NAFTA 谈判结果预测

NAFTA谈判前景预测

  • 前途光明,咱土豆比猴子还精

  • 前途不妙,土豆根本不是那块料

  • 不必担惊,美国加国从来就是一条心

  • 有点害怕,实在不知道土豆敢对川普谈些啥

  • 还指望啥?我是川普也早被土豆惹毛哒

  • 莫慌莫慌,保守党国家为重会超越党派不记私利认真帮


投票后才可看到结果。
美国抓住富士康,加拿大人该吃醋吗?

 
嫑急,上帝早就把一切安排好了!:jiayou:
 
不变的是,加拿大是小跟班
 
土豆去哪里了?

DENeSKDUAAA6yD5.jpg
 
真心希望能当天往返美国的免税额度能大幅增加,或者干脆全免
 
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By Tim HarperNational Affairs Columnist
Sun., Aug. 27, 2017

What do you do if you are the U.S. president and one of your major cities is under water?

Well, you’d want to start your day promoting a book by a Milwaukee county sheriff who has called Black Lives Matter a hate group, is a known racial profiler and, naturally, is a big Donald Trump supporter. The book foreword was written, of course, by your best bud forever in the media, Sean Hannity.

Then you would turn your attention to tropical storm Harvey, congratulating yourself on how you saved so many lives — a victory lap even as the water kept rising in Houston and area — but you wouldn’t want to dwell on that, so you would move on to your 2016 electoral success in Missouri, take a shot at the crime rate in Mexico and again vow that it will somehow pay for a border wall, then move on to trade negotiations.

“We are in the NAFTA (worst trade deal ever made) renegotiation process with Mexico & Canada. Both being very difficult, may have to terminate?”

Uh-oh. Trump’s thumbs are now typing “Canada” on Sunday mornings.

Last week, in an infamous stream-of-consciousness meltdown in Phoenix, he said the same thing, telling supporters he would probably end up “terminating the deal at some point,” because “we have been so badly taken advantage of.”

One can get permanently lost down a rabbit hole trying to make sense of the various tweets and pronouncements from Trump, but the shout-out to Sheriff David Clarke, Trump’s coming rally in Missouri, his ongoing fantasy about a Mexican-financed wall and his continued threats to tear up NAFTA actually do have a common thread.

They are all campaign preoccupations from a man who has never stopped campaigning and who never really became president.

The Trump tweet is the cyber-equivalent of the boss walking past the negotiating room banging on a frying pan with a hammer and squeezing an air horn.

But it is nothing more than that. This is no Art of the Deal. This is the Rant of the Attention-Seeker.

It’s not about us. It’s all about him.

Texans, at least those not scrambling atop their homes to save their lives, may want to be reminded that almost 50 per cent of their exports go to their top two trading partners, Mexico and Canada, and they import about 42 per cent of their goods from their NAFTA partners.

While you’re trying to stay above rising floodwaters, it’s good to know your president is musing about ripping up a trade deal so vital to your state.

At least a couple of Canadian politicians couldn’t help themselves Sunday.

“The only thing that needs to be terminated is your presidency,” Hamilton Mayor Fred Eisenberger wrote. “Save yourself and your country. Resign and you will be popular everywhere.”

NDP leadership candidate Charlie Angus was somewhat more poetic: “A poor player struts/frets his hour on the stage and then is heard no more. A tale told by an idiot full of sound and fury signifying nothing.”

He moderated his comments later in the day, pushing the government to keep its eye on the ball.

That’s what it’s doing.

Adam Austen, a spokesperson for Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland, is becoming quite practised at tossing out the political equivalent of Xanax.

“We will work with our partners at all levels in the United States to promote Canada-U.S. trade, which supports millions of jobs across the continent,” he said.

“As we have said before, trade negotiations often have moments of heated rhetoric. Our priorities remain the same, and we will continue to work hard to modernize NAFTA, supporting millions of middle-class jobs.”

Even if Trump did, in a fit of pique, seek to terminate NAFTA, it’s not certain he could do it.

Congress, not Trump, is ultimately responsible for giving a thumbs-up or thumbs-down to any renegotiated deal. There is also legislation on the books that enshrines NAFTA and there could be enough pro-trade, had-enough-of-Trump Republicans to decide the 24-year-old legislation overrides any presidential attempt to kick the pact into the ditch.

All three countries have agreed to fast-track talks, but the first negotiating session has just ended and the second, in Mexico, doesn’t begin until Friday.

They have to ignore the bully in the corridor banging on his campaign-era frying pan.

If you’re Canadian and Trump thinks we’re being “difficult,” there’s only one sane reaction: Good. And pack a pair of noise-cancelling headphones.
 
估计得 terminate,但是天塌不下来,只是这算小土豆的一个政绩,负政绩,小土豆急了。
有意思的是新民主党一贯反对 NAFTA,川普要 cancel 不是正中下怀?但是现在也起来反对川普,维护NAFTA,都怕丢选票呀,呵呵。

只要特朗普在位,NAFTA肯定停摆。NAFTA不符合他的America First。

我支持停掉NAFTA。:D
 
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