2020年美国选举：众议院选举，民主党获得222席，共和党获210席，佩洛西再次当选众议院议长；参议院选举，形成民主党50：50共和党局面；国会正式认证，拜登以选举人团306票当选总统
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Trump campaign sues to block certification of Biden win in Pennsylvania - National | Globalnews.ca
The president has pledged to go forward with a legal strategy that he hopes will overturn state results that gave Biden the win in Tuesday’s vote.
globalnews.ca
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2020 Presidential Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin
Compare the current 2020 Presidential map projections of various political pundits. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2020 forecastwww.270towin.com
2020 Presidential Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2020 Presidential forecast.
2020 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of November 1, 2020
This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 electoral map forecast.
November 1: Indiana moves from Likely to Safe Republican; Minnesota from Leans to Likely Democratic.
浏览附件937065
2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls.
Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937066
2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls.
Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937067
2020 Map Based on Polls (No Toss-ups)
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated three times daily, this map will track the electoral vote count based on polling, with no toss-ups (unless exactly tied).
The candidate that leads in the polls is shown as the winner of the state. The 2016 party winner is used where there are no polls.
See the regular Biden-Trump Polling Map for more granular ratings based on the margin between the two nominees.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937084
Crystal Ball 2020 Electoral College
As of November 2, 2020
The final electoral college ratings for the 2020 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
November 2: In this final update, all toss-ups are removed. Florida, Iowa, ME-2 and Ohio move to Leans Republican; Georgia and North Carolina to Leans Democratic.
浏览附件937068
Cook Political Report Electoral College Forecast
As of October 28, 2020
The current ratings for the 2020 presidential election from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
October 28: Texas moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up. Read Amy Walter's analysis here.
浏览附件937071
Inside Elections Presidential Ratings
As of October 28, 2020
The current ratings for the 2020 presidential election from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
October 28: Georgia and North Carolina move from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic; Texas from Tilt Republican to Toss-up.
浏览附件937073
The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (99%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937074
FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937075
Politico 2020 Presidential Forecast
As of November 2, 2020
The final ratings for the 2020 presidential election from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
November 2: Alaska moves from Likely to Leans Republican; Georgia from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Indiana from Safe to Likely Republican.
浏览附件937076
PredictIt Market Probabilities
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election.
Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.
Unless the odds are exactly 50%, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%) Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937077
Princeton Election Consortium
Map Based on Polling
Part of the Princeton Election Consortium polling-derived forecast series for the likelihood of a Biden or Trump victory in each state.
You can view the full series of three maps here.
A state is shown as toss-up where the probability is 60% or less. The colored gradients get progressively deeper as the probability increases: Leans (<80%), Likely (<95%), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937078
Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 Presidential Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection derived from the Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 Presidential Election Model.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937079
HK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
浏览附件937080
NPR 2020 Election Map Ratings
As of October 30, 2020
The final 2020 electoral college projection from NPR.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 electoral map forecast.
October 30: Four changes. Note that NPR is using the 'Likely' terminology to cover what others call both 'Likely' and 'Safe'. We label those states safe on this map as, for the most part, this is consistent with how these states are characterized in other forecasts.
浏览附件937081
CNN 2020 Electoral College Map
As of October 7, 2020
From CNN: "As President Donald Trump remains infected with coronavirus and absent from the campaign trail, his campaign finds itself in its worst political position since the start of the campaign season. The President had a disastrous debate performance last week in what was one of his last best chances to turn things around before millions of Americans began casting their ballots."
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
October 7: Iowa moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up; NE-2 and Pennsylvania from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
浏览附件937082
U.S. News Electoral College Ratings
As of October 28, 2020
The current ratings for the 2020 presidential election from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News & World Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
October 28: Arizona moves from Leans Democratic to Toss-up; Georgia and Iowa Leans Republican to Toss-up; Kansas and Montana Safe to Likely Republican; Maine and ME-1 from Leans to Likely Democratic.
浏览附件937083
这些预测有几个够接近了。
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World leaders, including close Trump ally Boris Johnson, move on as Trump resists conceding
World leaders, including close Trump ally U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, are moving on as the president resists conceding.
flapjack_monkey
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如果看数据应该有自己的理解,那你死乞白咧问人家服了还是不服是几个意思？
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Postal worker admits fabricating allegations of ballot tampering, reports say
Republicans had used case as evidence of ballot tampering
www.independent.co.uk
Officials: Postal worker recants ballot-tampering claims
A Pennsylvania postal worker whose claims have been cited by top Republicans as potential evidence of widespread voting irregularities admitted to U.S. Postal Service investigators that he fabricated the allegations, according to three officials briefed on the investigation and a...
www.seattletimes.com
最后编辑:
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- 2005-11-23
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1 hr 28 min ago
FILE - In this June 3, 2020 file photo Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan speaks during a news conference in Annapolis, Md. Gov. Hogan will be stepping down as the chairman of the the bipartisan National Governors Association. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo takes the reins of the group representing the nation’s governors, which has played a pivotal role in communicating with the Trump administration about state needs during the coronavirus pandemic. (AP Photo/Brian Witte, file) Brian Witte/AP
“I think if the President and his team have real evidence of widespread voter fraud, they should come forward with it,” Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, a Republican, said during a news conference when asked about Trump not conceding the election and what he sees as the way forward.
