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财经观察：特朗普能否“炒掉”美联储主席
2018-12-25 10:47:58 来源： 新华网
12月24日，美国纽约证券交易所的电子屏显示当日交易信息。 纽约股市三大股指24日收盘下跌。截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数比前一交易日下跌653.17点，收于21792.20点，跌幅为2.91%。标准普尔500种股票指数下跌65.52点，收于2351.10点，跌幅为2.71%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌140.08点，收于6192.92点，跌幅为2.21%。 新华社记者 王迎 摄
新华社华盛顿12月24日电 财经观察：特朗普能否“炒掉”美联储主席
新华社记者邓仙来 高攀
美国媒体日前援引来自知情人士的信息报道，美国总统特朗普对美联储加息政策日益不满，曾与其顾问讨论是否可以解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。尽管美国财政部长姆努钦等官员已出面否认，但“炒掉”鲍威尔的传闻仍引发各方对美联储货币政策独立性的担忧。专家警告说，如果特朗普解雇鲍威尔，将造成金融市场动荡，损害美国经济增长，并可能遭遇法律诉讼。
财长辟谣 风波未平
自今年2月鲍威尔担任美联储主席以来，特朗普曾多次就美联储加息公开表达不满和反对。据彭博社报道，在美联储本月19日宣布今年第四次加息后，特朗普向顾问咨询他是否有权让鲍威尔去职。
然而，美国财长姆努钦22日在社交媒体推特上发文对此予以否认。姆努钦说，尽管特朗普“完全不赞成美联储的政策”，但特朗普从未暗示要解雇鲍威尔，也不认为自己有权力这样做。白宫行政管理和预算局局长米克·马尔瓦尼23日在美国广播公司一档节目中也说，特朗普“现在明白”他不能解雇美联储主席。
据媒体报道，特朗普的一些顾问对他公开批评鲍威尔的做法感到失望。他们告诉特朗普，明年美联储将放缓加息节奏，奉劝总统不要对鲍威尔施压。鲍威尔曾表示，明年美国经济可能更适合加息两次，低于此前美联储官员预计的三次。
但白宫内部对于美联储加息看法不一。白宫国家贸易委员会主任彼得·纳瓦罗日前接受采访时表示，明年加息两次仍然“太多”，白宫希望美联储不再加息。白宫经济顾问委员会主席凯文·哈西特则表示，白宫政策顾问应尊重美联储的独立性，不应该评论美联储货币政策。
解雇不易 史无前例
法律专家表示，目前并不清楚美国法律是否明确赋予总统解除美联储主席的权力。
根据美国国会1913年通过的《联邦储备法》，包括美联储主席在内的七名美联储理事由总统提名并需得到国会参议院批准，总统可因某种原因解除美联储理事职务，但并未就解除美联储主席职务作出明确规定。
宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院教授彼得·康蒂-布朗表示，考虑到美联储主席也是美联储理事，可推定《联邦储备法》允许总统解除美联储主席职务，但如何解除，从法律上讲仍是“模糊不清的”，也从未有过先例。
摩根士丹利首席美国经济学家埃伦·曾特纳认为，唯一能解雇美联储主席的理由是他触犯了法律，国会要找到相关证据并通过投票表决等程序才能罢免。
康蒂-布朗说，即便鲍威尔不再担任美联储主席，他仍可担任美联储理事，而且可以被推选为美联储决策机构联邦公开市场委员会主席，这一职位的人选由该委员会选举产生，不由总统决定。
后果严重 众怒难犯
分析人士指出，如果特朗普真的解除鲍威尔美联储主席职务，将令美联储的独立性受到严重质疑，削弱公众对美联储的信心，并可能给金融市场和美国经济带来严重后果。
投资基金波托马克河资本创始人马克·施平德尔表示，“炒掉”鲍威尔将导致美元汇率波动、金融市场震荡、长期利率升高，而消费者和投资者将为此买单，对美国经济增长也不利。
前里士满联邦储备银行行长杰弗里·拉克说，目前很难看到比“炒掉”美联储主席更可能导致美国陷入经济衰退的事情。
参议院银行委员会成员理查德·谢尔比22日警告特朗普不要解雇鲍威尔，称美联储的独立性是美国银行体系的根基。
彭博社分析指出，出于政策分歧解雇美联储主席可能会令特朗普遭遇法律诉讼挑战，参议院对美联储主席的任命批准和美联储主席固定任期的规定正是为了维护美联储的独立性。美联储自创立以来，就在国会授权下履行职权，直接对国会负责。
2018-12-25 10:47:58 来源： 新华网
12月24日，美国纽约证券交易所的电子屏显示当日交易信息。 纽约股市三大股指24日收盘下跌。截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数比前一交易日下跌653.17点，收于21792.20点，跌幅为2.91%。标准普尔500种股票指数下跌65.52点，收于2351.10点，跌幅为2.71%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌140.08点，收于6192.92点，跌幅为2.21%。 新华社记者 王迎 摄
