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Poll Tracker
Maintained by CBC poll analyst Éric Grenier, the Poll Tracker aggregates all publicly available polling data to follow the trends of the June 7th election.
Latest polls and projections
Updated on June 05, 2018
Poll averages
PC
37.6%
+0.7
NDP
36.1%
-0.9
LIB
19.9%
+0.2
GRN
5.0%
0.0
OTH
1.4%
0.0
Seat projections
minority majority
PC74
5384
NDP48
3663
LIB2
16
GRN0
1
OTH0
Probability of winning
86.5%
Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority
5.2%
Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority
2.8%
Probability of the NDP winning the most seats but not a majority
4.9%
Probability of the NDP winning a majority
Doug Ford's PCs have inched ahead of Andrea Horwath's New Democrats in the polls, but despite the close race in the popular vote the PCs have a better regional distribution of that vote and so are heavily favoured to win more seats. The NDP's forward momentum appears to have stalled. It is no coincidence that the Liberal slide has also halted, leaving the party with just enough support to be competitive in a handful of ridings.
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/onvotes/poll-tracker/
Maintained by CBC poll analyst Éric Grenier, the Poll Tracker aggregates all publicly available polling data to follow the trends of the June 7th election.
Latest polls and projections
Updated on June 05, 2018
Poll averages
PC
37.6%
+0.7
NDP
36.1%
-0.9
LIB
19.9%
+0.2
GRN
5.0%
0.0
OTH
1.4%
0.0
Seat projections
minority majority
PC74
5384
NDP48
3663
LIB2
16
GRN0
1
OTH0
Probability of winning
86.5%
Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority
5.2%
Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority
2.8%
Probability of the NDP winning the most seats but not a majority
4.9%
Probability of the NDP winning a majority
Doug Ford's PCs have inched ahead of Andrea Horwath's New Democrats in the polls, but despite the close race in the popular vote the PCs have a better regional distribution of that vote and so are heavily favoured to win more seats. The NDP's forward momentum appears to have stalled. It is no coincidence that the Liberal slide has also halted, leaving the party with just enough support to be competitive in a handful of ridings.
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/onvotes/poll-tracker/