Hogan said he had not seen anything that would change the outcome of the election.
“This is the way it works in America. We, we cast the votes, we count the votes, and we live with the results, and I think most people realize that this election is over,” he said.
When asked about the response other Republican leaders have given, Hogan said, “I was disappointed frankly, and I said so earlier with the some of the response from Leader McConnell and others who have a different you know, are taking a completely different take on it and I think it's a mistake. I think it's a mistake for the country. It's a mistake for the Republican Party and especially as we have the Senate hanging in the balance and two runoff elections in Georgia, doing anything to tarnish the brand and have cost us votes is a pretty, pretty significant thing.”
Maryland's GOP governor calls what is happening with transition of power "really dangerous"
From CNN’s Jennifer Henderson
“I think if the President and his team have real evidence of widespread voter fraud, they should come forward with it,” Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, a Republican, said during a news conference when asked about Trump not conceding the election and what he sees as the way forward.
Hogan said he had not seen anything that would change the outcome of the election.
“This is the way it works in America. We, we cast the votes, we count the votes, and we live with the results, and I think most people realize that this election is over,” he said.
When asked about being a leading voice in the Republican party, Hogan said, “I was the first statewide Republican leader, I guess to come out and congratulate the President-elect on his victory, but a number of my fellow governors and a few senators and 37 Republican congressmen and others and many former elected officials and President Bush, you know, Chris Christie, Rick Santorum, there are a lot of people saying that the election is over and that congratulating the Vice President-elect meant even more do not want to stop the transition from happening.”
When asked about the response other Republican leaders have given, Hogan said, “I was disappointed frankly, and I said so earlier with the some of the response from Leader McConnell and others who have a different you know, are taking a completely different take on it and I think it's a mistake. I think it's a mistake for the country. It's a mistake for the Republican Party and especially as we have the Senate hanging in the balance and two runoff elections in Georgia, doing anything to tarnish the brand and have cost us votes is a pretty, pretty significant thing.”
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2 hr 4 min ago
In this April 27, 2020 file photo, Gov. Asa Hutchinson takes off his Arkansas Razorbacks facemark as he arrives for the daily coronavirus briefing at the state Capitol in Little Rock. Staton Breidenthal/Arkansas Democrat-Gazette via AP, File
When asked during a news conference Tuesday if he had heard from or planned to work with President-Elect Joe Biden’s Covid-19 task force, Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, a Republican, said he had not heard from them.
“I think [Biden] is doing the right thing in trying to prepare for the eventuality, if he wins the election and all the results come in from the different states. He’s got to be prepared for that eventuality,” Hutchinson said.
Joe Biden "would certainly be easy to work with," says Republican Arkansas Gov. Hutchinson
From CNN’s Rebekah Riess
When asked during a news conference Tuesday if he had heard from or planned to work with President-Elect Joe Biden’s Covid-19 task force, Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, a Republican, said he had not heard from them.
“I think [Biden] is doing the right thing in trying to prepare for the eventuality, if he wins the election and all the results come in from the different states. He’s got to be prepared for that eventuality,” Hutchinson said.
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- 2005-11-23
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EXCLUSIVE: 'She has her own agenda': Ivanka is quietly urging Trump to concede to Biden because she's afraid of burning bridges as she eyes her own future White House run
- Ivanka has been quietly urging her father President Donald Trump to throw in the towel and concede the election to Joe Biden, sources told DailyMail.com
- After Biden was named the president-elect on Saturday, a majority of the Trump family echoed the president's unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud
- But Ivanka, 39, has been pushing for Trump to admit defeat
- During a senior staff meeting, she told the room it was an 'honor to serve the people and people should be happy with what they accomplished'
- Her husband Jared Kushner also urged Trump to drop the recently filed lawsuits and focus on four years from now
- An insider said: 'Ivanka has had her eyes on the desk behind the Oval Office since day one- and she's not about to burn any bridges by mouthing off'
- They added: 'Everything she puts out is calculated and well thought out because she's always looking at the big picture'
- Don Jr. also is eyeing up the White House - but even Melania is doubtful of that
- A source said: 'Melania would admit this will never happen because he doesn't have his father's smarts and at best will get his own show on Fox News'
Ivanka urges Trump to concede as she eyes her own White House run
During a senior staff meeting, Ivanka Trump told the room 'it was an 'honor to serve the people and people should be happy with what they accomplished'.
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- 2003-09-30
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右派们，清醒一下了，是时候赶紧搞一个自己的媒体喉舌了，但是得记住，不要被标记上far right的头衔。 
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Truth Tracker: Yes, the U.S. election is over. No, Trump can't win.
U.S. President Donald Trump is refusing to accept his loss to president-elect Joe Biden and is instead floating baseless claims of widespread voter fraud and ‘illegal’ votes despite a lack of proof.
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Loser: Donald Trump derided defeat – now he must live with it
What was once the president’s go-to insult now unequivocally applies to him, as his record of failure finally catches up with him
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Alarm grows over Trump administration acting 'more akin to a dictatorship' as he denies election defeat
President Donald Trump's administration is taking on the characteristics of a tottering regime -- with its loyalty tests, destabilizing attacks on the military chain of command, a deepening bunker mentality and increasingly delusional claims of political victory.