新华社华盛顿12月24日电 财经观察：特朗普能否“炒掉”美联储主席
新华社记者邓仙来 高攀
美国媒体日前援引来自知情人士的信息报道，美国总统特朗普对美联储加息政策日益不满，曾与其顾问讨论是否可以解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。尽管美国财政部长姆努钦等官员已出面否认，但“炒掉”鲍威尔的传闻仍引发各方对美联储货币政策独立性的担忧。专家警告说，如果特朗普解雇鲍威尔，将造成金融市场动荡，损害美国经济增长，并可能遭遇法律诉讼。
财长辟谣 风波未平
自今年2月鲍威尔担任美联储主席以来，特朗普曾多次就美联储加息公开表达不满和反对。据彭博社报道，在美联储本月19日宣布今年第四次加息后，特朗普向顾问咨询他是否有权让鲍威尔去职。
然而，美国财长姆努钦22日在社交媒体推特上发文对此予以否认。姆努钦说，尽管特朗普“完全不赞成美联储的政策”，但特朗普从未暗示要解雇鲍威尔，也不认为自己有权力这样做。白宫行政管理和预算局局长米克·马尔瓦尼23日在美国广播公司一档节目中也说，特朗普“现在明白”他不能解雇美联储主席。
据媒体报道，特朗普的一些顾问对他公开批评鲍威尔的做法感到失望。他们告诉特朗普，明年美联储将放缓加息节奏，奉劝总统不要对鲍威尔施压。鲍威尔曾表示，明年美国经济可能更适合加息两次，低于此前美联储官员预计的三次。
但白宫内部对于美联储加息看法不一。白宫国家贸易委员会主任彼得·纳瓦罗日前接受采访时表示，明年加息两次仍然“太多”，白宫希望美联储不再加息。白宫经济顾问委员会主席凯文·哈西特则表示，白宫政策顾问应尊重美联储的独立性，不应该评论美联储货币政策。
解雇不易 史无前例
法律专家表示，目前并不清楚美国法律是否明确赋予总统解除美联储主席的权力。
根据美国国会1913年通过的《联邦储备法》，包括美联储主席在内的七名美联储理事由总统提名并需得到国会参议院批准，总统可因某种原因解除美联储理事职务，但并未就解除美联储主席职务作出明确规定。
宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院教授彼得·康蒂-布朗表示，考虑到美联储主席也是美联储理事，可推定《联邦储备法》允许总统解除美联储主席职务，但如何解除，从法律上讲仍是“模糊不清的”，也从未有过先例。
摩根士丹利首席美国经济学家埃伦·曾特纳认为，唯一能解雇美联储主席的理由是他触犯了法律，国会要找到相关证据并通过投票表决等程序才能罢免。
康蒂-布朗说，即便鲍威尔不再担任美联储主席，他仍可担任美联储理事，而且可以被推选为美联储决策机构联邦公开市场委员会主席，这一职位的人选由该委员会选举产生，不由总统决定。
后果严重 众怒难犯
分析人士指出，如果特朗普真的解除鲍威尔美联储主席职务，将令美联储的独立性受到严重质疑，削弱公众对美联储的信心，并可能给金融市场和美国经济带来严重后果。
投资基金波托马克河资本创始人马克·施平德尔表示，“炒掉”鲍威尔将导致美元汇率波动、金融市场震荡、长期利率升高，而消费者和投资者将为此买单，对美国经济增长也不利。
前里士满联邦储备银行行长杰弗里·拉克说，目前很难看到比“炒掉”美联储主席更可能导致美国陷入经济衰退的事情。
参议院银行委员会成员理查德·谢尔比22日警告特朗普不要解雇鲍威尔，称美联储的独立性是美国银行体系的根基。
彭博社分析指出，出于政策分歧解雇美联储主席可能会令特朗普遭遇法律诉讼挑战，参议院对美联储主席的任命批准和美联储主席固定任期的规定正是为了维护美联储的独立性。美联储自创立以来，就在国会授权下履行职权，直接对国会负责。
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Donald Trump Twitter Account Video Reveals Covert U.S. Navy SEAL Deployment During Iraq Visit
By James LaPorta On 12/26/18 at 6:13 PM
President Donald Trump and the White House communications team revealed that a U.S. Navy SEAL team was deployed to Iraq after the president secretly traveled to the region to meet with American forces serving in a combat zone for the first time since being elected to office.
