2 Californians died of coronavirus weeks before previously known 1st US death

重磅!五分之一的纽约人曾经感染新冠!纽约抗体普测结果出了!
Original 好玩君 纽约好玩不 Today

点击 ↑好玩不 关注噢
好玩不是纽约最火美食平台@纽约好吃不 旗下最懂玩乐的子平台,每日推送纽约本地最新鲜、最有趣的玩乐资讯,带你轻松玩转纽约!投稿及业务咨询请联系微信wingedflower
大家好,这里是来纽约10年、最懂纽约吃喝玩乐的好吃君!为了带给大家更多的玩乐资讯分享“纽约好玩不”成立啦!
u1F61D.png


非常时期,好玩君会每天给大家更新新冠疫情的最近进展、分享抗疫指南,我们秉承实事求是、凭数据事实说话的态度,第一时间分享资讯,请大家一定关注我们哦~


重磅新闻!纽约抗体普测结果今天出炉了!

4月23日今天的新闻发布会,州长公布了初步数据!纽约市 NYC 竟然有21%的人已经感染过新冠病毒并拥有抗体

1587677725103.png

1587677747872.png


纽约进入拐点,每天情况都在变好,现在大家最关心的问题,一定是什么时候可以复工解放

要回答这个问题,纽约人是否拥有抗体,和多大比例人群拥有抗体,就是非常有参考性的数据。可以帮助回答(1)如何建立感染者追踪网络 (2)如何复工决策 (3)谁能捐献抗体血浆帮助救治这3大问题!

下面就快跟着消息最灵通的好玩君,看一下最新数据结果

1587677765120.png


数天前,纽约州长在新闻发布会就表示,纽约本周将进行随机的街头调查,了解感染和拥有抗体的人数比例

没想到这么快,初步数据就出炉了

1587677782461.png


纽约一共在街头随机抽查了3000人,其中43%被调查者在纽约市的五大区14.4%在长岛,9.8%在 Westchester和Rockland,还有32.8%在纽约外州。

纽约州总的感染率是13.9%。也就是纽约州100个人中有约14个人曾经感染过新冠并拥有抗体。(注:也可能是先天拥有抗体者,但可能性比较低,因此官方讨论忽略不计。)

纽约市(5大区)这一比例高达21%,也就是纽约市每五个人,就有一个人曾经感染过病毒并拥有抗体。这一比例相当之高!

长岛感染比例在16.7%,Westchester和Rockland感染比例是11.7%。纽约外州的感染率最低,仅有3.6%

1587677806946.png


感染率这么高,这意味着什么?

1. 纽约州预计已经有270万人感染过新冠!而目前实际检测确诊的人数仅有26万

好玩君按照2020纽约市官方数据850万人口计算了下,纽约市预计已经有178万人感染过新冠病毒!这数字真是相当高!

2. 死亡率并没有那么高,因为实际感染人数(感染率的基数)更大。目前死亡数15,500,按照270万感染人数计算,真实的死亡率预计只有0.5%左右

但同时,这死亡统计不包括在家死亡的人数,只包括在医院和老年看护中心死亡的人数,所以死亡率可能还会稍微再高一些。

1587677821458.png


州长同时也提到,采样3000人是美国目前最大规模的检测。这一数值是足够大,并有参考参考价值的。纽约州将持续进行这项调查,不断增加采样人数

1587677834051.png


目前3000人来自纽约州19个郡县的40个地点
采样地点来自超市和杂货铺外的随机抽取。
1) 不包括在家的隔离人员。这部分人群因为没有出门,感染率会比较低。
2) 不包括基础行业工作者。这部分人群因为持续外出工作,可能会有更高的感染率。
可见采样地点来源,会让数据与真实有所偏差,因此只是参考数值。

1587677848800.png
1587677862178.png


按年龄分布
25岁-64岁的人群,感染率都在15%左右,没有大幅偏差。说明所有人群对病毒都易感
74岁以上,因为大部分居家隔离,所以出来的只是一小部分人,感染率也较低;18岁以下人群不在统计中。

1587677875770.png


按性别分布
男性依旧呈现更高的感染率,为15.9%,而女性的感染率仅12%。此前确诊结果比例也表明,男性更易感

1587677890337.png


按种族分布
非裔和西班牙裔感染率最高,在22%以上;
亚裔的感染率在11.7%,略低于平均值
白人感染率最低,仅9.1%,好玩君认为这与许多白人住在纽约外州,有较低的感染率,拉低了平均值。

