发生了什么事情?这两天民调自由党稳步上升,保守党则持续下降

危险。希望戏尔、小PP和Lisa Raitt席位全丟:D都是满嘴谎话的。用税款养这帮人,浪費羞耻。

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REGINA — First Nations chiefs in Andrew Scheer's home riding say they haven't seen much of him in advance of Monday's federal vote, and feel like they're not a priority for the Conservative leader.

Scheer has represented Regina-Qu'Appelle since 2004. It's a sprawling urban-rural riding which includes the northern part of Regina, Fort Qu'Appelle to the northeast and 12 First Nations.

"The hugest downfall that Scheer has is he's been MP of this riding for how long, and he's come out to our community to try to engage with us once," says Piapot First Nation Chief Jeremy Fourhorns.

"Even at that, he's not very good at that people part."

The Conservative Party of Canada did not respond to requests for comment about the last time Scheer visited a First Nation or met with Indigenous leadership from his riding.

Scheer has yet to make a campaign stop in Regina-Qu'Appelle, but visited the NDP-held constituency of Saskatoon-West about three weeks ago.

David Pratt, a vice-chief with the Federation of Sovereign Indigenous Nations, representing 74 communities in Saskatchewan, recently tweeted that Scheer hasn't engaged with the riding's First Nations and said they'd like to speak with him on issues.

During a recent federal leaders debate, Scheer did answer questions on Indigenous matters.

He said he supports preserving Indigenous languages and combating human-trafficking, but needs clarity when it comes to the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People.


At one point, Scheer made reference to his riding's 12 reserves.


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Voters across the country will cast their ballots on Oct. 21, 2019. (Courtesy of Elections Canada)

Roberta Soo-Oyewaste, chief of Standing Buffalo Dakota Nation, which is one of the 12, says she doesn't know why Scheer would bring that up when he hasn't been in touch.

She says the entire election campaign hasn't included much discussion on Indigenous issues. That sends the message that First Nations are not a priority, she says.

Fourhorns adds the Liberals have done a better job building a relationships with Indigenous people and that leads people to question where the Conservatives stand.

"If our community isn't a priority, then that reflects on the Conservative Party of Canada that we're not a priority," she says.

The Assembly of First Nations reports that there's a record number of Indigenous candidates in this federal election and First Nations voters could swing the vote in nearly one in five ridings.

One of those is Scheer's riding, where Jordan Ames-Sinclair is running for the Liberals. He was born and raised in Regina's North Central neighbourhood.


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Federation of Sovereign Indigenous Nations vice-chief David Pratt recently Tweeted that Conservative Party of Canada leader Andrew Scheer has not engaged with the riding’s First Nations. (CBC)

"Being Indigenous, you know, this riding is very diverse and it needs representation for its Indigenous people and they felt like they haven't had it for a long time," he says.

"It kind of just drives me even more to push harder to win."

The New Democrats are running Raymond Aldinger, a youth corrections worker, and the Green candidate is Dale Dewar, a rural doctor and associate professor of family medicine with the University of Saskatchewan. Tracey Sparrowhawk is running for the People's Party of Canada.

Matthew Peigan, chief of Pasqua First Nation, says they have co-ordinated to have a polling station and get people out to vote.

Peigan says the last time he met with Scheer was in 2017. Before that it was in 2012 to discuss negotiations pertaining to a flooding issue, which he says Scheer refused to help with. He says both times they met were off-reserve.
 
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If there is any riding in this year's federal election that warrants strategic voting by left-leaning electors, it's surely Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer's district of Regina-Qu'Appelle.

Last week, an editorial in the Saskatchewan Herald asked "Could Andrew Scheer Lose His Seat to the NDP?" drawing attention to the fact that efforts to unseat Scheer "have taken on a new energy" following a national surge in NDP support.

"One always hopes for grassroots movements to really take off suddenly, and I'm kind of feeling that right now," NDP candidate Ray Aldinger told rabble.ca. "It feels positive."

Of course, every party leader can theoretically lose their seat in the House of Commons -- just ask former Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff. However, two important factors have sparked discussion about the possibility of Scheer losing his riding this election, even though it remains an unlikely outcome.

First, Scheer's district encompasses 12 First Nations. As both the local MP and leader of the Conservatives, Scheer has alienated himself from many of those Indigenous communities.