While the commander-in-chief can declassify information, usually the specific special operations unit is not revealed to the American public, especially while U.S. service members are deployed. Official photographs and videos typically blur the individual faces of special operation forces, due to the sensitive nature of their job.
The president’s video posted Wednesday did not shield the faces of special operation forces. Current and former Defense Department officials told Newsweek that information concerning what units are deployed and where is almost always classified and is a violation of operational security.
Trump flew to Iraq late Christmas Day after facing a barrage of negative headlines over the holiday season amid a partial government shutdown. The president and first lady Melania Trump posed for pictures with U.S. service members at al-Asad air base in Iraq.
The clandestine trip came a week after Trump ordered the Pentagon to begin planning the withdraw of roughly 2,000 U.S. troops from Syria and around 7,000 from Afghanistan over the next few months. The abrupt decision prompted the resignation of Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, who disagreed with the drawdown.
A pool report during Trump’s visit said the details of the trip were embargoed until the president finished giving his remarks to a group of about 100 mostly U.S. special operation troops engaged in combat operations in Iraq and Syria.
The pool report went on to say that Trump paused to take a selfie with U.S. Navy Lieutenant Commander Kyu Lee, who said he was the chaplain for SEAL Team Five, based out of Coronado, California. The chaplain said Trump told him: “Hey, in that case, let’s take a picture.”
After Air Force One left the Iraqi airspace, Trump posted a video to his Twitter account of his time spent with American forces during his visit to Iraq. Lee Greenwood’s “God Bless the USA,” plays over the video and shows the president and the first lady posing for pictures with service members that appear to be from SEAL Team Five. The special warfare operators are dressed in full battle gear and wearing night vision goggles.
The video cuts to team members shaking the president’s hand before cutting to other special operations personnel and support troops.
President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump greet members of the U.S. military during an unannounced trip to Al Asad Air Base in Iraq on December 26, 2018. In the photograph, Lieutenant Commander Kyu Lee poses for a picture with the president after saying he was the chaplain for SEAL Team Five, a U.S. Navy special operations unit based out of Coronado, California. SAUL LOEB/AFP
Malcolm Nance, a former U.S. Navy intelligence specialist with experience in Iraq told Newsweek on Wednesday that posting the video was a break from traditional procedures that are usually strictly enforced and designed to safeguard the identities of U.S. special operation forces, especially when deployed to a combat zone.
“Operational security is the most important aspect of personnel deployments. The real names, faces, and identities, of personnel involved in special operations or activities, are usually a closely held secret in a combat zone,” Nance said. “Revealing them casually, through an unusual media exposure even if it’s the commander in chief, would prove a propaganda boom if any of this personnel are detained by a hostile government or captured by a terrorist group. There would be no denying who you are and what you do.”
Contacted by Newsweek, the Pentagon referred questions to the White House communications team.
Naval Special Warfare Command and the White House did not return a request for comment from Newsweek as of publication.
