没人关心美国总统选举了?

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Trump dealt blow by Cruz in Iowa vote
  • 39 minutes ago
Texas Senator Ted Cruz has won the Iowa Republican caucuses, in the first vote of the US presidential campaign.

"Tonight is a victory for courageous conservatives," he declared, to great applause, as he railed against Washington, lobbyists and the media.

He took 26% of the Republican vote, beating his rival, the frontrunner Donald Trump, and Marco Rubio.

Votes in the Democratic race are still being counted, with Hillary Clinton's camp saying they have narrowly won.

The aim of the primary and caucus races in the coming months is to determine which candidates will stand for the two main parties in the November presidential election.

Iowa caucus results
Republican vote, 99% reported:

  • Ted Cruz: 26%, eight delegates
  • Donald Trump: 23%, seven delegates
  • Marco Rubio: 23%, seven delegates
  • Ben Carson: 10%, three delegates
  • Rand Paul, Jeb Bush: one delegate each.
  • Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich and Rick Santorum: no delegates
Democratic vote, 99% reported:

  • Hillary Clinton: 50%, 22 delegates
  • Bernie Sanders: 47%, 21 delegates
  • Martin O'Malley: 0%, no delegates
source: The Associated Press

US election: Iowa results map

Mrs Clinton's campaign director in Iowa, Matt Paul, said there was "no uncertainty" that the former secretary of state and first lady had beaten Bernie Sanders, a left-wing senator from Vermont.

In six precincts the vote was decided by the toss of a coin - all going to Mrs Clinton,according to the Des Moines Register.

Iowa Democratic race
Voters by age
84%

17-29 year olds voted for Bernie Sanders

14%

for Hillary Clinton

  • 26% 65 and older voted for Bernie Sanders

  • 69% for Hillary Clinton
New York Times
AFP
Iowa's Democratic Party said with one precinct still to be called, their results were"the closest in Iowa Democratic caucus history".

Mr Sanders said it was a "virtual tie". Before leaving for New Hampshire, which is holding party primaries on Tuesday, Mrs Clinton told her supporters she was "breathing a sigh of relief".

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Media captionHillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a virtual tie at Iowa caucus
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Ted Cruz spent months criss-crossing the state to woo its influential voters

There was no such ambiguity from Republican victor Mr Cruz, the 45-year-old conservative who is disliked by the Republican Party leadership.

"Iowa has sent notice that the Republican nominee and the next president of the United States will not be chosen by the media, will not be chosen by the Washington establishment," he said.

Analysis: Anthony Zurcher, BBC News, Iowa
In the end it was a victory for organisation over enthusiasm. Despite trailing Donald Trump in the polls for much of the last two weeks, Ted Cruz swept to a comfortable win in Iowa.

During his victory speech, he repeatedly thanked his grass-roots support - and for good reason. He and his campaign had invested considerable time and money to grind out a victory in this key state, and they were ultimately rewarded for their efforts.

With this result Mr Cruz now has the momentum to survive what looks to be an uphill battle among the more moderate voters in New Hampshire, and then win over the deeply conservative, evangelical voters of Southern states that dominate the primary calendar in the following weeks.

It appears increasingly likely that a showdown for Mr Cruz looms on the horizon with the surprise third-place finisher in Iowa, Senator Marco Rubio. And Mr Trump - even if his supporters did not turn out in the numbers expected - will surely remain a factor.

Winners and losers after Iowa vote

Mr Trump congratulated the Texas senator and said he was "honoured" by the second-place finish.

Mr Rubio, who has struggled to gain support in recent months, has performed far better than expected, and finished just one percentage point behind Mr Trump.

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Media captionSupporters of the US presidential candidates give their take on their favourite
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Marco Rubio gave a speech that was like a victory rally


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Bernie Sanders said the Iowa vote had "astounded the world"

Meanwhile, two candidates are bowing out.

Sources close to Democrat Martin O'Malley, former Maryland governor, have told the BBC that he will suspend his campaign - narrowing the field to two competitive candidates.

On the Republican side, Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee tweeted that he too would suspend his campaign.

US editorials on Iowa vote:
"Cruz's strategy, which included at least one visit to each of Iowa's 99 counties, paid off. He slogged his way across Iowa by car and by bus, stopping in small-town cafes and gymnasiums, while his biggest threat, Donald Trump, travelled by personal jet and by helicopter to large-scale rallies.

"In the short term, Donald Trump was the biggest loser - true of any front-runner but even truer of a candidate whose campaign raison d'etre is that he is a winner."

"His highly enthusiastic crowd cheered his promises to "break up the banks", regardless of whether that is remotely possible."