For example, his party sparked outrage when it voted against the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People in 2018. That move, some local First Nations leaders said, followed Scheer's long track-record of ignoring their concerns.

"There is a lot of concern in First Nation country of Mr. Scheer," David Pratt, a vice chief with the Federation of Sovereign Indigenous Nations (FSIN) in Saskatchewan, told CBC this month. "We don't feel he has done a good enough effort of reaching out to First Nations in his own home riding."

"If he didn't want to engage as an MP and Speaker of the House, who is he going to engage as the prime minister?" added Pasqua First Nation Chief Matthew Peigan.

Some Indigenous activists in Regina-Qu'Appelle are now reportedly campaigning for an NDP victory.

Second, Scheer's share of the vote in 2015 amounted to less than the NDP, Liberal and Green votes combined. In theory, if enough Liberal and Green voters decided to rally behind Aldinger, they could form an anti-Conservative voting bloc large enough to deny the Tory leader a seat in Parliament.

Scheer losing his seat would throw the Conservatives into disarray, regardless of how many seats the party wins overall on election day. On the one hand, some Liberal voters might be tempted by that prospect enough to strategically vote NDP, in hopes of locking out Justin Trudeau's main competitor for prime minister (it's easy to imagine some strategists at Liberal headquarters would be thrilled by that outcome, too). However, persuading several thousand Liberal voters -- in addition to at least a few hundred Greens -- to throw their support behind the New Democratic contender is a tall ask.

"The rural portion of this constituency has not voted for an NDP member since the late 1970s," noted Howard Leeson, political science professor at the University of Regina, adding that he thinks the prospect of progressive voters uniting behind the NDP is "not likely, but not impossible."

Jim Farney, also a political science professor at the University of Regina, agrees.

"'It's one of those ridings where there would have had to have been some sort of formal agreement between the NDP and the Liberals to not run candidates against each other,"' he told rabble.ca. "'If there was only one candidate from the centre or centre-left running against Scheer, then yes, it would be a very close race."'

"I don't see the possibility of those progressive parties co-operating enough to bump Scheer off, but I could be wrong," he added.

Besides the logistical challenges associated with pulling off such a feat, it's also not necessarily accurate to assume that all Liberal voters prefer the idea of an NDP MP over a Conservative.

Given that fact, creating a formal alliance behind a single "progressive" candidate is tricky, and perhaps not even desirable -- especially if it means watering down policies in an attempt to appease centrist liberals.

So, Scheer's seat appears to be safe -- at least for the time being.

"He won last time by a fairly sizeable margin, and it's hard to see how that changes this time around," said Farney. "As it is with that vote splitting, I think he's in a safe seat."

However, Farney said, both the mobilization of local First Nations and Scheer's lack of roots in the district could mean that Scheer becomes vulnerable down the road.

"I think if you mobilize Indigenous folks in the riding, they'd move against Scheer, but I don't know how strongly," Farney explained, adding that, having served as House Speaker and Opposition leader, Scheer can hardly be considered a local champion.

"Both because of his biography and because of the types of roles he's had in Ottawa … he's not deeply integrated into the province's politics. That dynamic might play in a little bit, too. He's not spent his career as a constituency MP."

While this factor likely won't be enough to cost Scheer his seat this time around, it might put him at risk in the event of a left-wing surge in a future election.

"If there was some sort of real landslide against the Tories, I don't think his riding would be particularly insulated," said Farney.

Alex Cosh is a journalist and PhD student based in Powell River, B.C. His work has appeared on PressProgress, Left Foot Forward and in several local B.C. publications.
 
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Conservative leader Andrew Scheer is running to be Prime Minister of Canada – but his first concern on October 21st might need to be his own Regina-Qu’Appelle seat.

As a surging NDP under leader Jagmeet Singh eats into both Conservative and Liberal support across Canada, efforts by NDP and Indigenous activists to push Scheer’s riding into the NDP column have taken on a new energy – leaving the Conservative leader vulnerable not only to an increasingly likely national loss on election day, but also to losing his own seat in the House of Commons.

In 2015, Scheer won the partially urban, partially rural riding in large part due to a surge in Liberal Party votes. Della Anaquod – a placeholder candidate – surged to over eighteen percent of the vote in the red wave that brought Liberals to a majority government.

