Great Canadian real estate crash of 2013

如果房地产泡沫真的破裂,CONDO应该是最惨的,我11年去美国时,CONDO不到两万都没人买,问了问当地人为什么不买,他们说,condo fee长得太快,如果一个100Units的大楼,住满时,condo fee平均也就300/月,但如果一半Foreclose了,没人住了,管理公司为了不亏损,就会把condo fee涨到600/月,如果就1/3的condo有人住,condo fee就会涨到900。

福罗里达很多condo就这个价,不过多数是那种低楼层的,高楼没有crush的这么厉害
 
福罗里达很多condo就这个价,不过多数是那种低楼层的,高楼没有crush的这么厉害

高档一点的卖6万,原来卖40--60万,一样的原因
 
哪个算命先生灵啊?
 
Every so often you will see one such article pop up in the media. Playing prophet or whistleblower is a professional hobby to some journalists/columnists, especially those covering economic stories. While such effort from an independent perspective is always great to have, I wish there could be more substance and more in-depth, investigative analysis included, rather than just a superficial, wide-angle scan backed with misinterpreted numbers/facts critical for understanding the situation.

There’s one sentence in the MacLean’s article that I couldn’t agree more: “When you hear about a homeowner who thinks his neighbour got too much money when he sold his house, you know there’s something going on.” My friend moved into a new Richmond Hill home a couple of years ago. The average price in the neighborhood was around $600K. But when the builder opened the next phase of development in that area 1.5 years later, the price jumped to over $900K. “Everyone is talking about it; it doesn’t sound right”, oh well, there was a long line-up for days at the Sales office.

The housing markets in Vancouver and Toronto were definitely over-heated in the past few years. The industry has been nervous and already took some precautions. You’d know it when you saw helicopters carrying senior bank executives circulate over Vancouver Island to make sure their hefty lending was extended to some real properties that truly exist. Those markets need a serious correction, but other parts of the country are just fine. Claiming a “great Canadian housing crash” is a long stretch, IMHO.

No doubt about the fact that the housing market is slowing down. Mr. Flaherty constantly put his foot on the brake and pressed it four times in a row. Finally the effect is showing and now, he must be anxious about when to switch back onto the gas pedal.

Cycles are driven by human nature and capitalism.
 
Builder 最近Inventory Home 多起来了, Inventory Home 多半是付了定金到closing day时要么没工作, 或Mortgage出问题, 无法closing的.

介是法拍屋吧?应该是盖好半盖好还木卖出去的。
 
楼上的算命先生灵光。

HammerYammer.jpg
 
这个怎么说呢

说个不太恰当的比喻,中国的经济就像搞实业,尤其是服装和食品的公司,可能会不景气,可是永远有需求,也不会太招摇。美国的经济就像搞金融房地产的,华丽无比。虽然平时看着大利都被金融的占去了,可是实业的泡沫和水分却是最少的



MM哥,俺总算找了个机会弄明白啥是M2了,中国的繁荣就是大M2,我靠,RMB还有升值的压力?不想发达都难啊?:(



去年我国新增货币供应量占全球近半

http://finance.sina.com.cn/china/20130128/153914425282.shtml
 
那位大侠给总结下,多伦多的房价到底是垮还是不垮?

对,只要求说说多伦多的就行了。
 
我表姐夫在toronto做经济的,所以对行情比较熟。

2,3年前买楼花那帮人,现在都交房了,没有赚钱的,好的打平出来,因为要付agent fee还有啥过户费blahblah的。

有朋友投了2万,买26万的房子,最后算总账是亏6000离场。

还有朋友800多一尺买了downtown的800多尺的2bed。还未出手,价格谈不拢。

上面都是condo,大部分人投资都是买condo,因为有楼花。

single处于有价无市,同ottawa差不多。
 
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