投票：大选你选哪个党？

[uglyducking]

http://338canada.com/districts/districts.htm

 

[uglyducking]

http://338canada.com/districts/ottawa.htm

 

[谷歌大侠]

http://338canada.com/districts/ottawa.htm

浏览附件855709

渥太华8席跟CFC民意相差太大。

 

[ccc]

http://338canada.com/districts/districts.htm
浏览附件855708

我预测PPC至少1席。

 

[ccc]

渥太华8席跟CFC民意相差太大。

在渥太华，华人在哪个选区也不能左右选情，除非票数接近。

 

[ashvalley]

土豆

 

[谷歌大侠]

在渥太华，华人在哪个选区也不能左右选情，除非票数接近。

Kanata–Carleton选区很接近 (toss up)，这个论坛有为这个选区保守党候选人Justina Mccaffrey造势的，也许华人能影响选情如果绝大多数华人都投同一个党。但是大家投票都是根据自己的利益和理念来投的吧。

 

[ccc]

Kanata–Carleton选区很接近 (toss up)，这个论坛有为这个选区保守党候选人Justina Mccaffrey造势的，也许华人能影响选情如果绝大多数华人都投同一个党。但是大家投票都是根据自己的利益和理念来投的吧。
浏览附件855722

Karen McCrimmon OMM CD MP (born c. 1957) is a Canadian Forces veteran, mediator, and politician who was elected Member of Parliament for Kanata—Carleton in the 2015 Canadian federal election. After a 31-year military career, McCrimmon retired as a lieutenant colonel. She was the first female navigator and the first woman to command a Canadian Forces air force squadron. She became involved in federal politics with the Liberal Party of Canada in 2008. In 2011, she was the Liberal candidate for the federal election in the Carleton—Mississippi Mills riding and, in 2013, she unsuccessfully bid for the Liberal leadership.

Background
McCrimmon was born in Weston, Ontario.[1] Her father, Charles Martin, was a metallurgic technician employed by the A.V.Roe Company working on the AVRO Arrow CF-105.[2] Her mother, Isabel, emigrated from Scotland on her own, at the age of 20. When the Arrow project was cancelled in 1959, her father found work with Trans-Canada Airlines and moved his family to Timmins, Ontario. In 1971, the family moved to Windsor, Ontario.

While in high school, McCrimmon joined the Royal Canadian Army Cadets.[2] In 1975, she joined The Windsor Regiment (RCAC) as a Reservist. She graduated with a Bachelor of Arts from the University of Windsor in Russian and linguistics,[1] and originally wanted to work in Canada's diplomatic corps.[2]

McCrimmon then joined the Regular Force in 1980, and became an air navigator, the first female to gain such a qualification.[3]

In 1995, she was made a member of the Order of Military Merit and, in 1998, was promoted lieutenant-colonel and given command of 429 Transport Squadron, becoming the first woman to command a Canadian Forces flying squadron.[3] In 2000, she headed the Transport and Rescue Standardization and Evaluation Team. In July 2006, she was posted to Ramstein, Germany to serve as a Senior Staff Officer at the NATO Air Headquarters.[3] She did a tour of duty in Afghanistan in 2004 where she was responsible for NATO Airlift Co-ordination.[3] She retired from the Forces in 2006.

 

[ccc]

Ottawa West-Nepean

 

[谷歌大侠]

Karen McCrimmon OMM CD MP (born c. 1957) is a Canadian Forces veteran, mediator, and politician who was elected Member of Parliament for Kanata—Carleton in the 2015 Canadian federal election. After a 31-year military career, McCrimmon retired as a lieutenant colonel. She was the first female navigator and the first woman to command a Canadian Forces air force squadron. She became involved in federal politics with the Liberal Party of Canada in 2008. In 2011, she was the Liberal candidate for the federal election in the Carleton—Mississippi Mills riding and, in 2013, she unsuccessfully bid for the Liberal leadership.

Background
McCrimmon was born in Weston, Ontario.[1] Her father, Charles Martin, was a metallurgic technician employed by the A.V.Roe Company working on the AVRO Arrow CF-105.[2] Her mother, Isabel, emigrated from Scotland on her own, at the age of 20. When the Arrow project was cancelled in 1959, her father found work with Trans-Canada Airlines and moved his family to Timmins, Ontario. In 1971, the family moved to Windsor, Ontario.

While in high school, McCrimmon joined the Royal Canadian Army Cadets.[2] In 1975, she joined The Windsor Regiment (RCAC) as a Reservist. She graduated with a Bachelor of Arts from the University of Windsor in Russian and linguistics,[1] and originally wanted to work in Canada's diplomatic corps.[2]

McCrimmon then joined the Regular Force in 1980, and became an air navigator, the first female to gain such a qualification.[3]

In 1995, she was made a member of the Order of Military Merit and, in 1998, was promoted lieutenant-colonel and given command of 429 Transport Squadron, becoming the first woman to command a Canadian Forces flying squadron.[3] In 2000, she headed the Transport and Rescue Standardization and Evaluation Team. In July 2006, she was posted to Ramstein, Germany to serve as a Senior Staff Officer at the NATO Air Headquarters.[3] She did a tour of duty in Afghanistan in 2004 where she was responsible for NATO Airlift Co-ordination.[3] She retired from the Forces in 2006.

浏览附件855731

浏览附件855730

看上去自由党候选人比保守党候选人强很多，但是现在这个选区的民调是自由党和保守党很接近（40.9% vs. 39.5%），大部分选民是选党吧。记得2011年Jack Layton的NDP有一位魁北克候选人，竞选期间在拉斯维加斯度假，结果当选了。

 

[谷歌大侠]

Ottawa West-Nepean

浏览附件855732


浏览附件855733

Ottawa West-Nepean选区目前的民调是自由党45.3% vs. 保守党30.7%

 

[谷歌大侠]

CFC好像没人知道今晚有个leaders' debate。保守党，NDP和绿党党领参加了，特鲁多没参加。看来自由党决定正确啊，因为很少人知道今晚的leaders' debate。
Scheer, Singh and May take aim at Trudeau for skipping first leaders' debate
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/scheer-singh-may-debate-1.5281752

 

[ccc]

Wow，53.8%！

55.6%

 

[谷歌大侠]

CFC好像没人知道今晚有个leaders' debate。保守党，NDP和绿党党领参加了，特鲁多没参加。看来自由党决定正确啊，因为很少人知道今晚的leaders' debate。
Scheer, Singh and May take aim at Trudeau for skipping first leaders' debate
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/scheer-singh-may-debate-1.5281752

特鲁多将参加两场（英语，法语各一场）由Leaders’ Debates Commission（前总督David Johnston是Commissioner）组织的辩论和一场TVA组织的法语辩论。TVA法语辩论October 2, 8pm-10pm (EST)，绿党党领未被邀请参加这场法语辩论。魁北克太重要了，the TVA debate is one Justin Trudeau can't afford to miss。

https://www.debates-debats.ca/en/
2019 Leaders’ Debates
English debate: Monday October 7, 7pm-9pm (EST)
French debate: Thursday October 10, 8pm-10pm (EST)

Location: Canadian Museum of Civilization, Gatineau QC

Languages:

• English
• French
• Cree
• Inuktitut
• Ojibway
• Arabic
• Cantonese
• Italian
• Mandarin
• Punjabi

 

[谷歌大侠]

55.6%

That's much more than enough for a majority government. In 2015, Liberal majority government had 39.5% popular votes (184/338 seats). In 2011, Conservative majority government had 39.6% popular votes (166/308 seats).