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Joe Biden's lead over Donald Trump continues to widen and now stands at nearly 11 percentage points, the widest it has been since Biden was officially nominated as the Democratic nominee in mid-August.
Biden's lead also translates into a big advantage in the electoral college, as he is ahead in more than enough “safe” and “likely” Democratic states to get the 270 electoral college votes he needs to win the White House, even if he loses all of the “lean” and “toss-up” states in which he is ahead.
The path to victory for Trump is looking narrower, as states like Ohio, Iowa, Georgia and North Carolina are trending toward Biden while Texas is back in toss-up territory.
Which states are the closest?
The eight states with the closest margins between Trump and Biden all voted for Trump in 2016, including bedrock Republican states like Georgia, Texas and Alaska. With the possible exception of Florida, none of these tight races are must-win states for the Democrats. There is no way Trump can win the White House without these states, and even they would not be enough at this point.
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