The deployments of special operation forces, including Navy SEALs are almost classified events, as to protect those men and women that are on the front lines of every overt and covert conflict the United States is involved in,” a Defense Department official told Newsweek on condition of anonymity.
“Even during special operation demonstrations for congressional delegations or for the president or vice president, personnel either have their faces covered or their face is digitally blurred prior to a release to the general public,” the official said.
"I don't recall another time where special operation forces had to pose with their faces visible while serving in a war zone,” the Pentagon official added.
By James LaPorta On 12/26/18 at 6:13 PM
President Donald Trump and the White House communications team revealed that a U.S. Navy SEAL team was deployed to Iraq after the president secretly traveled to the region to meet with American forces serving in a combat zone for the first time since being elected to office.
While the commander-in-chief can declassify information, usually the specific special operations unit is not revealed to the American public, especially while U.S. service members are deployed. Official photographs and videos typically blur the individual faces of special operation forces, due to the sensitive nature of their job.
The president’s video posted Wednesday did not shield the faces of special operation forces. Current and former Defense Department officials told Newsweek that information concerning what units are deployed and where is almost always classified and is a violation of operational security.
Trump flew to Iraq late Christmas Day after facing a barrage of negative headlines over the holiday season amid a partial government shutdown. The president and first lady Melania Trump posed for pictures with U.S. service members at al-Asad air base in Iraq.
The clandestine trip came a week after Trump ordered the Pentagon to begin planning the withdraw of roughly 2,000 U.S. troops from Syria and around 7,000 from Afghanistan over the next few months. The abrupt decision prompted the resignation of Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, who disagreed with the drawdown.
A pool report during Trump’s visit said the details of the trip were embargoed until the president finished giving his remarks to a group of about 100 mostly U.S. special operation troops engaged in combat operations in Iraq and Syria.
The pool report went on to say that Trump paused to take a selfie with U.S. Navy Lieutenant Commander Kyu Lee, who said he was the chaplain for SEAL Team Five, based out of Coronado, California. The chaplain said Trump told him: “Hey, in that case, let’s take a picture.”
After Air Force One left the Iraqi airspace, Trump posted a video to his Twitter account of his time spent with American forces during his visit to Iraq. Lee Greenwood’s “God Bless the USA,” plays over the video and shows the president and the first lady posing for pictures with service members that appear to be from SEAL Team Five. The special warfare operators are dressed in full battle gear and wearing night vision goggles.
The video cuts to team members shaking the president’s hand before cutting to other special operations personnel and support troops.
President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump greet members of the U.S. military during an unannounced trip to Al Asad Air Base in Iraq on December 26, 2018. In the photograph, Lieutenant Commander Kyu Lee poses for a picture with the president after saying he was the chaplain for SEAL Team Five, a U.S. Navy special operations unit based out of Coronado, California. SAUL LOEB/AFP
Malcolm Nance, a former U.S. Navy intelligence specialist with experience in Iraq told Newsweek on Wednesday that posting the video was a break from traditional procedures that are usually strictly enforced and designed to safeguard the identities of U.S. special operation forces, especially when deployed to a combat zone.
“Operational security is the most important aspect of personnel deployments. The real names, faces, and identities, of personnel involved in special operations or activities, are usually a closely held secret in a combat zone,” Nance said. “Revealing them casually, through an unusual media exposure even if it’s the commander in chief, would prove a propaganda boom if any of this personnel are detained by a hostile government or captured by a terrorist group. There would be no denying who you are and what you do.”
Contacted by Newsweek, the Pentagon referred questions to the White House communications team.
Naval Special Warfare Command and the White House did not return a request for comment from Newsweek as of publication.
The deployments of special operation forces, including Navy SEALs are almost classified events, as to protect those men and women that are on the front lines of every overt and covert conflict the United States is involved in,” a Defense Department official told Newsweek on condition of anonymity.
“Even during special operation demonstrations for congressional delegations or for the president or vice president, personnel either have their faces covered or their face is digitally blurred prior to a release to the general public,” the official said.
"I don't recall another time where special operation forces had to pose with their faces visible while serving in a war zone,” the Pentagon official added.
