39 AM EST] MM
MS大量賣出
[11/18/2011 9:32:25 AM EST] MM
美林賣出
[11/18/2011 9:31:43 AM EST] MM
機構賣出
[11/18/2011 9:30:29 AM EST] MM
機構開盤後賣出
[11/18/2011 12:13:52 PM EST] MM
UBS賣出
[11/18/2011 12:06:23 PM EST] MM
機構繼續賣出
[ 11/18/2011 12:01:08 PM EST] MM
機構繼續賣出
[11/18/2011 11:58:10 AM EST] MM
高盛賣出
[11/18/2011 11:45:01 AM EST] MM
機構賣出
[11/18/2011 11:33:34 AM EST] MM
機構賣出
[11/18/2011 9:49:39 AM EST] MM
MS大量賣出
[11/18/2011 9:32:25 AM EST] MM
美林賣出
[11/18/2011 9:31:43 AM EST] MM
機構賣出
[11/18/2011 9:30:29 AM EST] MM
機構開盤後賣出
lazycatcat
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Knew about first solar but haven't had a chance to look further. The margin looks healthy but not sure how much is from subsidies.
It is difficult to figure out bottom line of this company. Same for WFR. WFR looked pretty attractive at one point with huge pile of cash. However, it was then spent in one acquisition and thus ...
Again, it was difficult to figure out the bottom line of WFR etc...
Any insight ?
It is difficult to figure out bottom line of this company. Same for WFR. WFR looked pretty attractive at one point with huge pile of cash. However, it was then spent in one acquisition and thus ...
Again, it was difficult to figure out the bottom line of WFR etc...
Any insight ?
lazycatcat
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The coming weeks shall be interesting. A wild guess is that there might be a sharp followed by year-end rally.
One mystery is sustained high oil price. This is rather strange.
Not sure if you are paying attention to oil sands. Some interesting data:
1. Capital expenditure on per barrel oil sand could be $35,000.
2. Cash operating cost per barrel oil sand could be ~$40.00
3. Price difference of WTI could be $10 per barrel.
....
One mystery is sustained high oil price. This is rather strange.
Not sure if you are paying attention to oil sands. Some interesting data:
1. Capital expenditure on per barrel oil sand could be $35,000.
2. Cash operating cost per barrel oil sand could be ~$40.00
3. Price difference of WTI could be $10 per barrel.
....
Thank you for the information. It worth paying attention to
US stocks continued to dribble downward today for the 5th down day out of the last 7 trading days with the major indexes. After the regular market closed, news that the Federal Reserve plans to test six US banks for Europe Stress and futures turned down immediately.
Goldman Sachs [GS], Morgan Stanley [MS], Bank of America [BAC], Citigroup [C], JP Morgan [JPM], and Wells Fargo [WFC] are the largest US banks and this stress test will add an overhanging shadow of worry over the market. It is just more fear piling on existing fear and the downtrend is clearly established in this last rebound that started October 4th.
So we are seeing the over-reaction of the markets on the upside to over 12,200 on the Dow30 to now what may be an over-reaction on the downside.
The Dow30 was down 0.46%, Nasdaq Composite had virtually no change, the S&P 500 was down 0.41%, and the Russell 2000 was down 0.8%. The CBOE Volatility Index which is a gauge used to measure fear in the market place was down 2.8%.
In economic news, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 2% which was less than the 2.5% expected.
In earnings news, CPB, Campbell Soup was down 5.2% Tuesday despite reporting earnings that were better than expected and maintained the same forecast for the fiscal year. HPQ, Hewlett-Packard was down 0.7% after reporting weaker than expected earnings.
NFLX, Netflix was down 5.4% Tuesday after warning of a loss for 2012. They also received downgrades from at least four brokerages.
Several key economic reports are scheduled for Wednesday due to the shortened holiday week, most notably Jobless Claims which are scheduled to be released at 8:30am Eastern before the market opens.
Volume was light with the Thanksgiving holiday coming up with 3.9 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange which is below the recent 4.7 billion average.
Remember the market is closed on Thursday, November 24th, in observance of Thanksgiving and closes early (1:00pm Eastern) on Friday.
Goldman Sachs [GS], Morgan Stanley [MS], Bank of America [BAC], Citigroup [C], JP Morgan [JPM], and Wells Fargo [WFC] are the largest US banks and this stress test will add an overhanging shadow of worry over the market. It is just more fear piling on existing fear and the downtrend is clearly established in this last rebound that started October 4th.
So we are seeing the over-reaction of the markets on the upside to over 12,200 on the Dow30 to now what may be an over-reaction on the downside.
The Dow30 was down 0.46%, Nasdaq Composite had virtually no change, the S&P 500 was down 0.41%, and the Russell 2000 was down 0.8%. The CBOE Volatility Index which is a gauge used to measure fear in the market place was down 2.8%.
In economic news, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 2% which was less than the 2.5% expected.
In earnings news, CPB, Campbell Soup was down 5.2% Tuesday despite reporting earnings that were better than expected and maintained the same forecast for the fiscal year. HPQ, Hewlett-Packard was down 0.7% after reporting weaker than expected earnings.
NFLX, Netflix was down 5.4% Tuesday after warning of a loss for 2012. They also received downgrades from at least four brokerages.
Several key economic reports are scheduled for Wednesday due to the shortened holiday week, most notably Jobless Claims which are scheduled to be released at 8:30am Eastern before the market opens.
Volume was light with the Thanksgiving holiday coming up with 3.9 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange which is below the recent 4.7 billion average.
Remember the market is closed on Thursday, November 24th, in observance of Thanksgiving and closes early (1:00pm Eastern) on Friday.
lazycatcat
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You really have a lot of positions. It must be exhausting to keep track unless you have something that auto-pilots.
The oil sector is rather interesting. Albeit recession, oil price still stays high. The past few years show that people can live with $100 oil and that is quite interesting ...
The oil sector is rather interesting. Albeit recession, oil price still stays high. The past few years show that people can live with $100 oil and that is quite interesting ...
where is nepean no1?any analysis for tomorrow?
I made it very clear: 一句话，大盘可能才刚刚开跌。小心啊。
I do think it is time to cover some shorts. And it is time to buy POT,BTU,ANR,PCX,NFLX,GRPN, NEM, APC,SLB, DANG,YOKU, etc. Wow, a lot of good stocks are at bargain price. I am very pleased to see new lower lows which create a perfect long opportunities.
:flaming:
Good luck!