"If the past eight months have taught anything, it is that the political landscape can change dramatically, defying all predictions. This race is just beginning, and candidates who live by the polls can die by them as well."

"Most candidates this year spent more time listening than talking. This makes for better candidates, and better presidents."

Iowa has an unusual election system based on caucuses, which involve people gathering at private homes, schools and other public buildings across the state.

Democratic voters divide themselves into groups based on their preferred candidate, but the Republican caucus process is more like a traditional ballot.
 
最后编辑:
Iowa caucuses: Donald Trump suffers surprise defeat to Ted Cruz, while Hillary Clinton wins on a coin toss
Cruz wins first vote in the race to choose a Republican presidential nominee with comfortable victory, but Clinton and Bernie Sanders in deadlock
By David Lawler, Nick Allen and Ruth Sherlock in Iowa
11:50AM GMT 02 Feb 2016

Summary - Cruz heralds 'Judeo-Christian values' after surprise triumph over Donald Trump while Hillary Clinton wins on a coin toss

Nick Allen
and Ruth Sherlock, in Iowa

Ted Cruz, the firebrand conservative senator, defeated billionaire Donald Trump in Iowa, the first state to vote in the race to choose a Republican nominee for the White House.

On the Democratic side former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was in a virtual dead heat with her socialist rival Senator Bernie Sanders as some results remained outstanding.

With 93 per cent of the state's precincts having reported Mrs Clinton led Mr Sanders by 50.1 per cent to 49.3 per cent.

It was so close between Mrs Clinton and Mr Sanders that Democrats flipped coins in some precincts to determine how to award an extra county delegate, a rare but longstanding procedure to break ties.

Party rules call for a coin flip when support for candidates is even but a precinct has an odd number of delegates to award.

Iowa Caucus precinct awards delegate to Clinton based on coin ...
Watch it happen: #IowaCaucus delegate awarded to Clinton based on coin flip in tied precinct. w/ MoveOn.org's Benjamin O'Keefe

Posted by Ben Wikler on Monday, 1 February 2016

The Des Moines Register reported that Mrs Clinton won coin tosses at precincts in Davenport and Des Moines.

The newspaper said party officials ordered another coin flip to decide a dispute between the campaigns at an Ames precinct. Clinton won that toss, too.

iowa-bernie-sander_3565142b.jpg

Bernie Sanders stands on stage with his wife Jane during his Caucus night event at the at the Holiday Inn in Des Moines, Iowa Photo: Getty Images

Mr Cruz won the bitterly fought Republican contest with 28 per cent compared to 24 per cent for Mr Trump, and 23 per cent for Marco Rubio, the Florida senator who performed better than expected.

At a victory rally in a cavernous hall at the Iowa State Fairground a jubilant Mr Cruz told The Telegraph: "America needs new leadership."

In a speech he told hundreds of cheering supporters, many in "Cruz" American football shirts, it was a "victory for the grass roots".

He said: "God Bless the great state of Iowa. The great people of Iowa have spoken. The next President of the United States will not be chosen by the media, will not be chosen by the Washington establishment, will not be chosen by the lobbyists.

"They will be chosen by the incredible powerful force where all sovereignty resides in our nation, by we the people, the American people. Courageous conservatives have said 'Yes we can'."

Mr Cruz invoked Margaret Thatcher as he promised, if he does ultimately become the Republican nominee, to defeat whoever the Democrats decide on. He claimed Mrs Clinton was also a socialist but wouldn't admit it.

He said: "As Margaret Thatcher observed the problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money."

Mr Cruz also railed against the "Washington cartel" and a "corrupt class in Washington that has left the American people behind."

1-ted-cruz-iowa-ra_3565143b.jpg

Ted Cruz addresses supporters at his caucus night party in Des Moines, Iowa Photo: Getty Images

The evangelical Christian had made his faith central to his campaign in Iowa and quoted the Bible to his followers.

"I want to remind you of Scripture. Weeping may endure for a night but joy cometh in the morning. Iowa has made clear to America and the world that morning is coming."

Mr Trump, who is still the front-runner for the Republican nomination in national polls, congratulated Mr Cruz and attempted to put a brave face on the result.

He said: "I'm just honoured, I'm really honoured. I was told by everybody 'Do not go to Iowa. You couldn't finish in the top ten'. I said I had to do it."



“No one remembers who came in second.” - Walter Hagen

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 30, 2013
he atmosphere at Mr Trump's post-caucus rally was a mixture of anger and confusion. A crowd booed loudly as Mr Cruz appeared on large television screens around the room.

In a very brief speech Mr Trump said he would win the next state to vote, New Hampshire, where he has a 32 point lead in polls. He said: "We are going to win. I hope".