With that wave crashing back in 2019, riding New Democrats and others on the centre-left are pressing hard to keep the vote behind the local New Democratic candidate, and deny the Tory leader his own seat in the House of Commons – a situation that would throw the already divided Conservative Party into chaos in a minority Parliament. Higher voter turnout and a coalescence of support around the New Democratic candidate, and surging support for the People’s Party among right wing voters over the issue of Quebec equalization, could lead to the Tory leader losing in his own seat.

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Indigenous Activists on the Trail

Adding to the challenges for Scheer, Indigenous activists in the riding are also pressing to bring out the vote for the New Democratic Party in Scheer’s riding.

Indigenous groups across the Province were outraged when the Conservatives voted during the last Parliament against the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People. Two of Scheer’s closest allies, Saskatchewan MP Rosemarie Falk and Alberta MP Dane Lloyd shared a high-five after voting down the international rights document.

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The Conservative and Liberal dominated Senate also killed Indigenous Saskatchewan NDP MP Georgina Jolibois’ bill to recognize Orange Shirt Day – a day of remembrance and reconciliation for residential school survivors.

In response to a Conservative Party that has ranged from indifferent to openly hostile toward Indigenous interests, Indigenous activists have recognized that Scheer’s riding contains the most individual First Nations in Saskatchewan – thirteen in total – and have begun mobilizing those First Nations to vote. The surge could deny the Tories the riding – particularly if the Liberal vote from 2015 drifts back to the NDP.

Strategic Voting Could Deny Tories At Least Seven Sask Seats

Although Saskatchewan has recently been seen as a Conservative province, its major and moderate sized cities, First Nations, immigrant communities, organic farming areas, and the north have traditionally gone to the New Democratic Party. The Conservative Party won less than half the popular vote in 2015. Strategic voting could deny at least half of the ridings in the Province to the Conservatives. In addition to Scheer’s Regina Qu’apelle riding, those ridings are:

DESNETHÉ-MISSINIPPI-CHURCHILL RIVER– where incumbent NDP MP Georgina Jolibois has pulled ahead with a tight lead over her Conservative challenger, as Liberal and Green support has crashed across the Prairies.

REGINA-LEWVAN – where Jigar Patel of the NDP is believed to be in a tight race with Conservative Warren Steinley, who has lost significant support to People’s Party candidate Trevor Wowk over Andrew Scheer’s stance in favour of Quebec equalization.

REGINA-WASCANAwhere incumbent Liberal Ralph Goodale is leading in a tough four-way fight with the NDP’s Hailey Clark, Conservative Michael Kram, and People’s Party candidate Mario Milanovski.

SASKATOON-GRASSWOODwhere star NDP candidate Erika Ritchie is challenging incumbent Conservative Kevin Waugh, with Mark Friesen of the People’s Party also expected to outperform

SASKATOON-UNIVERSITYan interesting riding where NDP candidate Claire Card is taking her second run to seek to take the riding from the Conservatives, represented by first-time federal candidate Corey Tochor. Tochor is reported to have lost significant support to Guto Penteado of the People’s Party over Scheer’s stance on equalization, and to Jeff Willerton of the Christian Heritage Party over Scheer’s uncertain stance on abortion.

SASKATOON WEST – Incumbent NDP deputy leader Sheri Benson would be a major voice for Saskatchewan in a coalition government in a minority situation, but faces a stiff challenge from Isaac Hayes of the People’s Party and Brad Redekopp of the Conservatives.

Whether the popular vote will coalesce around the left candidate most likely to win each riding, or whether vote splitting and voter indifference will elect Scheer’s Conservatives in these ridings, will be decided over the next two weeks. Voters can check out when and how to vote on or before Election Day on Octber 21st on Elections Canada’s website.

https://saskatchewanherald.com/2019/10/12/analysis-could-scheer-lose-his-own-seat-to-the-ndp/
 
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If there is any riding in this year's federal election that warrants strategic voting by left-leaning electors, it's surely Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer's district of Regina-Qu'Appelle.

Last week, an editorial in the Saskatchewan Herald asked "Could Andrew Scheer Lose His Seat to the NDP?" drawing attention to the fact that efforts to unseat Scheer "have taken on a new energy" following a national surge in NDP support.

"One always hopes for grassroots movements to really take off suddenly, and I'm kind of feeling that right now," NDP candidate Ray Aldinger told rabble.ca. "It feels positive."

Of course, every party leader can theoretically lose their seat in the House of Commons -- just ask former Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff. However, two important factors have sparked discussion about the possibility of Scheer losing his riding this election, even though it remains an unlikely outcome.