1587677905867.png


州长再次表示,根据检测结果,会加强在非裔和西班牙裔社区的检测力度

1587677932027.png


根据初步结果,州长表示这将影响复工的决策,感染严重的地区有必要继续保持隔离,不能急于复工。区域性决策很重要

1587678302748.png


最后再让我们看下,纽约近期的疫情情况

目前纽约每天新增确诊5000-6000人左右,还是相当高的,但对比峰值每天新增1万多,确实已经明显好转

1587678025812.png


新增住院人数在1300人左右,明显已经度过了日增2000+的高峰期,因此现在医院的压力大大得到缓解,不再是担忧。

1587678043014.png


但纽约每天依旧死亡400人左右,数值很高。

1587678066157.png


州长表示,新增下降的速度和死亡人数下降的速度,都比预期要慢一些,所以情况依旧不容乐观,纽约人必须继续保持警惕,加强社交隔离。

1587678088052.png


尤其是老年护理中心,现在是重中之重。需要加强防护,如果没有治疗条件,需要及时将病人送到医院救治。

1587678102528.png


同时,州长也提醒大家,虽然疫情有在好转,我们要做好第二轮感染的准备。专家也表示要警惕今年秋天疫情复发的危险

1587678117053.png


现在来看纽约市5个人有1个人已经感染,大家如何看呢?欢迎后台留言和我们分享哦~

 
3 min ago
Tens of thousands of Miami-Dade residents carried Covid-19 and showed no symptoms
From CNN’s Rosa Flores and Sara Weisfeldt


Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez speaks during a press conference at the Miami Beach Convention Center on April 8, in Miami Beach, Florida.

Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez speaks during a press conference at the Miami Beach Convention Center on April 8, in Miami Beach, Florida. Joe Raedle/Getty Images

A new study revealed that tens of thousands of Miami-Dade residents had Covid-19 and didn’t even know it, Miami Mayor Carlos Gimenez announced during a news conference Friday.

Gimenez said a random antibody testing study of some of the county’s 2.8 million residents was recently conducted. About 1,800 people participated.
The data showed 6% of the sample tested positive for Covid-19 antibodies, which would be about 165,000 residents, he said.

According to the Florida Department of Health, there are 10,701 coronavirus cases in Miami-Dade. That means that the actual number of cases, according to the study, is 16.5 times the number reported by the state, Gimenez said.

Gimenez pointed out that this means a significant number of people were carrying coronavirus while being asymptomatic. He emphasized that social distancing restrictions are working.
“Identifying the number of asymptomatic individuals is critically important for public health,” Gimenez said. “Like I have said before those are the folks who can pass on the virus to the most vulnerable.”
The data also shows that black Americans might be twice as likely to be infected with Covid-19 than other racial groups, he said.





17 min ago
 
美国四所监狱,测试了将近3300犯人,96%阳性,无症状。

In four U.S. state prisons, nearly 3,300 inmates test positive for coronavirus -- 96% without symptoms

Linda So, Grant Smith

(Reuters) - When the first cases of the new coronavirus surfaced in Ohio’s prisons, the director in charge felt like she was fighting a ghost.

“We weren’t always able to pinpoint where all the cases were coming from,”

said Annette Chambers-Smith, director of the Ohio Department of Rehabilitation and Correction. As the virus spread, they began mass testing.

They started with the Marion Correctional Institution, which houses 2,500 prisoners in north central Ohio, many of them older with pre-existing health conditions. After testing 2,300 inmates for the coronavirus, they were shocked. Of the 2,028 who tested positive, close to 95% had no symptoms.

“It was very surprising,” said Chambers-Smith, who oversees the state’s 28 correctional facilities.

As mass coronavirus testing expands in prisons, large numbers of inmates are showing no symptoms. In four state prison systems — Arkansas, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia — 96% of 3,277 inmates who tested positive for the coronavirus were asymptomatic, according to interviews with officials and records reviewed by Reuters. That’s out of 4,693 tests that included results on symptoms.

The numbers are the latest evidence to suggest that people who are asymptomatic — contagious but not physically sick — may be driving the spread of the virus, not only in state prisons that house 1.3 million inmates across the country, but also in communities across the globe. The figures also reinforce questions over whether testing of just people suspected of being infected is actually capturing the spread of the virus.

“It adds to the understanding that we have a severe undercount of cases in the U.S.,” said Dr. Leana Wen, adjunct associate professor of emergency medicine at George Washington University, said of the Reuters findings. “The case count is likely much, much higher than we currently know because of the lack of testing and surveillance.”

Some people diagnosed as asymptomatic when tested for the coronavirus, however, may go on to develop symptoms later, according to researchers.

The United States has more people behind bars than any other nation, a total incarcerated population of nearly 2.3 million as of 2017 — nearly half of which is in state prisons. Smaller numbers are locked in federal prisons and local jails, which typically hold people for relatively short periods as they await trial.

