房价会涨还是会跌?

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请大家仁者见仁智者见智吧!
到底房价还会涨吗?是应该现在买还是再等等?
敬候您的指教
 
inflation is not zero, and people still have money to make purchases, so, rising
 
最初由 username 发布
请大家仁者见仁智者见智吧!
到底房价还会涨吗?是应该现在买还是再等等?
敬候您的指教

What time frame do you have in your mind? 1 month, 1 year, 10 years or 25 years. How long do you plan to live in your future new house? When you have a clear answers for these, maybe it is more easy to answer your question.
 
长期来讲,房价总是在涨的。因为需求不断增加,而土地却只会越来越少。
 
how about in short time just like half a year or one year? the price in these two years is really crazy.
 
涨不涨很难说,但跌是不大可能的了。
 
Housing price has already droped by about 10K-20K from the height.
 
New-house prices edge up in August

Friday, October 10, 2003 - Page B4

Statistics Canada's new-house price index was 117.3 in August, up 0.5 per cent from July, and up 4.7 per cent from a year earlier. The index, which has a base of 100 for 1997, reflects contractors' selling prices for new houses. Fourteen of the 21 urban areas surveyed showed gains in August, with the largest increases in Quebec City and Montreal, at 1.7 per cent and 1.4 per cent, respectively. The only decline was in Vancouver, where prices were down 0.2 per cent. Six areas recorded no change in prices.

http://www.globeandmail.com/servlet/ArticleNews/TPStory/LAC/20031010/RBRIEFS10-4/TPRealestate/
 
Resales post another hot month


By JANE GADD
Friday, October 10, 2003 - Page G2

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As summer turns to fall, the Toronto housing market remains hotter than ever, with the Toronto Real Estate Board reporting the best September ever in sales through its Multiple Listing Service.

A total of 6,751 homes and condos changed hands through the MLS last month, a 15-per-cent increase over September, 2002, and a transaction level that TREB president Cynthia Lai terms "incredible."

"This makes four record months in a row and the best summer market ever recorded," Ms. Lai says.

The MLS figures cover the entire Greater Toronto Area, including Mississauga, Brampton, Orangeville, Durham and York Regions.

Average prices, which had softened slightly in August, bounced back in September to $297,398 from $285,366 a month earlier. Prices were 5 per cent higher than in September, 2002.

The lion's share of sales was for homes priced between $250,000 and $400,000, but 25 properties changed hands at a price higher than $1.5-million, as well as 27 priced below $90,000.

Half the properties sold were detached, single-family homes. The next-biggest categories were condominium apartments at 20 per cent and semi-detached homes at 12 per cent.

TREB reports that the average length of time properties are spending on the market is 36 days from listing to purchase agreement. The figure tends to fluctuate seasonally and with the strength of the market. In 1996, when the board introduced the measure in its market analysis, the average time from listing to sale was 55 to 60 days.

http://www.globeandmail.com/servlet/ArticleNews/TPStory/LAC/20031010/MARKET10/TPRealestate/
 
StatsCan - New Housing Price Index

New Housing Price Index
August 2003
The New Housing Price Index (1997=100) advanced 0.5% in August, after two consecutive 0.3% increases in June and July. On a 12-month basis, this index of contractors' selling prices rose 4.7%, unchanged from July's annual increase.

New Housing Price Indexes
(1997=100)

August 2003 August 2002 to August 2003 July to August 2003
% change
Canada total 117.3 4.7 0.5
House only
123.8 6.1 0.7
Land only
105.2 1.4 0.3
St.John's 112.6 3.8 0.4
Halifax 119.7 4.3 0.0
Charlottetown 105.1 0.3 0.0
Saint John-Moncton-Fredericton 103.7 3.0 0.6
Québec 122.8 9.3 1.7
Montréal 127.5 7.1 1.4
Ottawa-Gatineau 137.7 2.2 0.0
Toronto 120.5 5.1 0.7
Hamilton 122.6 7.0 0.9
St. Catharines-Niagara 121.8 5.4 0.7
Kitchener-Waterloo 120.3 2.4 0.3
London 115.3 5.1 0.0
Windsor 102.1 0.0 0.0
Sudbury-Thunder Bay 96.4 0.7 0.3
Winnipeg 114.2 3.6 0.0
Regina 126.0 5.5 0.8
Saskatoon 114.4 3.3 0.9
Calgary 131.0 4.4 0.2
Edmonton 123.3 3.9 0.1
Vancouver 96.5 3.5 -0.2
Victoria 98.1 8.4 1.3


Monthly rises occurred in 14 of the 21 urban centres surveyed. Of the centres with the strongest growth, Québec led the way with an increase of 1.7%, followed by Montréal (+1.4%) and Victoria (+1.3%). Home builders in these areas cited higher prices for building materials, labour and land. Significant increases were observed in Hamilton (+0.9%), Saskatoon (+0.9%), Regina (+0.8%), Toronto (+0.7%), St. Catharines-Niagara (+0.7%) and Saint John-Moncton-Fredericton (+0.6%), mostly the result of increased material and labour costs. Higher land values were noted in Hamilton and Regina.

Elsewhere, new house prices rose in St. John's (+0.4%), Kitchener-Waterloo (+0.3%), Sudbury-Thunder Bay (+0.3%) and Calgary (+0.2%). The index was up slightly in Edmonton (+0.1%).

Six of the surveyed centres registered no change and the only decrease was registered in Vancouver (-0.2%) where some builders quoted lower house prices as a result of competitive factors.

For the sixth consecutive month, Québec (+9.3%) posted the largest 12-month increase for new homes. Victoria was next with an increase of 8.4%, followed by Montréal (+7.1%). There were no annual decreases.

Available on CANSIM: table 327-0005.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 2310.

The third quarter 2003 issue of Capital expenditure price statistics (62-007-XPB, $26/$85) will be available in January.

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Perry Kirkpatrick (613-951-9606, fax: 613-951-1539; infounit@statcan.ca) or Susan Morris (613-951-2035; morrsus@statcan.ca), Prices Division.

http://www.statcan.ca/Daily/English/031009/d031009b.htm
 
The price of real estate has been rising, though not as rapidly as a couple of years ago, but it is still rising.


最初由 nanotech 发布
Housing price has already droped by about 10K-20K from the height.
 
跌是不会跌的, 就是在势道不好的时候, 升的慢点儿.:)
 
最初由 nanotech 发布
Housing price has already droped by about 10K-20K from the height.

季节性的SLOW-DOWN是有的,这是每年的这个时段都发生的,不单今年。但房价不见下跌。

你说的10K-20K的DROP是哪里得来的消息?下迭的比例是多少?下跌10k对低价房和高价房有着很大的区别。
 
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