First, Scheer's district encompasses 12 First Nations. As both the local MP and leader of the Conservatives, Scheer has alienated himself from many of those Indigenous communities.

For example, his party sparked outrage when it voted against the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People in 2018. That move, some local First Nations leaders said, followed Scheer's long track-record of ignoring their concerns.

"There is a lot of concern in First Nation country of Mr. Scheer," David Pratt, a vice chief with the Federation of Sovereign Indigenous Nations (FSIN) in Saskatchewan, told CBC this month. "We don't feel he has done a good enough effort of reaching out to First Nations in his own home riding."

"If he didn't want to engage as an MP and Speaker of the House, who is he going to engage as the prime minister?" added Pasqua First Nation Chief Matthew Peigan.

Some Indigenous activists in Regina-Qu'Appelle are now reportedly campaigning for an NDP victory.

Second, Scheer's share of the vote in 2015 amounted to less than the NDP, Liberal and Green votes combined. In theory, if enough Liberal and Green voters decided to rally behind Aldinger, they could form an anti-Conservative voting bloc large enough to deny the Tory leader a seat in Parliament.

Scheer losing his seat would throw the Conservatives into disarray, regardless of how many seats the party wins overall on election day. On the one hand, some Liberal voters might be tempted by that prospect enough to strategically vote NDP, in hopes of locking out Justin Trudeau's main competitor for prime minister (it's easy to imagine some strategists at Liberal headquarters would be thrilled by that outcome, too). However, persuading several thousand Liberal voters -- in addition to at least a few hundred Greens -- to throw their support behind the New Democratic contender is a tall ask.

"The rural portion of this constituency has not voted for an NDP member since the late 1970s," noted Howard Leeson, political science professor at the University of Regina, adding that he thinks the prospect of progressive voters uniting behind the NDP is "not likely, but not impossible."

Jim Farney, also a political science professor at the University of Regina, agrees.

"'It's one of those ridings where there would have had to have been some sort of formal agreement between the NDP and the Liberals to not run candidates against each other,"' he told rabble.ca. "'If there was only one candidate from the centre or centre-left running against Scheer, then yes, it would be a very close race."'

"I don't see the possibility of those progressive parties co-operating enough to bump Scheer off, but I could be wrong," he added.

Besides the logistical challenges associated with pulling off such a feat, it's also not necessarily accurate to assume that all Liberal voters prefer the idea of an NDP MP over a Conservative.

Given that fact, creating a formal alliance behind a single "progressive" candidate is tricky, and perhaps not even desirable -- especially if it means watering down policies in an attempt to appease centrist liberals.

So, Scheer's seat appears to be safe -- at least for the time being.

"He won last time by a fairly sizeable margin, and it's hard to see how that changes this time around," said Farney. "As it is with that vote splitting, I think he's in a safe seat."

However, Farney said, both the mobilization of local First Nations and Scheer's lack of roots in the district could mean that Scheer becomes vulnerable down the road.

"I think if you mobilize Indigenous folks in the riding, they'd move against Scheer, but I don't know how strongly," Farney explained, adding that, having served as House Speaker and Opposition leader, Scheer can hardly be considered a local champion.

"Both because of his biography and because of the types of roles he's had in Ottawa … he's not deeply integrated into the province's politics. That dynamic might play in a little bit, too. He's not spent his career as a constituency MP."

While this factor likely won't be enough to cost Scheer his seat this time around, it might put him at risk in the event of a left-wing surge in a future election.

"If there was some sort of real landslide against the Tories, I don't think his riding would be particularly insulated," said Farney.

Alex Cosh is a journalist and PhD student based in Powell River, B.C. His work has appeared on PressProgress, Left Foot Forward and in several local B.C. publications.

Alex Cosh is a journalist and PhD student based in Powell River, B.C. His work has appeared on PressProgress, Left Foot Forward and in several local B.C. publications.

左媒。
 
1双重国籍
2在离投票仅剩一个多星期,长周末星期五下午六点公布自己的竞选平台。。。摆明了不想让大家仔细研究。
3诬陷小土豆要毒品合法化
4诬陷小土豆要涨GST
5雇佣咨询公司摧毁人民党
欢迎补充。

感觉希尔干的都是些不着调的小儿科的东西,有违一般政客的操守。
6 长得难看:monster:
 
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