State prison systems in Michigan, Tennessee and California have also begun mass testing — checking for coronavirus infections in large numbers of inmates even if they show no sign of illness — but have not provided specific counts of asymptomatic prisoners.

Tennessee said a majority of its positive cases didn’t show symptoms. In Michigan, state authorities said “a good number” of the 620 prisoners who tested positive for the coronavirus were asymptomatic. California’s state prison system would not release counts of asymptomatic prisoners.

Each state manages multiple prison facilities. Ohio, for instance, has 49,000 prisoners in 28 facilities. A total 3,837 inmates tested positive for the coronavirus in 15 of those facilities. But the state has not yet provided results on symptoms for 1,809 of them and did not identify the total number of tests conducted across the prison system.

Arkansas and Tennessee have also taken a targeted approach by conducting mass testing in several of their facilities. Michigan, North Carolina, California and Virginia have started with one facility each.

Most state prisons did not provide the age or other demographic details of those who tested positive for the coronavirus, which has killed more than 200,000 people globally, including more than 53,000 in the United States.

VAST UNDERCOUNT
Reuters surveyed all 50 state prison systems. Of the 30 that responded, most are only testing inmates who show symptoms, suggesting they could be vastly undercounting the number infected by the coronavirus.

Florida and Texas, whose inmate populations are bigger than Ohio’s, report a combined total of just 931 cases — far fewer than the 3,837 inmates who tested positive in Ohio. New York, the epicenter of the U.S. outbreak, has reported 269 positive cases among 51,000 inmates. All three states are testing only symptomatic prisoners.

“Prison agencies are almost certainly vastly undercounting the number of COVID cases among incarcerated persons,” said Michele Deitch, a corrections specialist and senior lecturer at the University of Texas. “Just as the experts are telling us in our free-world communities, the only way to get ahead of this outbreak is through mass testing.”

Prison officials in Florida and Texas said they were following guidance from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention along with state health officials when testing only inmates showing symptoms of the virus. New York’s Department of Corrections said its policy of only testing prisoners who show symptoms was “reflective of testing procedures in the general public.”

Tennessee took an aggressive approach after a dozen inmates tested positive at the Bledsoe County Correctional Complex in the city of Pikeville last week. The state’s Department of Correction has tested 3,503 prisoners at Bledsoe, the Northwest Correctional Complex and the Turney Center Industrial Complex.

As of Friday, 651 were positive, and most of them were asymptomatic, the department said.

“It’s what makes the pandemic more difficult to manage,” said Marc Stern, former medical director for the Washington State Department of Corrections and a faculty member at the University of Washington’s School of Public Health. “There are a whole lot of people who are asymptomatic.”

After a recent spike in cases at the Neuse Correctional Institution in Goldsboro, North Carolina, state correctional officials tested all 723 prisoners last week. Of the 444 who were infected by the virus, 98% were asymptomatic, the state’s department of public safety said. One inmate has died at the prison.

Similarly, mass testing at two Arkansas prisons — the Cummins Unit in the city of Grady and the Community Correction Center in the state capital Little Rock — found 751 infected inmates, almost all of them asymptomatic, the state corrections department said. It did not provide the total number of inmates who were tested.

Arkansas’ prisons have faced contagious disease outbreaks before, such as scabies and chickenpox, but those episodes were easier to manage because inmates showed overt symptoms, said Arkansas Department of Corrections spokeswoman Dina Tyler. “But with this virus, you have no idea because so many are asymptomatic. It makes it very challenging to contain,” she said.

‘24-HOUR TURNAROUND IS CRUCIAL’

Michigan’s Lakeland Correctional Facility houses some of the state’s oldest and most medically frail prisoners. When coronavirus cases surged, the prison saw a spike in infections and deaths. As of April 23, nine Lakeland inmates had died from COVID-19, accounting for a third of the deaths across Michigan’s 29 state prisons.

Nearly half of Lakeland’s 1,400 prisoners suffer from chronic underlying health conditions, according to state data. Many are in wheelchairs, and the minimum-security facility in southern Michigan has its own geriatric unit for its large elderly population.

On Tuesday, the prison tested all 400 inmates in the geriatric ward and plans to test the rest of the facility by the end of the week. Of the 971 tested so far, 642, or about 66%, were positive. A state official declined to disclose how many were asymptomatic.

“We know mass testing is going to make our numbers spike and might make us look bad,” said Chris Gautz, spokesman for the Michigan Department of Corrections. “But I don’t think there’s another prison system in the country that doesn’t have large numbers. They just might not be testing as rigorously as we are.”

