如果自新魁选后组成联合政府，加拿大经济将会如何？

[CHRIS88]

基本上可以肯定如果保守党还是少数，反对党会在选后会组成联合政府。

有一个只顾魁北克的魁人党，加一个平均主义大政府高税收的新民党，和一个和前两党的党魁相比软弱而缺少魅力的自由党党魁和没有明确政纲的自由党，联合政府之下的加拿大经济很可能和世界经济一样动荡不安。

 

[成一]

联合执政, 联合游戏

自由 税, 税, 税
新民 花, 花, 花
肥魁 给, 给, 给

小民 交, 交, 交

 

[CHRIS88]

呵呵，这个总结得不错。加声望以示贿赂。

 

[CHRIS88]

记得去年Tom Clark还是CTV "Power and Politics" 的host的时候，他有一段时间总是在提一个问题：Are we going to grow out of the deficit?原因是当时执政的保守党不提加税，所有的反对党也都不提加税。那些参加节目的专家学者记者们都觉得这是个很valid的问题。小民如我也觉得是啊，不加税可能吗？

现在也就一年的时间，保守党政府不仅是没加税，反而是在反对党的一片反对声中坚持减税，而联邦赤字却大幅度降低。

不得不承认保守党政府在经济上有一套。

 

[ccc]

记得去年Tom Clark还是CTV "Power and Politics" 的host的时候，他有一段时间总是在提一个问题：Are we going to grow out of the deficit?原因是当时执政的保守党不提加税，所有的反对党也都不提加税。那些参加节目的专家学者记者们都觉得这是个很valid的问题。小民如我也觉得是啊，不加税可能吗？

现在也就一年的时间，保守党政府不仅是没加税，反而是在反对党的一片反对声中坚持减税，而联邦赤字却大幅度降低。

不得不承认保守党政府在经济上有一套。

现在的赤字是多少？　http://www.debtclock.ca/ticker/countupFlip_num_9_1.swf

Canada’s federal deficit for the 2009-10 fiscal year is a record $55.6 billion, a number never before seen in Canada.

 

[—我本善良—]

这基本属于庸人自扰。谁当政都差不多。

此外对于减税，各个党派都说减，可减的对象不一样。
自由党：减中小企业税
保守党，减富人税
ＮＤＰ，减穷人。

 

[CHRIS88]

现在的赤字是多少？

印象是29 Billion.

 

[ccc]

印象是29 Billion.

看看上面我说的，去年一年的赤字是多少？

加拿大的国债高达500多Billion啦。

 

[风 雨]

If the Conservatives save that 28-30 billion (not buying any F35 fighter jets from US), we would have NO deficit.

印象是29 Billion.

 

[CHRIS88]

Federal deficit Canada 2010:

http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/economy/story.html?id=2617217

With three months left to report for the 2009-10 fiscal year, the federal government has a budget deficit of $39.4-billion. The forecast is for a full-year deficit of $56-billion. But at the present pace after nine months, the 2009-10 deficit might come in roughly $4-billion short of target.

 

[ccc]

Federal deficit Canada 2010:

http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/economy/story.html?id=2617217

With three months left to report for the 2009-10 fiscal year, the federal government has a budget deficit of $39.4-billion. The forecast is for a full-year deficit of $56-billion. But at the present pace after nine months, the 2009-10 deficit might come in roughly $4-billion short of target.

这是一年的预算赤字而已。

国债累计500多billion了。

 

[CHRIS88]

看看上面我说的，去年一年的赤字是多少？

加拿大的国债高达500多Billion啦。

After two years of record deficits that followed the landmark stimulus plan of 2009, the federal government has restated its plan to return to balanced books. However, this plan does not entail a decline in overall program spending. Despite the end of the economic stimulus package, which pushed program spending up by 18 per cent over the last two years, program spending will continue to rise. According to Budget 2011, the federal deficit is estimated at $40.5 billion in 2010–11, down from $55.6 billion last year. Over the next four years, the fiscal plan will see the deficit reduced by about $10 billion a year—such that by 2014–15, it is essentially eliminated.

http://www.conferenceboard.ca/topics/economics/budgets/fed_2011_budget.aspx

高不懂这些数字。有专家解释一下吗？

印象中有人提到过 29 billion 比上年降低了40%以上之类的话。但从来没有认真查过。

村长的500billion哪里来的？

 

[ccc]

If the Conservatives save that 28-30 billion (not buying any F35 fighter jets from US), we would have NO deficit.

即便不买战斗机，年度预算赤字也不会是零。买战斗机的钱不是一笔支付。

 

[ccc]

After two years of record deficits that followed the landmark stimulus plan of 2009, the federal government has restated its plan to return to balanced books. However, this plan does not entail a decline in overall program spending. Despite the end of the economic stimulus package, which pushed program spending up by 18 per cent over the last two years, program spending will continue to rise. According to Budget 2011, the federal deficit is estimated at $40.5 billion in 2010–11, down from $55.6 billion last year. Over the next four years, the fiscal plan will see the deficit reduced by about $10 billion a year—such that by 2014–15, it is essentially eliminated.

http://www.conferenceboard.ca/topics/economics/budgets/fed_2011_budget.aspx

高不懂这些数字。有专家解释一下吗？

印象中有人提到过 29 billion 比上年降低了40%以上之类的话。但从来没有认真查过。

村长的500billion哪里来的？

你说的那个是年度预算赤字。现在的总赤字（国债）已经高达近600 billion，每年利息要约40 billion。

放狗搜“Canada national debt"啊。

 

[CHRIS88]

这是一年的预算赤字而已。

国债累计500多billion了。

这里是讲赤字不是讲国债啊？两个概念吧？