1-trump-supporters_3565140b.jpg

Deflated Trump supporters watch a television showing the Caucus return numbers at the Donald Trump for President Caucus Watch Party at the Sheraton Hotel in Des Moines, Iowa Photo: Getty Images

Mr Trump added: "Iowa we love you. You're very special. I think I might come back here and buy a farm."

The businessman's campaign, characterised by controversial policy proposals like temporarily banning foreign Muslims from America, has been built on that he is a "winner".

But Ron Bonjean, a Republican strategist, said: "There is now blood in the water for Donald Trump."

Mr Rubio's third place finish suggested he will emerge as the favoured choice of the Republican establishment to take on the maverick candidates Mr Trump and Mr Cruz.

Mr Rubio said: "I am grateful to you Iowa. You believed in me when others didn't think it was possible. Tonight we have taken the first step, but an important step, towards winning this election."
 
最后编辑:
US Election 2016: Donald Trump's terrible night in Iowa in one chart
Donald Trump did not win the Iowa caucuses as expected, and only just beat Marco Rubio to avoid coming third.
Trump-Corbis.jpg

Donald Trump secured 24 per cent of the vote, coming second after Ted Cruz's 28 per cent Corbis


If you have tuned in to the 2016 Presidential primaries for the first time today, the reaction to the Iowa caucuses may seem bewildering.

Ted Cruz, a man hated by the Republican establishment and a senator for only three years, has beaten Jeb Bush, who has spent nearly $100 million winning a few thousand votes.

Donald Trump, a pantomime act six months ago, beat everyone but Cruz, including Republican golden boy Marco Rubio.

READ MORE
Half a dozen well-established names, from Bush to New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, as well as Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee, the two previous winners of the Iowa caucuses, have all been soundly beaten.

Instead, Cruz, Trump and Ben Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, have won more than 60 per cent of the Iowa vote between them.

But tonight Trump isn't a winner nor Rubio a loser. Expectations are everything, and Trump was expected to win, while Rubio was predicted to be a distant third.

Screen%20Shot%202016-02-02%20at%2003.22.14.png

As the graphic above shows, which tracks how all the candidates fared in the polls leading up to Iowa, Trump was expected to win around 29 per cent of the vote tonight.

In fact, Trump has only won 24 per cent, with Rubio winning 23 per cent.

A week ago Trump led Rubio by more than 20 points in the polls. Surveys picked up a late surge for Rubio, but he did even better on election night than these late polls had implied.

Ted Cruz is tonight's most obvious winner, and he's shown he can turn out his vote, with Republican turnout way up on 2012. More than 180,000 voted in the Republican caucuses, a 50 per cent increase since 2012.

Cruz and Rubio now move to New Hampshire, where Trump has a huge lead in the polls, but that may rapidly slip.
 
据说下一个州床铺领先,还能热闹一阵。玩真格的,娱乐婊歇菜退出,只是时间问题。
克鲁兹是有代表性的政客。不过如果最后民主党推出 希拉里+桑德斯 这个组合, 民主党赢面大
 
最后编辑:
谁让美元下跌,下跌到换加元 1:1 我就支持谁 :D
 
美国挺好的,现在总统是个肯尼亚人,接下来估计这个古巴人会当选,然后是老墨总统,在后会是印度裔总统,估计不久的将来还可以看到华裔总统。
 
美国挺好的,现在总统是个肯尼亚人,接下来估计这个古巴人会当选,然后是老墨总统,在后会是印度裔总统,估计不久的将来还可以看到华裔总统。
无论谁做,只是个CEO,他还得听董事局大佬的。
 
谁让美元下跌,下跌到换加元 1:1 我就支持谁 :D
作为赚加币的加拿大人来说1加币挽1.4美元才好呢。但悲剧的是加拿大不仅要依靠大量美国企业就连生产的石油几乎都买到美国。如果加币汇率太高美国企业必然会把成本高效率又不如美国的生产或公司转移回美国或到墨西哥等其他地区,一个最明显的地区就是南部安大略省,当几年前加币高时大量美企搬离,加拿大企业因竞争不过美企又拿不到美国订单大量倒闭,渥太华也一样,只不过因为是首都有大量政府部门兜着不如其他地方明显。这种情况越离美国近越明显。所以美元与加元1:1.3~1.4对加拿大最好。
 
I think Hilary will win New York and California, then Sanders will quit.
 
谁让美国经济上去就选谁. 觉得Ted够呛, 笑不到最后. 我看好床铺.
 
谁让美国经济上去就选谁. 觉得Ted够呛, 笑不到最后. 我看好床铺.

看看Trump自己怎么说的。
 
I think Hilary will win New York and California, then Sanders will quit.

哪里的选民都是正常思维的人多。:D
 
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