All tested inmates are quarantined in their rooms or units pending the test results, which usually come back in a day, he said. “The 24-hour turnaround is crucial” because once an inmate tests negative, they can return to the general population, he said.

In the seven state prison systems conducting mass tests, 49 inmates have died.

As the coronavirus spreads behind bars, rights groups and public defenders say they fear more will succumb, and have pressed for the release of nonviolent older and medically high-risk inmates. While thousands have been let out, crowded, often unsanitary conditions have raised concerns that jails and prisons could become vectors for the disease.

“They’re worse than landlocked cruise ships,” Stern, the corrections expert, said, referring to stranded cruise ships that have been overwhelmed by coronavirus infections.

Linda So reported from Washington and Grant Smith from New York. Additional reporting by Brad Heath. Editing by Jason Szep

 
27 min ago
14.9% of New Yorkers test positive for antibodies, governor says
From CNN's Aditi Sangal


A healthcare worker takes a sample at a New York State Department of Health COVID-19 antibody testing center in Brooklyn, New York, on April 25.

A healthcare worker takes a sample at a New York State Department of Health COVID-19 antibody testing center in Brooklyn, New York, on April 25. Xinhua/Getty Images

Of the 7,500 people tested statewide for antibodies against coronavirus, 14.9% have tested positive, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced at a press briefing on Monday.

"It gives a snapshot of where we are," he said.

Five days ago, 13.9% had tested positive. Statistically, the one point difference lies in the margin of error, Cuomo said.

"I would like to see the margin go the other way," Cuomo added.

Men are still more likely to have the virus than women by a couple of points. There has been an uptick of positive tests for antibodies among Asian-Americans and Latino residents. The number has gone down for black residents, Cuomo said.
 
3 min ago
Tens of thousands of Miami-Dade residents carried Covid-19 and showed no symptoms
From CNN’s Rosa Flores and Sara Weisfeldt


Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez speaks during a press conference at the Miami Beach Convention Center on April 8, in Miami Beach, Florida.

Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez speaks during a press conference at the Miami Beach Convention Center on April 8, in Miami Beach, Florida. Joe Raedle/Getty Images

A new study revealed that tens of thousands of Miami-Dade residents had Covid-19 and didn’t even know it, Miami Mayor Carlos Gimenez announced during a news conference Friday.

Gimenez said a random antibody testing study of some of the county’s 2.8 million residents was recently conducted. About 1,800 people participated.
The data showed 6% of the sample tested positive for Covid-19 antibodies, which would be about 165,000 residents, he said.

According to the Florida Department of Health, there are 10,701 coronavirus cases in Miami-Dade. That means that the actual number of cases, according to the study, is 16.5 times the number reported by the state, Gimenez said.

Gimenez pointed out that this means a significant number of people were carrying coronavirus while being asymptomatic. He emphasized that social distancing restrictions are working.

The data also shows that black Americans might be twice as likely to be infected with Covid-19 than other racial groups, he said.





17 min ago

6 hr 53 min ago

New study says 1 in 7 New Yorkers had Covid-19 by the end of March
From CNN Health’s Elizabeth Cohen

Times Square stands mostly empty on March 22.
Times Square stands mostly empty on March 22. Spencer Platt/Getty Images
More than 2 million New Yorkers had been infected with Covid-19 by the end of March – about 10 times the official count, according to a new study.

State data, however, shows only about 189,000 cases by the end of March. That means about 1.8 million cases potentially went undetected.

Why cases may have been undercounted: There are several reasons why those cases were not detected, said study coauthor David Holtgrave, dean of the School of Public Health at the University at Albany.

Some infected people may have had no symptoms, or only mild symptoms, and so never went to the doctor, Holtgrave said. Others might have wanted to get tested but couldn’t find a doctor to test them, given the shortage of tests in February and March.

In the study, researchers drew blood from more than 15,000 New York adults and found that about 14%, or 1 out of 7, had antibodies to the virus, which means they had previously been infected. The researchers extrapolated that number to the entire population.

On herd immunity: While the 14% infection rate was higher than previously thought, it’s still not high enough to confer herd immunity, Holtgrave said.

Herd immunity is when a community has a sufficiently high proportion of people who are immune to a disease so that the disease is unlikely to spread. These are the full results of New York's antibody survey, some of which New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has previously mentioned.

The data also shows that communities of color were disproportionately infected. Among those who had antibodies, 30% were Hispanic and 22% were black, which is higher than their proportions in the New York population.

The study was coauthored by officials at the New York Department of Health, and posted on the pre-print server MedRXiv.org, which means it wasn’t peer reviewed or published in a medical journal.
 
后退
顶部