驯服世纪瘟疫之美国样板:自由、分权、透明、创新

如果没有特效疫苗,世界将以何种模式走出瘟疫?

  • 美国模式:信息透明、分权管理、创新为王

  • 台湾模式:信息透明、中央集权、严防死守

  • 中国模式:黑箱操作、中央集权、说没就没


投票后才可看到结果。

美国第四波疫情似已迎来拐点 感染病例或将大幅下降​

文章来源: 快科技 于 2021-09-04 14:02:09










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美国疫情似乎要迎来拐点了。据外媒报道,美国在第四波疫情爆发大约两个月后,每日的新增确诊病例正在降低,这意味着疫情的拐点即将到来。数据显示,受到德尔塔毒株高传染力的影响,美国7月和8月初的新增确诊病例的周增长率一直未两位数,7月21日至28日的周增长率更是高达61%。

但在过去的数周里,受到德尔塔毒株影响最严重的南部各州,包括阿肯色州、密苏里州、路易斯安那州和佛罗里达州,单日新增确诊病例都有所减少。


来自华盛顿大学健康度量和评估研究所的一个模型显示,美国的新增确诊病例在8月中旬达到峰值。由于官方的统计数据通常代表两周前的感染情况,这意味着在今年余下的时间里,新冠病毒感染率将会稳步下降。

宾夕法尼亚大学生物统计主任杰弗里·莫里斯(Jeffrey Morris)也表示,新冠病毒的感染率将会很快出现下降,因为62%的人已经接种过疫苗,12%人曾感染过病毒,这些人群都具有抗体。

美国第四波疫情的拐点即将到来,这就像其他国家一样。例如,印度第二波疫情始于3月初,大约2个月后达到高峰。英国的疫情也在5月底到7月底两个月后达到高峰。而法国和印度尼西亚则更短,在大约一个半月后达到高峰。

莫里斯指出,随着德尔塔毒株导致大量人群感染,这也意味着从自然感染中获得的免疫保护越多,该毒株能够感染的人群也在逐步减少。

此外,随着疫苗接种率的上升,传播风险进一步降低。美国每日疫苗接种量从7月底到8月底的两个月中稳步攀升.
这个拐点的预测未免有点太乐观了吧?

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面临变种的不确定性,小心一点没问题。如果必要,那就开放针对性的第三剂吧。

正是变种的不确定性,长期严格封锁将使独裁国家如中国北韩也渐渐无法承受,最终不得不祈求美国疫苗以为解决之道。
现在不仅是中国,北韩严格封锁了.

连群体免疫的瑞典都闭关了,加拿大蒙特利尔宣布紧急状态,BC省关闭酒吧,健身房。

以色列给60岁以上及体弱者开打第四针。

楼主的这个样本楼已经成为烂尾楼,现在的美国又朝着日增20万迈进了,人已经死了83万。

Sweden will implement tighter restrictions to curb Covid-19 spread​

From CNN's Amy Cassidy and Henrik Pettersson

Sweden will tighten its Covid-19 restrictions to prevent further spread as Covid-19 cases rise, Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson announced Tuesday.

Starting on Dec. 23, bars and restaurants will be able to operate sit-down service only with mandatory social distancing, the prime minister said. Those without proof of vaccination will be limited to gathering in groups of eight people in those settings.

Employees will be advised to work from home if possible, she added.

The new restrictions come as worst-case scenario modeling from Sweden’s Public Health Agency estimates daily cases could exceed 15,000 by mid-January. In the last seven days (Dec. 14 to 20), Sweden has reported an average of 3,556 new coronavirus cases per day.

The agency has also recommended the government decide on restricting the number of people at private gatherings to 50 people in rented spaces, as well as introduce a requirement for foreign travelers to produce a negative Covid-19 test upon arrival to Sweden.

2 hr 6 min ago

Canada's British Columbia closes bars and gyms over rising Covid-19 cases​

From CNN''s Raja Razek

A police officer directs the traffic outside a Covid-19 test site in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, on Dec. 18.
A police officer directs the traffic outside a Covid-19 test site in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, on Dec. 18. (Liang Sen/Xinhua/Getty Images)

British Columbia, Canada's westernmost province, announced a series of restrictions to address the rising number of Covid-19 cases in the country.

A news release from the Province said it would ban organized indoor social events and close gyms, bars, and nightclubs starting Wednesday.

Additionally, the Ministry of Health said it's postponing non-urgent scheduled surgeries starting Jan. 4.

"The provincial health officer is implementing additional measures to address rising COVID-19 case counts that could result in increased hospitalizations and critical care admissions and the potential to overstress the health-care system," the release said.
 
Omicron流行国,封锁的必要性其实不是很大,现在情况不明,各国政府出于谨慎,确保医疗系统正常运转的做法。
Delta流行国,主要是欧洲各国,封锁时间不会太久,很快Delta被omicron取代了。
我认为,封锁不会太久,明年的趋势是流感化。
 
感觉习近平同学也赶紧赶慢的要抄美国作业了吧?
 
现在说美国模式大家应该没有太大异议了吧?
 
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